[Mr. Doughnut]

I provided my thoughts quite a bit last year. Since I am documenting my plays this year in a spreadsheet, I figured I would also make a thread for my plays. Do what you wish with this--provide your own thoughts, criticize me, discuss, etc.

Being from the good side of the Ohio River near the 'Ville I have grown up a fan of betting on the ponies (ergo the "Picking Winners" play on words). I also enjoy college football and basketball, but tend to take a pony approach to betting. Here I will post my college football plays (along with a smattering of NFL plays) and see where this goes.

All bets will be to win 1 unit (unless otherwise stated). Since I didn't track my plays last year, I can't properly choose my unit amount as I do with the ponies. So for me 1 unit will be equal to 2% of bankroll (not that this matters to anyone following this). I will mostly bet ML faves and + the points with dogs. This is all about ROI and money management, the two keys that are often overlooked by the losing gambler (thus they become the "losing gambler").

Also a shout out to any other college gamblers on here, as well as any other Hoosier fans whom are reading and/or following this thread.

In order to keep this current with my spreadsheet, I will add in my plays from the last week...

W %	80%
Avg W Odds	-367.5
Avg Risk	3.14
Avg Paid	3.74
Total Risk	15.70
Total Paid	18.70
ROI	19%
Units	3
Ticket	Accepted Date	Risk	To Win	Amount Paid	Status	Wager	Odds	Odds if W	Units
133044996-1	8/30/12 6:47pm	2.55	1.00	3.55	Win	8/30/12 7:00pm College Football 133 South Carolina -255* vs Vanderbilt	-255.00	-255	1
133045143-1	8/30/12 6:48pm	1.00	1.05	0.00	Loss	8/30/12 7:00pm College Football 133 South Carolina -7 +105* vs Vanderbilt	105.00		-1
133500831-1	9/1/12 7:02pm	5.00	1.00	6.00	Win	9/1/12 8:00pm College Football 194 Alabama -500* vs Michigan	-500.00	-500	1
133642173-1	9/2/12 2:22pm	6.00	1.00	7.00	Win	9/2/12 3:30pm College Football 212 Louisville -600* vs Kentucky	-600.00	-600	1
133809017-1	9/3/12 6:46pm	1.15	1.00	2.15	Win	9/3/12 8:00pm College Football 215 Georgia Tech +8 -115* vs Virginia Tech	-115.00	-115	1

Thus currently:

4-1, +3 U, 19% ROI

Bet for tonight:

NYG ML 1.85 to win 1

Opening NFL game so I gotta put something on it. In New York, great line, solid QB, gotta go with New York. Albeit I have Murray on many of my fantasy teams, so a TD or two would be nice.

[Mr. Doughnut]

NYG ML 1.85 to win 1 L

4-2 +1.15

Cinci ML 2.1 to win 1

[Mr. Doughnut]

Cinci with the big win

5-2 +2.15

Today's plays:
UCF +17
ND -14
East Car +21
Iowa St +3'
Florida pk
IU -14

[Mr. Doughnut]

Cinci with the big win

5-2 +2.15

Today's plays:
UCF +17 W +1
ND -14 L -1.1
East Car +21 L -1.1
Iowa St +3' W +1
Florida pk W +1
IU -14 W +1

Updated Statistics:

W %	69%
Avg Risk Odds	-186
Avg W Odds	-236
Avg Risk	1.94
Avg Paid	2.25
Total Risk	25.25
Total Paid	29.20
ROI	16%
Units	3.95

[Mr. Doughnut]

Rutgers +8 1.1 to win 1

[Mr. Doughnut]

Rutgers +8 1.1 to win 1 W +1

Updates Stats:

W %	77%
Avg Risk Odds	-181
Avg W Odds	-223
Avg Risk	1.88
Avg Paid	2.24
Total Risk	26.35
Total Paid	31.30
ROI	19%
Units	4.95

Currently two bets for Saturday (each 1.1 to win 1)

Indiana -2.5
Alabama -20.5

[Mr. Doughnut]

Wazzou -8 1.1 for 1

[Mr. Doughnut]

Wazzou -8 1.1 for 1 Wash

Wash St was a wash, could have been another W.

[Mr. Doughnut]

Plays for Today:

IU -2.5
Alabama -20.5
UK -7
UCLA -17.5
Utah St +14.5
Tenn -3
UofL -3.5
USC -7.5
BYU-2.5

[Mr. Doughnut]

Plays for Today:

IU -2.5 L-1.1
Alabama -20.5 W 1
UK -7 l -1.05
UCLA -17.5 W 1
Utah St +14.5 W 1
Tenn -3 L -1.1
UofL -3.5 W 1
USC -7.5 L -1.1
BYU-2.5 L -1.15

Updated Stats:

W %	61%
Avg Risk Odds	-153
Avg W Odds	-191
Avg Risk	1.58
Avg Paid	1.73
Total Risk	36.25
Total Paid	39.70
ROI	10%
Units	3.45

Play tonight: Buffalo -3 -115