1. #1
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1836

    Who gets AFC's last PLAYOFF Spot?

    Lot of interesting scenarios here. Titans all but forgotten can sneak in here thanks to all the chaos.

    Jets blew their chance now need lots of help.
    Cincy obviously controls their destiny.

    Houston has nothing to play for, makes Tennessee's job that much easier.
    All they need is a Bengals and Raiders loss. Decent chance of that happening.

    AFC South or West will most likely get two playoff teams, two of the worst divisions in football.

    Jets have a habit of miracles on last day to make playoffs, tie-breakers are killing them.

    Who do you think makes it?

    Is Baltimore really going to lose a bye to the Bengals? Line looks good for Cincy right now.

    Does Houston want to play Tennessee in the playoffs or someone else? Lot of fishy things can happen here.

  2. #2
    ttwarrior1
    ttwarrior1's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 06-23-09
    Posts: 28,301
    Betpoints: 9800

    i think raiders and bengals both win, i think tenn wins also and jets win

  3. #3
    Mr KLC
    Mr KLC's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-19-07
    Posts: 30,629
    Betpoints: 420

    It took me a half hour to figure out everything going on. You have to love the scramble for a playoff spot in the final week.

  4. #4
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    Bengals

  5. #5
    ttwarrior1
    ttwarrior1's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 06-23-09
    Posts: 28,301
    Betpoints: 9800

    don't jets go if they win and bengals lose

  6. #6
    Mr KLC
    Mr KLC's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-19-07
    Posts: 30,629
    Betpoints: 420

    Quote Originally Posted by ttwarrior1 View Post
    don't jets go if they win and bengals lose
    Would clinch the No. 6 seed with a win and a Bengals loss and Titans loss and either/both a Raiders loss and/or Broncos loss due to conference record (7-5 vs. the Bengals’ 6-6).

  7. #7
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    k13 you are well aware of who i think makes it


    i did the math in another thread and it works out to about 55% chance of the bengals getting the wild card

  8. #8
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    here's the "true math" which i think is inherently flawed, but it shows bengals 65% to make playoffs, jets 13%, tennessee 7%, and the other 15% chance is denver/oakland both getting in

    http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NFL/AFC.html

  9. #9
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1836

    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    k13 you are well aware of who i think makes it


    i did the math in another thread and it works out to about 55% chance of the bengals getting the wild card
    Bengals better not win.

    Imagine Cincy at Houston, what a scrub of a playoff. Least watched game for sure.

    I took Cincy 200-1 for a few points just so I can hedge out something If I lose the bet to you.

  10. #10
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1836

    Quote Originally Posted by ttwarrior1 View Post
    don't jets go if they win and bengals lose
    Not unless Tennessee AND Oakland lose.

    Since both Houston and San Diego have nothing to play for...........

  11. #11
    luvtogamble
    luvtogamble's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-11
    Posts: 1,081
    Betpoints: 5459

    raiders

  12. #12
    MoneyLineDawg
    Update your status
    MoneyLineDawg's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-01-09
    Posts: 13,253
    Betpoints: 13

    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Not unless Tennessee AND Oakland lose.

    Since both Houston and San Diego have nothing to play for...........
    Jets get in with a win @ Miami, Titans loss @ Houston, Bengals loss vs. Ravens, AND Oakland loss OR Broncos loss

    I think Jets get in IF Tennessee loses basically

    Bengals SHOULD lose to Ravens, and I don't think Raiders AND Broncos both win against division rivals......So it comes down to Jets winning and Tennessee losing

    It is a tough scenario to really breakdown......Bengals are the only ones that control their own destiny, but they have the toughest game of the bunch

  13. #13
    Glitch
    Glitch's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-08-09
    Posts: 11,790
    Betpoints: 5224

    chargers and bengals get it done.

  14. #14
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    Quote Originally Posted by MoneyLineDawg View Post
    Jets get in with a win @ Miami, Titans loss @ Houston, Bengals loss vs. Ravens, AND Oakland loss OR Broncos loss

    I think Jets get in IF Tennessee loses basically

    Bengals SHOULD lose to Ravens, and I don't think Raiders AND Broncos both win against division rivals......So it comes down to Jets winning and Tennessee losing

    It is a tough scenario to really breakdown......Bengals are the only ones that control their own destiny, but they have the toughest game of the bunch
    your thought process is flawed, the odds of both the raiders AND broncos winning is only slightly worse than the odds of the jets winning as a dog. bengals have a greater than 50% chance of getting in one way or another. you are giving WAY too much credit to both the jets on the road and ravens on the road.

    jets are 2-5 on the road and ravens are 3-4 on the road and yet you're treating both those games like wins already.

    the jets have about a 13% chance of getting in, no matter how you spin it.

  15. #15
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Bengals

  16. #16
    MoneyLineDawg
    Update your status
    MoneyLineDawg's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-01-09
    Posts: 13,253
    Betpoints: 13

    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    your thought process is flawed, the odds of both the raiders AND broncos winning is only slightly worse than the odds of the jets winning as a dog. bengals have a greater than 50% chance of getting in one way or another. you are giving WAY too much credit to both the jets on the road and ravens on the road.

    jets are 2-5 on the road and ravens are 3-4 on the road and yet you're treating both those games like wins already.

    the jets have about a 13% chance of getting in, no matter how you spin it.
    I just think the Ravens will win because they are the better team, and the difference between them winning and losing is a first round bye and playing in the first round on the road, so they will be just as fired up

    Believe me, I do not think the Jets are getting in just because too many things must break their way

    If I were to break down each game, here is what I come up with:

    Jets Win
    Bengals Lose
    Titans Lose
    Raiders Win
    Broncos Win

    I guess that means Broncos and Raiders both get in......It should be an interesting week 17 no matter what

  17. #17
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    Quote Originally Posted by MoneyLineDawg View Post
    I just think the Ravens will win because they are the better team, and the difference between them winning and losing is a first round bye and playing in the first round on the road, so they will be just as fired up

    Believe me, I do not think the Jets are getting in just because too many things must break their way

    If I were to break down each game, here is what I come up with:

    Jets Win
    Bengals Lose
    Titans Lose
    Raiders Win
    Broncos Win

    I guess that means Broncos and Raiders both get in......It should be an interesting week 17 no matter what
    fair enough.
    i just thought you were pretty much giving the jets and ravens wins even though neither of them has inspired much confidence on the road this season

  18. #18
    SBLAZE305
    SBLAZE305's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-25-11
    Posts: 3

    Bengals

  19. #19
    lakerboy
    lakerboy's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-02-09
    Posts: 94,069
    Betpoints: 7708

    Quote Originally Posted by MoneyLineDawg View Post
    I just think the Ravens will win because they are the better team, and the difference between them winning and losing is a first round bye and playing in the first round on the road, so they will be just as fired up

    Believe me, I do not think the Jets are getting in just because too many things must break their way

    If I were to break down each game, here is what I come up with:

    Jets Win
    Bengals Lose
    Titans Lose
    Raiders Win
    Broncos Win

    I guess that means Broncos and Raiders both get in......It should be an interesting week 17 no matter what

    better team theory eh?

  20. #20
    denn333
    Update your status
    denn333's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-16-05
    Posts: 1,191
    Betpoints: 14

    Bengals win, even though the Ravens have a bye at stake they still have mental issues.

  21. #21
    MoneyLineDawg
    Update your status
    MoneyLineDawg's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-01-09
    Posts: 13,253
    Betpoints: 13

    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    better team theory eh?
    Not sure what you're getting at.....

    Both teams have alot at stake, The Ravens already played the Bengals and are familiar with them being division rivals so it's not like them going into Seattle or somewhere random where weird things could happen.....And yes I simply believe they are the better team this year

    Would it surprise me if the Bengals won? Not at all.....

    Will I bet alot (if any) on the Ravens? No....

    Simply put, gun to my head, Ravens win the game

  22. #22
    will2survive
    STAY IN YO LANE!
    will2survive's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-26-09
    Posts: 8,106
    Betpoints: 22

    Quote Originally Posted by Mr KLC View Post
    Would clinch the No. 6 seed with a win and a Bengals loss and Titans loss and either/both a Raiders loss and/or Broncos loss due to conference record (7-5 vs. the Bengals’ 6-6).

    Jets blew it. I think the Bengals have the spot but anything is possible.

  23. #23
    Corleone
    Corleone's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-30-10
    Posts: 255
    Betpoints: 81

    Raiders get 4 seed, jets get 6 seed.

    Raiders win
    Denver loses
    Cin loses
    Jets win
    Tenn loses.

  24. #24
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    Quote Originally Posted by Corleone View Post
    Raiders get 4 seed, jets get 6 seed.

    Raiders win
    Denver loses
    Cin loses
    Jets win
    Tenn loses.
    big time money parlaying the moneylines on those 5 if you have that much confidence

  25. #25
    Bcatswin
    Bcats Winning Everywhere
    Bcatswin's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-21-10
    Posts: 13,929
    Betpoints: 5350

    Hope its the Bengals

  26. #26
    rm18
    Update your status
    rm18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-05
    Posts: 22,291
    Betpoints: 207814

    Last edited by rm18; 12-28-11 at 12:18 AM.

  27. #27
    MoneyLineDawg
    Update your status
    MoneyLineDawg's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-01-09
    Posts: 13,253
    Betpoints: 13

    I'm going to parlay Jets ML, Ravens ML, and Texans ML.....Figure I give myself a fun sweat as I root for my joker Jets

    Would also need Raiders or Broncos to lose, but if they both win, atleast I win my parlay

  28. #28
    frostno98
    frostno98's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-07
    Posts: 9,770
    Betpoints: 648

    Ravens are not going to give away the number 2 seed to a rookie QB. Not happening with Suggs, Lewis, and ED Reed on the watch. I think the Raiders can sneak in as a wild card, without winning the Division.

  29. #29
    D3 Mighty Ducks
    D3 Mighty Ducks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-17-09
    Posts: 11,933
    Betpoints: 782

    I want the Raiders to sneak in. McFadden is back in the lineup this week. WATCH OUT

  30. #30
    GenosPicks
    GenosPicks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-11
    Posts: 934
    Betpoints: 31

    great conversation thread!!! .. gave you love in today's blog buddy.

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/college-foot...-cure-a-22702/

  31. #31
    Scully
    Scully's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-21-06
    Posts: 1,276
    Betpoints: 84

    Quote Originally Posted by D3 Mighty Ducks View Post
    I want the Raiders to sneak in. McFadden is back in the lineup this week. WATCH OUT
    Hell yeah-'Just win Baby'!!!

Top