Originally Posted by
UNCGQ
K . . .
PJ Hairston, UNC's 'Freshman-off the bench 3-point specialist' is expected not to play. Not a major blow, but he's looked sharp at moments this season when a shot of scoring was needed. It'd be much better for UNC to have him than not.
UNC's play this season has been 'good' to 'very good' but not 'tough' at any point. It's just not really in the make-up of the team and could hurt them as they make their run in the Tourney. There aren't a lot of 'speak-up' leaders on the team.
Zeller was around for the last title run (injured but was on the team) and it looked to but generally a quiet guy. Henson is a great, yet goofy kid.
Barnes has flashes of brilliance but gets lost in the flow a lot. I think if he stopped thinking completely and just played he'd average 25 a night. The more he lets his head get in the way of his instincts it hurts him. There's a ton of thinking in the UNC system and he's a player it hinders. Not to say he doesn't have basketball IQ, I just think his first instinct is to shoot and that's not the UNC system.
Marshall is a great on the floor leader but is only a sophomore and not even a full season into being the lead point guard. A great 'everybody else' first point guard, but he's not going to get into anybody's face and get the team going either. The difference between this team and the '09 team is a Tyler Hansbrough to bring the intensity.
The worst nightmare for this team is one (like UNLV) who comes out and punches them in the mouth and says 'let's go'. They're not strong enough with the ball (generally, especially inside) and you'd think it's a part of the "Carolina Way" to leave 3-pt shooters wide open on dribble penetration help defense since it's been that way for years and years.
I do think this will be the toughest test UNC has until at least the third round of the NCAA tourney. Dook is always Dook, and throw out the records when they play, but they're not Kentucky this year either. I do think however that it's a long season and anybody who is trying to predict NCAA success based off this game will be sadly disappointed either way it goes. It's a long season and a long time until the first weekend in April.
Me? I wouldn't touch this game with stolen money. Too many better games on the board this weekend. UNC is too unpredictable in this setting (not Rupp, but early in the year against a #1 team who also was the team that ended their tourney run last year).
If UK can be aggressive and 'handsy' on defense enough to upset Zeller and Henson and limit their touches inside, and on offense UK can drive the lane and pitch to open shots on the perimeter, they walk. If UNC shows up with a chip on their shoulder and comes to play, it's theirs by a handful. It's the 'biggest' college basketball game we'll see for a little bit this season so I'm content to enjoy just watching it.
Hopefully somebody with an adequate UK knowledge can chime in to help these folks out sometime in the next 11 hours . . . .