[pavyracer]

Ha ha. Everyone on the forum is on Miss St. Why? Because they lost 11 times in a row to LSU, are 0-6 vs Les Miles, they only beat Ole Miss in SEC West the last 3 years, and the line moved against them. I mean all the indicators are there for an upset.

[brahmabull117]

youre a fckin idiot if you think lsu should be a -300 fav in this game. everything you say becomes moot. there is no fckin way pinnacle is off by that much

LSU has beaten this team 11 straight times, has a 46-4 record in night games under Les Miles and is trying to start 5-0 now for the 3rd straight season



MSU got shredded on defense against a bad auburn team that doesn't even have Cam Newton anymore. You're crazy to think MSU has a better than 30% chance to win this game


they might cover a + 3.5 or +4.5 spread because LSU seems to win a lot of these games close but they usually do find a way to win

[Romanov]

LSU has beaten this team 11 straight times, has a 46-4 record in night games under Les Miles and is trying to start 5-0 now for the 3rd straight season MSU got shredded on defense against a bad auburn team that doesn't even have Cam Newton anymore. You're crazy to think MSU has a better than 30% chance to win this game they might cover a + 3.5 or +4.5 spread because LSU seems to win a lot of these games close but they usually do find a way to win

trend analysis is for squares. everyone watching espn has that info. if betting was as easy as watching a sportscenter game preview, which is what you've just given me, everyone would go professional.

[SaintsFan]

Wish SB would raise the ML limit I'm jonesing for more FREE MONEY!!! Three point three dimes ain't enough - gots to feed my FAMILY brah!!!

[brahmabull117]

trend analysis is for squares. everyone watching espn has that info. .

then why is all the money tonight on mississipi state???


I think 87% of the public is on MSU



ever heard of a quote - "Those who fail to study history are doomed to repeat it"??

[apeterlives]

all the money is on MSU--where does it show that brahma??

[Romanov]

then why is all the money tonight on mississipi state??? I think 87% of the public is on MSU ever heard of a quote - "Those who fail to study history are doomed to repeat it"??

History rhymes, it does not repeat... if you ever went into the study of history more than a highschool class you would have heard that one too.

As for your public percentages you misread. Over 80% of the bets are on LSU bucko!

http://pregame.com/p/sportsbook-spy.aspx

[SaintsFan]

Yah LSU is def the square / public play tonight.

Books will take a bath if us squares are right.

[boneheaded1]

You're fine. LSU ml (and even at -3) is the correct play. Doesn't mean it will hit, but it is the CORRECT play. All those people picking MSU are the same type of people who picked the Browns their first week in their buddies "last man standing" pool, thinking they were smart saving the obvious teams for later. They over think it.

This is the "free rock" from the books. Hoping to get people coming back for more thinking they beat the books once, let's do it again. Get new people to deposit to play that game, let them win then take it back on following weeks because those squares thought they were smart taking a gimmee.

I just don't see this as being that close. LSU defense is better. LSU offense has way more talent.

[No coincidences]

I think 87% of the public is on MSU

You are beyond clueless.

[fjblair]

Easy money. LSU will roll. All square money on Miss St.

Actually the "square" money is on LSU.

[JamesBrown]

Public is all over LSU! MSU is the right side tonight.

[Dirty D]

You're fine. LSU ml (and even at -3) is the correct play. Doesn't mean it will hit, but it is the CORRECT play. All those people picking MSU are the same type of people who picked the Browns their first week in their buddies "last man standing" pool, thinking they were smart saving the obvious teams for later. They over think it.

This is the "free rock" from the books. Hoping to get people coming back for more thinking they beat the books once, let's do it again. Get new people to deposit to play that game, let them win then take it back on following weeks because those squares thought they were smart taking a gimmee.

I just don't see this as being that close. LSU defense is better. LSU offense has way more talent.

OMG. All of the casinos on the planet are giving a freebie to the public tonight. This must be a once in a season opportunity! I will have to change my play to LSU with that sound logic.

Bodog isn't so generous though because they raised the line a point looking for more MSU money...

Dirty D

[Machine Choice]

I have max 33 units on LSU at sportsbook.

burial watch

[slowdown]

Hey friends, this is my opinion,
why do you play ml...?? Have you seen a lot upset games? Have you seen many football games winning by 1 or 2 point???

So why don't you play -2.5 or -6.5 or -13.5 ....ex: Lsu -2.5(-120) just buy 1 point..
Juice is way lower than ml....

Gl

[blix177]

I got one fat unit on Miss St. But I can still make you feel better, your an idiot.

[Semt3x]

LSU will win.

[broadway6]

then why is all the money tonight on mississipi state???


I think 87% of the public is on MSU



ever heard of a quote - "Those who fail to study history are doomed to repeat it"??

this is wrong. more like 80% on LSU - the points

[BlackAces]

I got one fat unit on Miss St. But I can still make you feel better, you're an idiot.

I fixed it for you. Thanks for checking in!

[beerman2619]

looks like square money going to win tonight kids

[RGG]

So far so good my friend!

[boneheaded1]

Whatever, Dirty D. I'd rather be considered a square by a "sharp" like you and take my $50 winnings while you sit and chew on whatever loss you took on this one. That "logic" that you locked onto was not why I picked LSU -3; the logic I used was essentially that last sentence. That logic made LSU -3 too good to pass up.

Maybe you can explain why the line didn't move even though the public was pounding LSU? Do you really think the books expected MSU was only 3 points worse than LSU? Books don't work that way. They are perfectly happy to take the juice only which is why I could understand why the line wasn't moving.

Who knows, maybe the line didn't move because "sharps" (who bet more than the average Joe) saw the public was pounding LSU and decided to bet MSU because "the public is always wrong."

And for the record, I do not claim to be a sharp. I'm nowhere near that level. Nor do I claim I could beat you in a capping contest (I generally stay away from spread bets). But next time, take the freebie that the books are giving and avoid trying to make someone who made a smarter play than you look stupid. But come to think of it. Call me stupid all you want as long as my plays keep hitting.

As my Avatar says, Smart may have the brains, but stupid has the balls.

You had the brains to talk yourself out of a good play. I had the balls to go with a play that was correct no matter what the public or the books were doing.

That said, good luck this year and kill the books.

[PaperTrail07]

lsu secondary was all over those jokers---cashed in yest

[Urbanwildlife]

Whatever, Dirty D. I'd rather be considered a square by a "sharp" like you and take my $50 winnings while you sit and chew on whatever loss you took on this one. That "logic" that you locked onto was not why I picked LSU -3; the logic I used was essentially that last sentence. That logic made LSU -3 too good to pass up.

Maybe you can explain why the line didn't move even though the public was pounding LSU? Do you really think the books expected MSU was only 3 points worse than LSU? Books don't work that way. They are perfectly happy to take the juice only which is why I could understand why the line wasn't moving.

Who knows, maybe the line didn't move because "sharps" (who bet more than the average Joe) saw the public was pounding LSU and decided to bet MSU because "the public is always wrong."

And for the record, I do not claim to be a sharp. I'm nowhere near that level. Nor do I claim I could beat you in a capping contest (I generally stay away from spread bets). But next time, take the freebie that the books are giving and avoid trying to make someone who made a smarter play than you look stupid. But come to think of it. Call me stupid all you want as long as my plays keep hitting.

As my Avatar says, Smart may have the brains, but stupid has the balls.

You had the brains to talk yourself out of a good play. I had the balls to go with a play that was correct no matter what the public or the books were doing.

That said, good luck this year and kill the books.

Very nice post boneheaded, and you expressed it perfectly.