1. 09-09-11 09:14 AM #1
    Money
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    Bad Idea?

    Thinking about putting a grand on Stanford -21 vs Duke. Im a college student and lost a 500 bet on South Carolina last weekend on the last play of the last drive for ECU. I dont understand how the line can be this low, and I feel like I need to get in while the gettins good and make back that $ I lost last week plus some. On the other hand, I dont want to throw away almost 1500 by week 2 of the season. This money is coming from my summer job and Im torn on whether or not to book this play. What do you "older, wiser" guys think?
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  2. 09-09-11 09:21 AM #2
    Regul8er
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    Never chase loses is my advice. I would bet the same percentage of your bankroll each game, whatever that is.
    Standford seems like a solid bet, but the line is set at 21 for a reason.
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  3. 09-09-11 09:25 AM #3
    bipolar
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    dont double up to try and regain... bad habit, dont start it
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  4. 09-09-11 09:30 AM #4
    Money
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    Lines down to -20 105. Does this seem fishy to anyone else? U of Richmond beat Duke at Duke last week and theyre D-1AA. Only thing that worries me is Stanfords trip out there.
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  5. 09-09-11 09:36 AM #5
    stikymess
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    I like the play, keep in mind Stanford is on the road and I expect Duke to put up some points. So always a chance of a meaningless late touchdown to cover late.

    I don't like the chasing, if that's your only play of the weekend, maybe throw a hundy on it. Learn some patience it will serve you well. think of more as investing than gambling. Best of luck.
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  6. 09-09-11 09:37 AM #6
    stikymess
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    The over maybe worth a look.
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  7. 09-09-11 09:39 AM #7
    doublej95
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    The line is fishy, Duke would be the play but I wouldn't lay 2 bucks on the Devils here.
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  8. 09-09-11 09:49 AM #8
    saints7011
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    I just went huge on Stanford...

    the line is about to go up...
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  9. 09-09-11 09:51 AM #9
    stikymess
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    Quote Originally Posted by saints7011 View Post
    I just went huge on Stanford...

    the line is about to go up...
    what did you sell this time?
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  10. 09-09-11 09:53 AM #10
    saints7011
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    Quote Originally Posted by stikymess View Post
    what did you sell this time?
    my lady got paid this morning...






    dulas
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  11. 09-09-11 09:55 AM #11
    TR88
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    Quote Originally Posted by saints7011 View Post
    my lady got paid this morning...






    dulas

































    dulas
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  12. 09-09-11 09:55 AM #12
    stikymess
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    Quote Originally Posted by saints7011 View Post
    my lady got paid this morning... Dulas
    nice! :d
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  13. 09-09-11 09:56 AM #13
    bipolar
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    dont get into the bad habit of doubling up to regain losses as above poster mentioned
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  14. 09-09-11 10:03 AM #14
    Adamho
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    Bridge jump this game and enjoy it. You will get 10% of your losses back and won't suffer a stroke on some meaningless touchdown. If you can research any bad blood between the coaching staff or any bulletin board material then the spread will be covered.
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  15. 09-09-11 10:06 AM #15
    jjgold
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    Quote Originally Posted by Money View Post
    Thinking about putting a grand on Stanford -21 vs Duke. Im a college student and lost a 500 bet on South Carolina last weekend on the last play of the last drive for ECU. I dont understand how the line can be this low, and I feel like I need to get in while the gettins good and make back that $ I lost last week plus some. On the other hand, I dont want to throw away almost 1500 by week 2 of the season. This money is coming from my summer job and Im torn on whether or not to book this play. What do you "older, wiser" guys think?
    We love guys like you money

    Best of luck
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  16. 09-09-11 11:10 AM #16
    Money
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    Well boys.. This is it, I have booked it. As square as this play looks, I hope it cashes. Hopefully Im not like the rest of the guys here who post their "locks" or other plays. GL to yall this weekend. If Stanford can pull this out, along with my Gamecocks beating UGA (No wager on this unpredictable game) I will have one helluva Saturday evening. (CANT FIGURE OUT HOW TO POST SCREENSHOT).
    6664323GameDateUser/PhoneDate PlacedSportDescriptionRisk/Win
    Ticket#:10639284
    Sep 10 03:30 PM

    		INTERNET / -1Sep 09 12:05 PM
    CFB

    		STRAIGHT BET
    [339] STANFORD -20-105


    700 / 667


    GameDateUser/PhoneDate PlacedSportDescriptionRisk/Win
    Ticket#:10639284
    Sep 10 03:30 PM

    		INTERNET / -1Sep 09 12:05 PM
    CFB

    		STRAIGHT BET
    [339] STANFORD -20-105


    700 / 667




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  17. 09-09-11 11:16 AM #17
    stikymess
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    Best of luck Money, hope it pulls through for you.

    Two words for next week, money management.
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  18. 09-09-11 11:22 AM #18
    saints7011
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    meet me at Icey's...

    we can watch this ass whoopin together...










    dulas
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  19. 09-09-11 11:40 AM #19
    dontazeme1
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    stanford rolls in my opinion nice bet
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  20. 09-09-11 11:53 AM #20
    bruce0
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    We had another thread about this play.
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/college-fo...line-21-a.html

    The short of it is while 98% of the action was on Stanford, the line dropped half point yesterday. that is not a good indicator even for this play, but in the end I feel it will cover, just not easily.
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  21. 09-09-11 11:55 AM #21
    anthonydiamondLC
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    I remember last yr Alabama played Duke and it was around this number...needless to say Alabama put up like 70 against duke and covered the spread by the 1st qtr. Just have to be weary of Stanford traveling cross country and the line opened at 15.5 so right off the bat the bookmakers were giving Duke some respect, however the whole world is on Stanford so the line has been pushed to 20.5. I don't know though, there's not a lot of value here for me. Personally I think there are better games to bet on. I agree with everyone here though there is no reason to put $700 on this game and completely bury yourself in wk 2. You should just bet like $200 and see what happens then at least if you win you made money, your feeling good, step out on your next game.
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  22. 09-09-11 12:11 PM #22
    bruce0
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    Good advice.
    I don't see anyone who got 15.5, 17 was the lowest I heard of but still didn't see it on a site. Either way when everyone is on a number and it moves a couple points, then retreats midweek with such a heavy percentage that's something to look out for. Hopefully those on the other side just see value and are wrong. We need a big public win this! At least I do!
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  23. 09-09-11 12:29 PM #23
    (Reyes)
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    a bit foolish
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  24. 09-09-11 01:38 PM #24
    anthonydiamondLC
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    Its gonna be comical if Duke who lost to a Div 1-AA team last wk comes back tomorrow and actually gives Stanford a fight. The opening line was very telling.
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  25. 09-09-11 02:23 PM #25
    saints1856
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    Comical? Not for 'Money'... (or myself for that matter) I got them -20 for the game and -12 for the first half
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  26. 09-09-11 02:52 PM #26
    bruce0
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    Not for me either! But I reduced the play because of that line movement. Can't ignore that.
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  27. 09-10-11 03:50 PM #27
    saints7011
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    not looking good...
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  28. 09-11-11 08:57 AM #28
    Money
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    cocks and cardinal win!
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  29. 09-11-11 09:21 AM #29
    stikymess
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    Quote Originally Posted by Money View Post
    cocks and cardinal win!
    Nice job Money, now ease up with the big bets, please.
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  30. 09-11-11 10:48 AM #30
    BiTeMe UsAdOj
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    Quote Originally Posted by Money View Post
    cocks and cardinal win!
    A phrase heard more than once from the Vatican, btw.

    Congrats.
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  31. 09-11-11 10:54 AM #31
    Powderguy
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    I wouldn't chance plays liek this again, 1 loss and you're crippled


    GOOD WINS
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  32. 09-11-11 11:48 AM #32
    M.W.
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    Read about the concept of "gambler's ruin". You can't keep betting this much on each game.
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