1. 09-09-11 04:32 PM #1
    Otters27
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    Friday Night College Foots 9/9

    What to make of these games. Louisville at home vs FIU -3? Trap?

    Not sure about ASU Mizz
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  2. 09-09-11 05:16 PM #2
    neverstoppers23
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    Yeah, not to sure what to do about Louisville.
    Maybe do a 7 point teaser with Asu and Lousiville.
    +4.5 Lousivvle -3 Asu?
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  3. 09-09-11 05:24 PM #3
    scarp
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    Mizzou's offense is bad this year. Liking ASU, but not sure on spread
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  4. 09-09-11 05:43 PM #4
    Cougar Bait
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    Quote Originally Posted by neverstoppers23 View Post
    Yeah, not to sure what to do about Louisville.
    Maybe do a 7 point teaser with Asu and Lousiville.
    +4.5 Lousivvle -3 Asu?
    Teasing through zero is -EV
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  5. 09-09-11 05:47 PM #5
    dfberger23
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    Not touching Louisville game, on Mizzou +9.5 but it is now at +10, really like that play.
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  6. 09-09-11 05:52 PM #6
    Cougar Bait
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    If you tease anything tonight I suggest Florida International and the over

    FIU will put up some points, and give them up

    I think they could win outright, tough environment though
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  7. 09-09-11 05:53 PM #7
    lesterdymond
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    Taking Mizzou with that jump to +10.

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  8. 09-09-11 05:54 PM #8
    DrStale
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    Under in the ASU game for me. Small play on FIU as well.
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  9. 09-09-11 06:47 PM #9
    neverstoppers23
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cougar Bait View Post
    Teasing through zero is -EV
    whys that?
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  10. 09-09-11 06:59 PM #10
    neverstoppers23
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    So called I did not have any action on Louisville tonight. Woot Woot.
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  11. 09-09-11 07:01 PM #11
    Cougar Bait
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    Quote Originally Posted by neverstoppers23 View Post

    whys that?
    It's just a common belief is all. I don't know what the numbers say as to if it is more or less profitable. However for me, that strategy has been -EV so I stopped doing it altogether. I have had a lot more success teasing +1.5 to +2.5 underdogs and -7.5 to -8.5 favorites. It's profitable when given the right teaser odds. In both of these teaser options when moving the spread six points, you’re capturing a win on what would have been a loss. And in the same case tonight you can see the real value on teasing the dog up to +10 as opposed to making Louisville the small dog.
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