1. 09-04-11 02:56 AM #1
    Cris_from_Europe
    Cris_from_Europe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-25-09
    Posts: 343
    Betpoints: 1

    SMU @ Texas A&M ... will it go OVER ???

    tell me what you think ?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 09-04-11 03:00 AM #2
    kaijunn
    kaijunn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-02-11
    Posts: 674
    Betpoints: 1361

    question is...wil A&M cover 16!?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 09-04-11 03:08 AM #3
    Cris_from_Europe
    Cris_from_Europe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-25-09
    Posts: 343
    Betpoints: 1

    don't really care about them covering ... i need the OVER to cash a 5 game parlay .... that being said, having picked correctly 4 games, I'm a bit scared about this final game ... Statistically i should lose this one as 5 team parlays are kinda rare ...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 09-04-11 03:13 AM #4
    Sunde91
    Sunde91's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-26-09
    Posts: 8,325
    Betpoints: 255

    it should

    -TA&M 20th in Passing O. Return Senior QB and all WRs/TEs/RBs
    -SMU 21st in Passing O. Return JR QB and all WRs/TEs/RBs
    -TA&M 89th in Passing D. Return 8 on D including entire secondary
    -SMU 43rd in Passing D. Return 8 on D including 3/4 secondary
    -Both teams looking at hyped years where they could breakout and rack up top 10 Passing years

    lots of passing means lots of long first downs which stop the clock to move chains, means incompletions that stop the clock, means lots of short routes to the sideline which stop the clock, means routes over the middle that leave room to run after the catch and break a score = lots of time to work with and explosive plays for above average scoring

    bad breaks or abnormal low scoring are needed to secure a loss. average scoring leaves you right around the # where you could be 1 play from going over or staying under. advantage is always with the over in games like these, unless the # is clearly off. it's low if anything
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 09-04-11 03:35 AM #5
    Cris_from_Europe
    Cris_from_Europe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-25-09
    Posts: 343
    Betpoints: 1

    tnx Sunde91 for the facts you posted ... feel much better now ...

    I just realized, when I rechecked my card, I had teased the total on this play down 7pts so basically I need OVER 49.5 ... would you advise me to bet UNDER 49.5 for some insurance ? or OVER 49.5 is solid for this game ?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 09-04-11 03:48 AM #6
    naloboy
    naloboy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-26-06
    Posts: 112
    Betpoints: 561

    this is over written all over it.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 09-04-11 06:10 AM #7
    Summer_313
    Summer_313's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-05-11
    Posts: 29
    Betpoints: 125

    Over is the play,i like the over so i did some research and got some prediction texas a&m 44 smu 37 texas a&m 34 smu 31 the over look promiseing goog luck.i will still recerch somemore and post it for you
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 09-04-11 06:37 AM #8
    TodaysLocks
    TodaysLocks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-06-10
    Posts: 1,450
    Betpoints: 187

    I think you will $$ your parlay.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 09-04-11 07:43 AM #9
    wal66
    wal66's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-08
    Posts: 5,305
    Betpoints: 7

    While most probably agree that the OVER is the right play, why are you not considering hedging? Naturally hitting the big score get's the juices flowing and makes for some awesome chest thumping when it comes in but guaranteeing yourself a profit is always the right play.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 09-04-11 08:36 AM #10
    Oli
    Oli's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-17-10
    Posts: 81
    Betpoints: 0

    @wal66 --> did just that 2 hours ago ... since I teased the total 7 pt on my ticket I got awesome value against my original bet UNDER 49.5 pays like a madafaka so now I'm guaranteed a profit either way just hoping it's the bigger one with the OVER hitting ....
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 09-04-11 08:57 AM #11
    jds07v
    jds07v's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-19-09
    Posts: 1,335
    Betpoints: 388

    big fan of hedging, especially when you can get your hedge at +++$ just like you just did. But I am on the over here
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 09-04-11 01:20 PM #12
    Pride
    rally rally rally
    Pride's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-12-10
    Posts: 4,237
    Betpoints: 200

    we all know what happens when there is no reason for a game to go under
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 09-04-11 01:54 PM #13
    whatdafuxup
    whatdafuxup's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-25-08
    Posts: 1,307
    Betpoints: 692

    I'm in on the over in this one too
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 09-04-11 04:15 PM #14
    scratbandit
    scratbandit's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-07-09
    Posts: 548
    Betpoints: 630

    You are definitely a winner on this one in the over..
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 09-04-11 04:20 PM #15
    vitalogist
    GET LOOSE!
    vitalogist's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-11-08
    Posts: 2,820
    Betpoints: 474

    Good luck bro I like it! Gonna tail for a couple units too I think!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 09-04-11 04:33 PM #16
    pavyracer
    MOLON LABE
    pavyracer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-12-07
    Posts: 82,189
    Betpoints: 410

    I think it will be under. Need lots of points to cover 56.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 09-04-11 04:35 PM #17
    TWEETS
    57% NCAAF
    TWEETS's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-22-08
    Posts: 2,114
    Betpoints: 391

    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    I think it will be under. Need lots of points to cover 56.
    I initially thought over as well, but the more i look the under looks better. SMU played pretty well on D last year and I'm not convinced A&M is going to be an offensive force.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 09-04-11 04:41 PM #18
    D3 Mighty Ducks
    D3 Mighty Ducks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-17-09
    Posts: 11,933
    Betpoints: 782

    I like the Over in this one. Decided to do a 2 team teaser.. Marshall +28 and Over 48.5 SMU/TXAM
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 09-04-11 05:16 PM #19
    Sunde91
    Sunde91's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-26-09
    Posts: 8,325
    Betpoints: 255

    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    I think it will be under. Need lots of points to cover 56.
    I hedged out upon reading this cutting insight
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 09-04-11 05:32 PM #20
    +Even
    +Even's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-04-10
    Posts: 443
    Betpoints: 0

    I'm on SMU and the uner
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 09-04-11 05:44 PM #21
    kaijunn
    kaijunn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-02-11
    Posts: 674
    Betpoints: 1361

    i'm on smu and the over now...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 09-04-11 05:48 PM #22
    fecgp40
    fecgp40's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-01-11
    Posts: 5,750
    Betpoints: 5185

    movement

    wow... o/u for a&m game has gone from 55 to 54.5 on 5 dimes, and juice went from -107 to - 103. I guess a lot of people are jumping on the under. Hmmm...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 09-04-11 05:59 PM #23
    hardball
    hardball's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-02-10
    Posts: 435
    Betpoints: 451

    Quote Originally Posted by fecgp40 View Post
    wow... o/u for a&m game has gone from 55 to 54.5 on 5 dimes, and juice went from -107 to - 103. I guess a lot of people are jumping on the under. Hmmm...
    Windy as hell right now. Wind at 30 MPH gusts to 35-40. GL
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 09-04-11 06:51 PM #24
    fecgp40
    fecgp40's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-01-11
    Posts: 5,750
    Betpoints: 5185

    Good start for the over!!!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 09-04-11 06:54 PM #25
    Poppa K
    Poppa K's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-10
    Posts: 549
    Betpoints: 7

    Yes, Over... Cash it...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 09-04-11 07:27 PM #26
    fecgp40
    fecgp40's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-01-11
    Posts: 5,750
    Betpoints: 5185

    Cash it boys!! So much for a wind-aided under!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 09-04-11 07:37 PM #27
    pthai
    pthai's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-08-11
    Posts: 26
    Betpoints: 0

    oh yeah 20-14....easy money
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | College Football Betting | Next Thread »