1. #1
    Wilforth
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    Wilforth's Play Mill

    It's time to move on after the All-Star break.
    I hope to improve in this half of the season. One is also glad that European soccer leagues will soon resume as I'll be relying on them for much of my plays.

    Thursday, 07/17/2008

    * The Orioles can hit and should get it right with Olson on the mound.
    * With the offensive mediocrity of the Padres, nothing can be better than fading them on the road, even with Peavy's arm at their service.
    * The Columbus Crew hold a 2-0-0 record (home and away) against the Kansas Wizards in the MLS. With the home advantage on their side, the Crew will hopefully improve their record against the Wizards to 3-0-0 on Thursday.

    My plays:
    Orioles -110
    Cardinals -120
    Columbus Crew -135

  2. #2
    Wilforth
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    Orioles -110
    Cardinals -120
    Columbus Crew -135

    1-2 -2.45 on 07/17/08
    Last edited by Wilforth; 07-18-08 at 04:27 AM. Reason: Typo

  3. #3
    Wilforth
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    Friday, 07/18/2008

    * The Pirates/Rockies game looks poised to go Over, all things considered.
    * Perkins is 1-0 against Texas this season and today's Texas/Twins match-up looks poised to improve Perkins' record against Texas to 2-0. Let's cash in as Perkins brings home the bacon.

    My plays:
    Pirates/Rockies Over 10½ (-110)
    Twins -119

    Added play:
    5-team parlay (+1900):
    Mariners/Twins/Orioles/Rockies/Nationals-Braves Under 8.5

    I like this play and I'm adding it:
    Athletics/Yankees Under 9 (-105)
    Last edited by Wilforth; 07-18-08 at 01:15 PM. Reason: Add play

  4. #4
    Wilforth
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    Friday, 07/18/2008

    * The bats weren't adequately swung in the Pirates/Rockies game. The game ended on the Under side.
    * The Braves/Nationals game conspired against our +1900 5-team parlay.

    My plays:
    Pirates/Rockies Over 10½ (-110)
    Twins -119
    Athletics/Yankees Under 9 (-105)
    5-team parlay
    Mariners/Twins/Orioles/Rockies/Nationals-Braves Under 8.5

    Day's account:
    2-1 +0.90 on straight wagers.
    0-1 on parlay.

  5. #5
    nervlol
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    Wow so close on the parlay!! =((

  6. #6
    Wilforth
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    Saturday, 07/19/2008
    * Mypa 47 is currently in second place in the Finnish soccer league, trailing the league leaders, Inter Turku, by just 2 points. Victory today against Tampere will hand them 3 points and first place in the league.
    * Looking at the pitching match-up in the Texas/Twins game, one expects a Twins win and a high-scoring game.
    * While some of Garza's recent performances may not inspire, his poor performances are limited to the road. Garza's home form is sterling, where he owns a stingy 2.38 ERA. Halladay boasts a sparkling 2.44 ERA on the road. He shut out the Yankees in his last road trip. Considering that Tampa Bay isn't a slaughter house by any means, one expects the Jays/Rays game to conveniently go Under the posted total.

    My plays:
    Mypa 47 +135
    Twins -117
    Blue Jays/Rays Under 7½ (-110)
    Texas/Twins Over 10 (+100)

    We've started on a good note. Mypa 47 (+135) won their game.

    * Zambrano's record against the Astros, his sparkling recent form and Rodriquez's home ERA of 2.72 suggest the Cubs/Astros game will be low-scoring.
    * Garza is 0-2 against the Blue Jays and with Halladay's arm at their service, we expect Garza will be 0-3 against the Jays in a few hours from now.

    Added plays:
    Cubs/Astros Under 8½ (-120)
    Blue Jays -115

    3-team parlay:
    Brewers/White Sox/Indians-Mariners Over 9.5 (+462)
    Last edited by Wilforth; 07-19-08 at 02:35 PM. Reason: Add plays

  7. #7
    Wilforth
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    Saturday's report card

    Mypa 47 +135
    Twins -117
    Blue Jays/Rays Under 7½ (-110)
    Texas/Twins Over 10 (+100)

    Cubs/Astros Under 8½ (-120)
    Blue Jays -115


    3-team parlay:
    Brewers/White Sox/Indians-Mariners Over 9.5 (+462)

    Straight wagers: 4-2 +2.15 on straight wagers.
    Parlay: 0-1

  8. #8
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: 4-2 +2.15 (Straight wagers).

    Sunday, 07/20/2008
    * Euro U19 Soccer Championship: Hungary, one of the hottest teams in the championship is at home against Germany. In this championship, Germany has fared well but Hungary has been one of the hottest teams and even boasts a road victory over the "mighty" Spainiards. Hungary is our favorite to beat Germany.
    * A's/Yankees: The Under appeals in this game but the Under play is tricky these days. Duchscherer is 1-0 against the Yankees and has a chance today to up that record to 2-0.
    * Mets/Reds: Pelfrey is awesome but the Reds have so much going for them right now. With "Cy" Volquez on the mound for the Reds, outscoring the Mets by 2 runs or more isn't asking too much of them right now.
    * Don't be deceived by Lincecum's and Parra's stats, the Brewers/Giants game will produce at least 8 runs. These teams' batters have been hot lately and they don't seem intent on going on vacation today.
    * Phillies/Marlins: This is an easy Over play, more so that late runs will contribute significantly to the total number of runs.

    Today's plays:
    Hungary +320
    Athletics +130
    Reds -1½ (+160)
    Brewers/Giants Over 7½ (+100)
    Phillies/Marlins Over 8 (-115)

    Added play:
    MLB: Angels FF -110
    MLS: DC United +110 The game is slated for 07/22. A mistake on my part.
    Last edited by Wilforth; 07-20-08 at 06:55 PM. Reason: Add play

  9. #9
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: 1-4-1 -3.15. Wow! What a bad day!

    Monday, 07/21

    MLB

    Yankees -125
    Marlins -120
    Twins/Yankees Under 9 (-115)
    Braves/Marlins Under 9 (-110)
    Red Sox/Mariners Under 9 (-125)
    Pirates/Astros Over 10 (-115)
    Brewers/Cardinals Over 9 (-125)

    Additions:
    Brewers TT Over 4.5 (-120)

    Braves@Marlins: The Braves woeful road record is no news. Campillo is good but how much runs support will he get? Volstad allowed just one run in 10 innings to start off his MLB career. He's 2-0 with a stingy 0.84 ERA. Given he'll get more runs support than Campillo and has the home advantage, he's likely to improve his record to 3-0 tonight.
    Twins@Yankees: Blackburn has been awesome for the Twins but Ponson is 10-2 in 15 appearances against the Twins. Plus the Twins are 8-22 at the Yankees stadium. The Yankees clearly have the edge here.
    Red Sox/Mariners: Washburn has given up two earned runs or less in six of his last seven starts, while Lester owns a road ERA of 3.92. Plus the Red Sox are 3-11 against the Mariners and are 5-14 on the road. The Mariners are poised to take this series opener.


    3-team-parlay
    Marlins/Yankees/Mariners +1.5 (+5.08)

    Soccer
    Kyoto (Japan J-League) +120
    Urawa Red Diamonds (Japan J-League) -118
    Inter Turku (Finland) -105
    Last edited by Wilforth; 07-21-08 at 12:51 PM. Reason: Add plays

  10. #10
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: 6-5 overall +0.22. MLB: 5-3 +1.40. Soccer: 1-2 -1.18

    Tuesday, 07/22

    Soccer
    MLS: DC United +100

    MLB
    Braves -113
    Phillies +155
    Mariners +153
    Cardinals -134
    Padres -118
    Red Sox/Mariners Under 9 (-130)
    Dodgers/Rockies Under 10.5 (-125)
    Orioles +100
    Last edited by Wilforth; 07-22-08 at 01:09 PM. Reason: Add lines

  11. #11
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: MLB: 2-6 -4.17 Soccer 0-0 (game was postponed)

    Wednesday, 07/23

    Soccer
    Switzerland Super League (soccer): Bellinzona +125
    Austrian league: Sturm Graz -133

    MLB
    Twins/Yankees Under 9.5 (-105)
    Tigers/Royals Under 9.5 (120)
    Texas +105
    Orioles -120
    Padres/Reds FF Under 5 (+105)
    Mets FF -130
    Jays/Orioles Over 8 (-125)
    Last edited by Wilforth; 07-23-08 at 04:24 PM. Reason: Add lines

  12. #12
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: 3-3-1 -0.40 Soccer 1-1 -0.33

    Thursday, 07/24

    Soccer
    Brazilian league: Palmeiras -133
    Finland Division 2: AC Oulu -143
    Finland Division 2: TPV Tampere -133
    Friendly game: Werder Bremen (Germany) -200 (to beat Aris [Greece])

    Added:
    Norway Cup: Tromso +110

    MLB
    Rays/Royals Under 8½ (-115)
    Nationals/Giants Under 8 (-115)
    Brewers/Cardinals Over 8½ (-105)
    Mets -122

    Added:
    Pirates -111
    Phillies/Mets Under 9 (-120)
    Last edited by Wilforth; 07-24-08 at 04:50 PM. Reason: Update yesterday's record

  13. #13
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: MLB: 5-1 +3.95 Soccer: 3-2 +0.57

    Friday, 07/25

    Soccer
    Austria Div 1: FK Austria Wien -137

    MLB
    Braves +110
    Yankees +110
    Blue Jays -1.5 (+135)
    Braves/Phillies Under 9.5 (-110)
    Pirates -118
    Cubs -174

    Added plays:
    Mets -180
    3-team parlay: Mets/Pirates/Blue Jays +350
    Last edited by Wilforth; 07-25-08 at 06:10 PM. Reason: Add lines

  14. #14
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: MLB: 4-3 +0.18 Soccer: 0-1 -1.37

    Saturday, 07/26

    Soccer
    Germany Div 3: FC Bayern München II +150
    Australia Preseason Cup: Newcastle +145

    Added:
    Germany Div 3: FC Bayern München II +150

    MLB
    Texas +178
    Astros +151
    Twins +113
    Orioles +109
    White Sox +130
    Last edited by Wilforth; 07-25-08 at 11:47 PM. Reason: Add line

  15. #15
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: 3-2 +2.21. Soccer: 0-2 -2.00

    Sunday, 07/27

    Soccer
    No play

    MLB

    Nationals +144
    Mariners +154
    Angels -1.5 (+115)
    Last edited by Wilforth; 07-27-08 at 07:28 AM. Reason: Update record

  16. #16
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: 1-2 -0.56
    Monday, 07/28

    MLB

    Tigers -115
    Angels/Red Sox Under 9 (-115)
    Blue Jays -112

    3-team parlay: Tigers/Yankees/Red Sox +403
    Last edited by Wilforth; 07-28-08 at 12:23 PM. Reason: Add parlay

  17. #17
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: MLB: 1-2 -1.30

    Tuesday, 07/29

    Soccer
    Friendly game: Malaysian Super League AllStars +1150 (vs. Chelsea)

    MLB
    Twins -1½ (+155)
    Phillies -1½ (+115)
    Rockies/Pirates Over 10½ (-110)
    Cubs/Brewers Over 7½ (-105)

    Added:
    Texas -1½ (+150)
    Tigers -117
    Phillies/Nationals Under 9 (+105)
    Orioles/Yankees Over 10½ (+100)
    Dbacks/Padres Over 7½ (+105)
    Marlins +106

    Added:
    Rockies -123
    Mets/Marlins - Will there be a score in the 1st Inning? No. -110
    Last edited by Wilforth; 07-29-08 at 05:47 PM. Reason: Add lines

  18. #18
    Wilforth
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    Public announcement
    I will stay off soccer until the European soccer leagues resume, i.e., until August 15. I'm not doing well with the few games that are available this period. There are too many unexpected draws nowadays.

  19. #19
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: MLB 4-8 -4.38 Soccer 0-1 -1.00

    Wednesday, 08/30

    Angels +160
    Reds +100
    Mets/Marlins Under 9 (-110)
    Tigers/Indians Under 9½ (-115)
    Braves -122
    Last edited by Wilforth; 07-30-08 at 08:00 AM. Reason: Post picks

  20. #20
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: MLB 2-3 -0.87

    Thursday, 08/31

    Angels +148
    Mariners +135
    Cardinals -114
    Rockies/Marlins Over 9½ (-115)

  21. #21
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: MLB 3-1 +2.69

    Friday, 08/01

    Soccer
    Russian Railways Cup: Chelsea -133 (vs. Locomotiv Moscow)
    France Ligue 2: Clermont Foot -143

    MLB

    Angels -1½ (+140)
    Brewers
    -1½ (+130)
    Nationals -110
    Brewers/Braves Over 9½ -105
    Giants/Padres Under 7 (-110)

    Added:
    Tigers/Rays FF Under 4
    ½ (+100)
    Last edited by Wilforth; 08-01-08 at 03:11 PM. Reason: Add play

  22. #22
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: MLB: 4-3 +1.35 Soccer: 0-2 -2.76 (Too bad)

    Saturday, 08/02

    Soccer
    No soccer plays until August 16.

    MLB

    Angels/Yankees Under 9½ (-105)
    Giants/Padres Under 7 (-120)
    Athletics
    +1½ (-115)
    Orioles/Mariners
    Over 7½ (-110)
    White Sox -137

    Added:
    A's/Red Sox FF Under 5 (-125)
    Angels/Yankees FF Under 5 (-110)
    As/Red Sox - Will there be a score in the 1st Inning? No. (-120)
    Last edited by Wilforth; 08-03-08 at 09:20 AM. Reason: Typo

  23. #23
    The_Kid
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    Nice day Wilforth. Keep it up bud

  24. #24
    Wilforth
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    Quote Originally Posted by The_Kid View Post
    Nice day Wilforth. Keep it up bud
    Sorry, the picks you're thumping me up for are my Saturday picks. I mistakenly wrote "Friday, 08/02" but have now corrected it. I actually went MLB: 4-3 +1.35 on Friday MLB games. It could have been 5-2 if not that I deluded myself into thinking the Angels RL would cash.
    I hope to continue to refine my criteria in order to do better.

  25. #25
    pat venditto
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    gj wil

  26. #26
    Wilforth
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    Quote Originally Posted by pat venditto View Post
    gj wil
    Thanks Pat.

  27. #27
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: MLB: 1-7 -7.32

    Sun
    day, 08/03

    MLB

    Texas -109

  28. #28
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: MLB: 1-0 +1.00

    Mon
    day, 08/04

    MLB

    Texas +144
    Braves +104
    Orioles/Angels Over 9 (-115)
    Braves/Giants Under 7 (-120)

    Added:
    Texas TT Over 4.5 (+110)
    Last edited by Wilforth; 08-04-08 at 04:25 PM. Reason: Add play

  29. #29
    Dashwood Clipper
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wilforth View Post
    Yesterday: MLB: 1-7 -7.32

    Sun
    day, 08/03

    MLB

    Texas -109
    Nice bounce back

  30. #30
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: MLB: 4-1 +3.44

    Tues
    day, 08/05

    MLB

    Athletics +110
    Dodgers -105
    Mets -1½ +130

    Added:
    Nationals +157
    Reds FF -120
    Last edited by Wilforth; 08-05-08 at 05:35 PM. Reason: Add line

  31. #31
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: MLB: 0-5 -5.25
    MLB 53-58-2 -8.74 since Jul 13, 2008
    Soccer 7-12 -9.40 since Jul 17, 2008

    Wednes
    day, 08/06

    Soccer
    Olympics Women Soccer: Argentina +1000
    European Champions League qualifiers: Dinamo Tbilisi +650
    Club friendlies: El Ahly +650 (vs. AS Roma)

    MLB

    Nationals +185
    Padres +177
    Texas +104
    Marlins/Phillies Under 10½ (+100)

  32. #32
    Wilforth
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    Thursday, 08/07

    Yesterday: MLB 2-1 +1.77 Soccer 0-3 -3.00
    MLB 55-59-2 -6.97 since Jul 13, 2008
    Soccer 7-15 -12.40 since Jul 17, 2008

    MLB
    Texas +140
    Mets -1½ (-125)
    Dbacks -1½ (+130)
    Last edited by Wilforth; 08-07-08 at 09:49 AM. Reason: Update record

  33. #33
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: MLB: 1-2 -1.00
    MLB 57-61-2 -6.97 since Jul 13, 2008
    Soccer 7-15 -12.40 since Jul 17, 2008

    Friday, 08/08

    Soccer
    Ambitious 4-team parlay (all from the Olympics Women Soccer):
    Argentina +1400
    Japan +900
    Germany/Nigeria draw +750
    Norway/New Zealand draw +550

    Total odds: 828,650

    MLB
    Angels -1½ (+120)
    Texas/Orioles Over 9½ (-120)
    Twins/Royals Under 9½ (-120)

    Added:
    Pirates/Phillies FF Under 5 (+105)
    Twins/Royals FF Under 5 (-110)
    Nationals/Brewers FF Under 4 (+100)
    Padres/Rockies - Will there be a score in the 1st Inning? No (-115)
    Last edited by Wilforth; 08-08-08 at 07:00 PM. Reason: Add play

  34. #34
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: MLB: 6-0-1 +6.25
    MLB 63-61-2 -0.74 since Jul 13, 2008
    Soccer 7-15 -12.40 since Jul 17, 2008

    Saturday, 08/09

    Soccer
    Ambitious 4-team parlay (all from the Olympics Women Soccer):
    Argentina +1400
    Japan +900
    Germany/Nigeria draw +750
    Norway/New Zealand draw +550

    Total odds: 828,650

    French Ligue 1: Bordeaux -189

    MLB
    Yankees +150
    Braves +147
    Texas +105
    Marlins +110
    Royals +102
    Texas/Orioles Over 10½ (-115)
    Pirates/Phillies Under 10½ (-110)

    Added:
    Red Sox/White Sox FF Under 5 (-105)
    Last edited by Wilforth; 08-09-08 at 04:15 PM. Reason: Add lines

  35. #35
    Wilforth
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    Yesterday: MLB: 3-5 -1.68. Soccer 1-0 +1.00
    MLB 66-66-2 -2.42 since Jul 13, 2008
    Soccer 8-15 -11.40 since Jul 17, 2008

    Sunday, 08/10

    Soccer
    Brazil Div 1: Botafogo +115
    French Ligue 1: Lyon -290
    England Community Shield Game: Manchester United -175

    MLB
    Twins/Royals Under 8½ (-115)
    Rays/Mariners Under 9 (-120)
    Dodgers/Giants Under 7 (-125)
    Nationals/Brewers
    Under 8½ (-110)

    Added:
    Cardinals TT Over
    3½ (+100)
    Last edited by Wilforth; 08-10-08 at 04:31 PM. Reason: Update record

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