Of course as a Reds fan almost every time I bet them I lose but they did put up 5 ER in 2 IP on McClung in April out of the pen....he was so bad I was surprised he's a starter now? Seems like McClung is a 5-6 inning guy and the Brewers pen isn't too hot? On the other side Volquez's control has been very erratic lately as well? I would lean towards the Reds with the better starter and pen but I think Over 8.5 is a better play here!!
I like MIL here. These SAT night crowds at Miller Park are intense. I think McClung pitches okay here, probably gives them 6 innings and allows 3 runs. CINC struggles on the road, and Edison Volquez is starting to gradually regress. Brewer bats can really get it going at home too.