"Carmona, though, has had a string of disastrous outings against the Twins in recent seasons. He's 0-5 with a 10.41 ERA in his last six matchups, losing 9-3 at Progressive Field on April 30 after giving up six runs over six innings."
I would be weary about sure-fire. Carmona has been hot lately, he just shut down boston last week. Carmona earlier in the season is not the same as Carmona now. In a related note, the twins lineup has had injury problems. Could happen , but def not "sure-fire"