1. #1
    benjy
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    Benjy's MLB's picks 2010

    All lines from 5Dimes. All bets risk 1 unit on dogs and to win 1 unit on faves. Unit size varies according to how bankroll (~2.5% of roll) does. Tail or Fade.

    Nats +240
    Astros +195
    Marlins -137
    Pirates +150
    Rangers -125
    CWS -129

  2. #2
    50cent
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    gl...

  3. #3
    benjy
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    Quote Originally Posted by benjy View Post
    All lines from 5Dimes. All bets risk 1 unit on dogs and to win 1 unit on faves. Unit size varies according to how bankroll (~2.5% of roll) does. Tail or Fade.

    Nats +240 LOSS
    Astros +195 LOSS
    Marlins -137 LOSS
    Pirates +150 VOID (pitching change)
    Rangers -125 WIN
    CWS -129 WIN
    -1.37 units. Not the worst start.

  4. #4
    benjy
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    Tuesday

    LAD-169
    Mets+140
    TB-120
    CWS-102 (I really like this one, still 1 unit)
    OAK-128

  5. #5
    benjy
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    Quote Originally Posted by benjy View Post
    LAD-169 WIN
    Mets+140 LOSS
    TB-120 WIN
    CWS-102 (I really like this one, still 1 unit) LOSS
    OAK-128 LOSS
    -1.3 units on the day; -2.67 total

  6. #6
    benjy
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    Wednesday

    Pirates+168
    Nats+200
    Phils/Nats over 10 +100
    Reds+118
    KC+157
    Tex-110

  7. #7
    benjy
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    Quote Originally Posted by benjy View Post
    Pirates+168 LOSS
    Nats+200 LOSS
    Phils/Nats over 10 +100 WIN
    Reds+118 LOSS
    KC+157 WIN
    Tex-110 WIN
    +0.57 units on the day; -2.1 total

  8. #8
    benjy
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    Thursday

    Astros+200

    more to come

  9. #9
    smarmy
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    why is everyone on Houston today?? I know that they have to win one sooner or later, but StL is not going to give up that win.

  10. #10
    benjy
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    Cubs (Suppan sucks) +155
    Mets (Too much +money) +181
    Reds (Harang's OK) +133
    D-Backs (Haren's a stud) +116
    Yanks (I can't believe I'm saying it) -162

  11. #11
    benjy
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    Quote Originally Posted by smarmy View Post
    why is everyone on Houston today?? I know that they have to win one sooner or later, but StL is not going to give up that win.
    I like the plus money. Norris apparently has great stuff but control problems. He's an unknown and I always like callups/rookies in their first few starts before the scouts and videotape guys get them all figured out. Lohse is only decent, no great shakes. The Cards certainly hit better than the anemic Astros.

    All in all I figure that the Astros should win this game about 43% of the time and there's decent value here.

  12. #12
    benjy
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    Quote Originally Posted by benjy View Post
    Astros +200 WIN
    Cubs (Suppan sucks) -165 LOSS
    Mets (Too much +money) +181 WIN
    Reds (Harang's OK) +133 LOSS
    D-Backs (Haren's a stud) +116 LOSS
    Yanks (I can't believe I'm saying it) -162 WIN
    +1.16 units on the day; -0.94 units total

  13. #13
    benjy
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    Friday

    Astros +165
    Rockies +124
    Rangers +195
    Tribe +118
    KC +117

  14. #14
    benjy
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    Quote Originally Posted by benjy View Post
    Astros +165 LOSS
    Rockies +124 LOSS
    Rangers +195 LOSS
    Tribe +118 WIN
    KC +117 LOSS
    -2.82 units on the day; -3.76 units total

    rough day for my dogs

  15. #15
    benjy
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    Sat

    Astros+133 (Gorzelanny's a bum)
    Giants -163 (cheap for Lincecum)
    Marlins +103 (Moyer's a JOKE, Nolasco's decent)
    Pirates +126 (I don't buy into Cueto hype)
    Rockies -115 (I like Jimenez)

    Texas+175 (Too much plus money. AJ's erratic too)
    Rays +118 (Shield's is underrated)
    Tigers -133 (Verlander has a good game)

  16. #16
    benjy
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    [QUOTE=benjy;4128247]Astros+133 (Gorzelanny's a bum) WIN
    Giants -163 (cheap for Lincecum) WIN
    Marlins +103 (Moyer's a JOKE, Nolasco's decent) WIN
    Pirates +126 (I don't buy into Cueto hype) WIN
    Rockies -115 (I like Jimenez) WIN

    Texas+175 (Too much plus money. AJ's erratic too) LOSS
    Rays +118 (Shield's is underrated) WIN
    Tigers -133 (Verlander has a good game) LOSS /QUOTE]

    +4.37 units on the day; +0.61 units total

  17. #17
    benjy
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    Sunday

    Pirates +105
    Nats -102
    Astros +169

    Texas+155
    White Sox +105
    Red Sox-137
    O's+161
    Tigers-122

  18. #18
    benjy
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    Quote Originally Posted by benjy View Post
    Pirates +105 WIN
    Nats -102 LOSS
    Astros +169 WIN

    Texas+155 LOSS
    White Sox +105 LOSS
    Red Sox-137 LOSS
    O's+161 WIN
    Tigers-122 WIN
    +0.96 units on the day, +1.57 units on the week
    Last edited by benjy; 04-18-10 at 08:37 PM. Reason: post softball beer is bad for math

  19. #19
    benjy
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    Mon Wk2

    Rays +166 (too much plus money)
    KC +102 (Morrow's a disaster thus far)
    LAA -161 (so is Willis)
    O's +139 (non-intuitive spreadsheet pick)

  20. #20
    benjy
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    Quote Originally Posted by benjy View Post
    Rays +166 (too much plus money) WIN
    KC +102 (Morrow's a disaster thus far) LOSS
    LAA -161 (so is Willis) WIN
    O's +139 (non-intuitive spreadsheet pick) LOSS
    +0.66 units on the day, +0.66 units for the week
    +1.57 units week 1
    +2.23 units total

  21. #21
    benjy
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    Tuesday, Wk 2

    Lots of tasty #'s today. The NL

    Rockies -136 (Olsen sucks)
    Pirates +113
    Cubs -103 (I still have faith in big Z)
    Braves-138 (Kendrick is a joke)
    Marlins -109 (both starters meh, Fish hit better)
    D-backs -138 (Haren's a stud)

  22. #22
    benjy
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    Tues AL

    Rangers +127 (50% chance Wakefield blows up)
    Tribe +144 (Masterson's OK, too much +money)
    Yanks -166 (I must be the only one who likes Vazquez)

  23. #23
    benjy
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    Quote Originally Posted by benjy View Post
    Rockies -136 (Olsen sucks) WIN
    Pirates +113 LOSS
    Cubs -103 (I still have faith in big Z) LOSS
    Braves-138 (Kendrick is a joke) WIN
    Marlins -109 (both starters meh, Fish hit better) LOSS
    D-backs -138 (Haren's a stud) WIN
    Rangers +127 (50% chance Wakefield blows up) LOSS
    Tribe +144 (Masterson's OK, too much +money) LOSS
    Yanks -166 (I must be the only one who likes Vazquez) WIN
    -1.12 units on the day; -0.46 units for the week
    +1.57 units week 1
    +1.11 units total
    Last edited by benjy; 04-21-10 at 08:49 AM. Reason: typos

  24. #24
    benjy
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    Wednesday, wk2

    Rockies -106 (this line makes no sense to me)
    LAD/Reds under 9 -125
    cubs -105 (Silva may be bad but Perez is worse)
    cubs/Mets over 8.5-115
    cards-149
    cards/dbacks under 9-110
    KC-105 (Greinke!)
    Tribe+170 (too much +money)

  25. #25
    benjy
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    Quote Originally Posted by benjy View Post
    Rockies -106 (this line makes no sense to me) LOSS
    LAD/Reds under 9 -125 LOSS
    cubs -105 (Silva may be bad but Perez is worse) WIN
    cubs/Mets over 8.5-115 WIN
    cards-149 WIN
    cards/dbacks under 9-110 LOSS
    KC-105 (Greinke!) WIN
    Tribe+170 (too much +money) LOSS
    Felt like a disaster, but not so bad.

    -0.41 units on the day; -0.87 units for the week
    +1.57 units week 1
    +0.70 units total

  26. #26
    benjy
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    Thursday wk2

    Mets-159 (Gorzellanny blows)
    Cubs/Mets over 7.0 -110
    Braves -140 (Moyer blows too)

    Tribe +180 (I'm a sucker for the +cash)
    Texas +130 (Wilson may be for real)
    NYY/A's under 8.0 -115
    Tigers -105 (not a fan of Saunders)

  27. #27
    benjy
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    Quote Originally Posted by benjy View Post
    Mets-159 (Gorzellanny blows) WIN
    Cubs/Mets over 7.0 -110 PUSH
    Braves -140 (Moyer blows too) LOSS

    Tribe +180 (I'm a sucker for the +cash) WIN
    Texas +130 (Wilson may be for real) WIN
    NYY/A's under 8.0 -115 WIN
    Tigers -105 (not a fan of Saunders) WIN
    Good day. The grind continues.

    +4.70 units on the day; +3.83 units for the week
    +1.57 units week 1
    +5.40 units total

  28. #28
    benjy
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    Friday, wk2

    Busy day.

    Pads+107
    Pitt+151
    Cubs-123
    Fish-105
    Dbacks+165
    SF-168

    Jays+205
    Tigers+114
    Tigers/Rangers under9-116
    Twins-138

  29. #29
    benjy
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    Quote Originally Posted by benjy View Post
    Busy day.

    Pads+107 WIN
    Pitt+151 LOSS
    Cubs-123 WIN
    Fish-105 PPD
    Dbacks+165 WIN
    SF-168 WIN

    Jays+205 WIN
    Tigers+114 LOSS
    Tigers/Rangers under9-116 PUSH
    Twins-138 WIN
    Many lines started moving against me. Thought it might be a rough day. Nice results in the end.

    +5.77 units on the day; +9.60 units for the week
    +1.57 units week 1
    +11.17 units total

  30. #30
    benjy
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    Saturday, wk2

    cubs-111
    Fish G2+141
    Cards-146
    FishG1+108

    LAA+106
    Twins-120
    Tigers+155
    Tigers/Texas O9.5+100

  31. #31
    benjy
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    Sunday, wk2

    Getting the Sunday #'s in early:

    Pirates+158 (Myers blows)
    Cubs+103 (Wells>>Bush)
    Dbacks+106 (Kendrick blows)
    Braves-115 (I like Hanson)

    Jays+200 (Morrow looked good and in control last outing)
    Yanks-134 (Vazquez gets no respect)

  32. #32
    benjy
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    Quote Originally Posted by benjy View Post
    cubs-111 WIN
    Fish G2+141 LOSS
    Cards-146 LOSS
    FishG1+108 WIN

    LAA+106 LOSS
    Twins-120 WIN
    Tigers+155 VOID
    Tigers/Texas O9.5+100 VOID
    I actually grabbed some tigers after the pitching change @ +180ish but I'll leave it out.

    -0.38 units on the day; +9.22 units for the week
    +1.57 units week 1
    +10.79 units total

  33. #33
    crinkledaces
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    good luck today

  34. #34
    benjy
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    Quote Originally Posted by crinkledaces View Post
    good luck today
    Thanks CA!

  35. #35
    benjy
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    Quote Originally Posted by benjy View Post
    Getting the Sunday #'s in early:

    Pirates+158 (Myers blows) LOSS
    Cubs+103 (Wells>>Bush) WIN
    Dbacks+106 (Kendrick blows) WIN
    Braves-115 (I like Hanson) LOSS

    Jays+200 (Morrow looked good and in control last outing) LOSS
    Yanks-134 (Vazquez gets no respect) LOSS
    Poor day. Regressing toward the mean after good days Fri & Sat. Still a fine week.

    -2.40 units on the day. +6.82 units for week 2
    +1.57 units week 1
    +8.39 units total

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