1. #1
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,666
    Betpoints: 32329

    MLB Prop Bet Worth Looking At Today

    MacKenzie Gore OVER 5.5 stakeouts +120

    Mack Gore (LHP) 3-1, 1.71 ERA, lofty 28% strikeout rate.
    47:42 K to IP ratio.

    Gore (SD) squares up against Mil.

    Brewers don't fare well vs. LHP, sixth highest K rate against lefties in MLB

    Gore throws mainly gas.
    Two-thirds of his pitches are fastballs, and they're nasty.
    League is hitting only .208 off of Gore's fastball, with the exception of Yelich, Brewers lineup have a high K rate vs. LHP

    Gore's eight starts this season:

    Date Tm Opp IP H R ER BB SO ERA Pit Str StL StS GB FB LD PU
    Apr 15 SDP ATL 5.1 3 2 2 2 3 3.38 73 44 7 5 7 8 5 0
    Apr 20 SDP CIN 5 4 0 0 2 7 1.74 88 53 14 8 6 5 1 1
    Apr 27 SDP @ CIN 5 5 1 1 2 10 1.76 102 69 13 15 4 6 5 0
    May 4(2) SDP @ CLE 5.2 4 1 1 3 2 1.71 100 59 15 4 7 11 4 2
    May 9 SDP CHC 5 7 3 3 0 6 2.42 89 57 14 12 6 8 5 0
    May 17 SDP @ PHI 3 3 0 0 0 4 2.17 40 30 10 5 5 3 1 2
    May 22 SDP @ SFG 6 3 1 1 2 6 2.06 90 54 15 11 5 9 4 0
    May 29 SDP PIT 7 2 0 0 3 9 1.71 93 66 21 14 5 8 3 1
    42 31 8 8 14 47 1.71 675 64% 16% 11% 0.78 27% 6%

    On paper there is a lot of value in this prop.


    Gore OVER 5.5 strikeouts +120 (DraftKings)

  2. #2
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Do you ever compare these props with offshore how are the lines

  3. #3
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,666
    Betpoints: 32329

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Do you ever compare these props with offshore how are the lines
    Yeah.
    I only have BoL and Heritage.
    All pretty much the same on this prop, but usually you're best bargain is at Heritage.

  4. #4
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Ok thanks good info

  5. #5
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,666
    Betpoints: 32329

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Ok thanks good info
    Thanks.

    Just cashed.
    7K's still in the 4th inning.
    Points Awarded:

    KnuckleHeadz gave stevenash 10 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  6. #6
    KnuckleHeadz
    KnuckleHeadz's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-11-19
    Posts: 8,183
    Betpoints: 4511

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Thanks.

    Just cashed.
    7K's still in the 4th inning.
    Well Done Nasher!!

  7. #7
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,666
    Betpoints: 32329

    Quote Originally Posted by KnuckleHeadz View Post
    Well Done Nasher!!
    Thanks Knuckler, appreciate the words.

    10 K's through six innings.
    The dude has talent on loan from God, almost every MLB hitter can rake fastballs, but haven't been able to touch Gore's.
    (Yet)

  8. #8
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Nashy looks at data all day
    He has an edge

  9. #9
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,666
    Betpoints: 32329

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Nashy looks at data all day
    He has an edge
    What can I tell you Coach, being a geek does have its advantages.
    I'm just a nerd from way back.

Top