1. #1
    EGrecu
    EGrecu's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-15-21
    Posts: 709
    Betpoints: 1155

    Alternative runlines on good 140-180ish underdogs

    What do you guys think about a long term strategy of trying to follow good underdogs that are around +140-180 on the alternative runline? I consistently see huge value on there. The mets today were +150ish on the ML and were +249 on the 1.5 runline. That is just tremendous value for a good team on the road. Typically the difference on the ML vs RL is about 50-60 points because the vast majority of road wins are by 2+ runs but whenever you get a significant underdog (Say around +150) involved, that difference is huge. Talking often 80-100 points


    In reality, it's not like a -120 favorite is really any more likely to win by 2 runs than a +140 underdogs. Underdogs win all the time by 2+ runs. The mets won by 5 tonight

  2. #2
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Quote Originally Posted by EGrecu View Post
    What do you guys think about a long term strategy of trying to follow good underdogs that are around +140-180 on the alternative runline? I consistently see huge value on there. The mets today were +150ish on the ML and were +249 on the 1.5 runline. That is just tremendous value for a good team on the road. Typically the difference on the ML vs RL is about 50-60 points because the vast majority of road wins are by 2+ runs but whenever you get a significant underdog (Say around +150) involved, that difference is huge. Talking often 80-100 points


    In reality, it's not like a -120 favorite is really any more likely to win by 2 runs than a +140 underdogs. Underdogs win all the time by 2+ runs. The mets won by 5 tonight
    Try it

    Eventually you will get grounded down

    too many close games

  3. #3
    cecil127
    Horses and Hockey Biatch!
    cecil127's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-19-09
    Posts: 7,300
    Betpoints: 6871

    Stfu baldy. You know ZERO about “gam-ba-ling” (phuck, u can’t even say it correctly!)
    Betting +$ will do better in the long run vs laying juice…I like the theory. Love the payoffs!

  4. #4
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Always remember nobody would work if systems worked

    Every line perfectly priced

    analytics software books use now is unreal

Top