Hutch has an ERA of 5.06, a WH/IP of 1.44, hasn't pitched in over a week, has to throw against Miggy,Knsler, V-Mart etc, and he's -261?
I don't care if Detroit is starting a hamburger with Buck Farmer and Toronto has those big bats at the top of the order, but if you are going to offer me the Tiger lineup, getting +221 against a meatball that gives up five earned plus a game, I'm taking the +221 odds 8 days a week.
Anything can happen in a game where two teams start meatballs and both teams have big time offenses