Originally Posted by
drfunkmaster
Jays win ... Best bet of the day... darvish will be lit up like a christmas tree.. he will be throwing beach balls not baseballs. maybe some basketballs too.
Yu Darvish threw a gem in his season debut on April 6 and has been tough as shoe leather since. Darvish continues to rack up Ks in bunches and is virtually unhittable against RH hitters but the Jays have some nice lefty bats in their lineup to at least give Darvish something to think about. Darvish absolutely thrives against free-swinging teams but the Blue Jays are not in that category, as they have struck out the fourth fewest times on the road in the majors. Darvish has a groundball/fly-ball split of 32%/46%, meaning that when the ball is in play, it’s usually hit to the outfield. That’s a dangerous game to be playing against the Blue Jays power hitting lineup that has hit .266 against Darvish in the past. Drew Hutchison is too good to pass up on when being offered a price like this. Hutchison has 49 K’s in 45 innings with just 15 walks issued. Four of those walks came in his last start but prior to that he did not walk more than one batter in four straight games. Hutchison’s 4.37 ERA is the direct result of a high hit rate (34%) and low strand rate (67%). Use his 3.47 xERA as a more accurate barometer of just how Hutchison has been pitching. Regression in his ERA is forthcoming and it would appear that the Jays coaching staff has a leg up on Rangers hitters. Last season Toronto came in here and swept the Rangers in three games while outscoring them 21-3. The Blue Jays have won six of the last seven overall against Texas while holding the Rangers to two earned runs or fewer in five of those. For whatever reason the Rangers have trouble hitting Blue Jays pitching no matter who starts while Toronto thrives against Texas pitching.