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San Diego +114 (Tyson Ross) over Arizona (Brandon McCarthy)
In my opinion, the most logical play on the board tonight.
I like the way Ross spots up against McCarthy tonight.
This is Ross's seventh start since entering the starting rotation, five of them have been brilliant.
The only bad start he had, was his last one, in a situation he did not match up well, against Pittsburgh.
He gave up 4 earned, 6 hits, in 6.1 innings.
The five previous starts, like I said, brilliant.
Gave up 1 earned in seven innings versus Mets
He out pitched wonder boy Cingrani and that Red line up in Cincy, giving up 1 earned in seven innings there as well in a 3-1 win.
He got no run support and got shutout by the Yankees, giving up two earned in six innings.
Ross more than did his part that game.
Was fantastic against the team he faces tonight in the rematch on 7/28 shutting out the Snakes 1-0, going 8 full innings, giving up just 3 hits, walking one, striking out seven.
I have no reason to believe he can not shut them down again tonight.
DATE OPPONENT RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB TBF Pit Dec. Rel. ERA 08/20 vs PIT L 1-8 6.1 6 5 4 1 2 6 10 9 28 102 L(3-6) -- 2.85 08/15 vs NYM L 1-4 7.0 5 1 1 0 0 8 11 6 25 109 -- -- 2.62 08/10 @ CIN W 3-1 7.0 4 1 1 0 4 6 12 4 26 96 W(3-5) -- 2.75 08/03 vs NYY L 0-3 6.0 3 2 2 1 3 9 5 7 24 95 L(2-5) -- 2.91 07/28 @ ARI W 1-0 8.0 3 0 0 0 1 7 12 8 28 101 W(2-4) -- 2.90 07/23 @ MIL W 6-2 6.0 2 1 1 0 2 6 6 7 22 82 W(1-4) -- 3.35
*note* prior to 7/23 he was working exclusively out of the 'pen.
Overall, Ross's across the board numbers are rock solid.
2.85 ERA 1.17 WH/IP ratio, about 7.5 K's per nine. Solid.
3.06 ERA 1.28 WH/IP ratio on the road is also solid.
Arizona starts Brandon McCarthy, in a word this season, has been awful.
Overall numbers 5.44 ERA and 1.50 WH/IP 2-8 record, brutal.
The kid obviously can not pitch in the NL, he had two sound seasons in Oakland, benefiting from that graveyard where popups and fly ball always find gloves.
It must be noted here, San Diego played 15 innings yesterday, they won't have many options out of the 'pen, which really doesn't concern me much, because Ross is not a five and fly starter, he has averaged over 100 pitches his last five starts, now I am guessing Oakland's game plan will be to work Ross, take pitches and work the pitch count, but Ross has walked 12 in 6 starts, this should also not be a concern.
On offense, SD is not the '27 Yankees, but they have some sticks.
Hundley behind the plate has pop, Alonso at first is .288, the second baseman has really turned my head this season, Gyorko has 16 homers, while not playing full time all season, I would like to see his OBA higher, but he has legit power for a second baseman. How many of you know Will Venable has 19 homers so far this year.
I realize Arizona has Goldy who can go deep at will, Aaron Hill has a lethal bat, but Ross shut down this line up a month ago, and I also realize even though on paper this game favors SD in this spot, that games are not won on paper, we learned that yesterday with Corbin and that result was decided by inning two, and I (and many others) threw up on the Patrick Corbin kool-ade.
But on paper, this spot favors Ross and the Padres, I am getting + money on a coin flip, and that's what I look for.
My play is the San Diego, 2*
mitch51 gave stevenash 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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Originally Posted by Ratpack
