I love these divisional matchups in Coors field, these teams play each other regularly and know how to approach each pitcher.
Jhoulys Chacin (3-3, 4.26 ERA) is 0-3 with a 6.14 ERA in his last six outings and 0-2 with a 7.66 ERA in his last four in the Mile High City, he started the year well and his first two decisions were against the Padres, but since hurting his back and going on the DL he has struggled considerably with command.
Andrew Cashner is budding young pitcher for the Padres but also gives up the long ball - particularly to Colorado, who have swept the Padres so far this year, but I expect to see some better play from the Padres this series (The Padres started the season 2-10, Colorado series was included in that). Colorado batters have hit Cashner well including: Cuddyer (HR), Fowler, Rosario, CarGo, and Tulowitzki (allbeit a small sample size - 10ABs or less). Furthermore Colorado has been seeing the ball well - averaging over 6 runs per game.
Much more analysis, but I don't think many really care what other split stats I've evaluated.
-I'm also seeing some late buy-orders on the Padres ML aswell, but I'm not here to pick sides.
-I have this game more around the key number of '11' so we are getting a run of value @ 9.5.
-I added a half point @ 'over' 10 @ +114 5dimes for good measure aswell.
GL with your bets.