This is a spin off of Stifflers chase - it's NOT back tested but has logic behind it. If you are following Stifflers chase (which is HOT) this is sort of like it and I cut and pasted his explanation. The goal is to win one unit and I'll explain the difference after the below
Here is the difference - we are ONLY fading Houston and Miami. Start a new chase EVERY GAME. So be very conservative, if things go bad and Miami suddenly becomes hot (LOL) we could be in big trouble.we are playing a 4 game chase to win 1 unit.
example: (with consistent lines)
A Bet line -170 , risk 1,7u to win 1u
game lost, it moves to B bet
B Bet line -170 , risk 4,59u to win 2,7u[the lost amount on A bet + 1 unit]
game lost, it moves to C bet
C Bet line -170 , risk 12,40u to win 7,29u[the lost amount on A & B bet + 1 unit]
game lost, it moves to D bet
D Bet line -170 , risk 33,49u to win 19,69u[the lost amount on A, B & C bet + 1 unit]
if D Bet is a loser then -52,18 units overall, if D Bet wins (or any other) u win 1 unit
Miami has won more then 1 game in a row twice (2 and a 3 games in a row)
Houston has won more then 1 in a two 3 times (twice 2 and once 3)
So take this as a fun little thing. I got this idea from a dude that a couple years ago who faded Pittsburgh EVERY game and won a ton. According to Joe Peta (Trading Bases) after a team has played 40 games you pretty much know how good they are.
SO - here we go,
5/11/13 play the green team
note - 1.9 units wagered to win 1.00 units! If you lose you lose 1.9u, win you win 1.00u
G1A Mia fade LAD 1.9u - 1.00u
G2A Hou fade Tex 2.4u - 1.00u
WHO AM I?
I'm 60 years old and have been sports wagering since I was 18. My forte' is system play and knowing when to jump off the band wagon. Like poker, the key to winning is NOT losing! There are many winning systems and 99% of them fail at some point. So I believe taking the money and running once you make a profit and you feel the system is not behaving correctly.
Just like stocks - sell winners early before they become losers. Sure you might lose so win's but it's always better then riding a rocket until it explodes (or something like that).
NOTE - Stifflers Chase can be found here