1. #1
    PickWinnerAllDay
    I'd never gamble again for Taylor Swift
    PickWinnerAllDay's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-11
    Posts: 12,722
    Betpoints: 14

    Why is Price only -130??



    You'd think the future Cy Young winner would command a little bit more respect over Mike Gonzalez, especially considering he's already dominated Baltimore once this year.

    Jun 1 vs BAL W 5-0 7.1 4 0 0 0 2 5 10 9 113 26 73

    Any thoughts on why the line is so low? I don't know if I'm going to take the Rays on the money line, just curious to see what some people think on this.
    Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-30-14 at 11:57 AM.

  2. #2
    Regul8er
    Wordd
    Regul8er's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-06-07
    Posts: 10,666
    Betpoints: 4101

    I think its a fair road price, considering the success Gonzalez has had (although) limited.

    The Rays are still an offensively challenged team. Can they score 3 runs for Price?

  3. #3
    PickWinnerAllDay
    I'd never gamble again for Taylor Swift
    PickWinnerAllDay's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-11
    Posts: 12,722
    Betpoints: 14

    1. Nick Markakis (L) RF
    2. J.J. Hardy (R) SS
    3. Adam Jones (R) CF
    4. Matt Wieters (S) DH
    5. Wilson Betemit (S) 3B
    6. Mark Reynolds (R) 1B
    7. Taylor Teagarden (R) C
    8. Omar Quintanilla (L) 2B
    9. Steve Tolleson (R) LF
    Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-30-14 at 11:57 AM.

  4. #4
    PickWinnerAllDay
    I'd never gamble again for Taylor Swift
    PickWinnerAllDay's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-11
    Posts: 12,722
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by Regul8er View Post
    I think its a fair road price, considering the success Gonzalez has had (although) limited.

    The Rays are still an offensively challenged team. Can they score 3 runs for Price?
    28 year old rookie? Both teams are offensively in a funk so I don't think that should be an issue. We also know that no one in the Orioles lineup hits Price very well besides for Wieters (and Teaparty in 3 at bats)

  5. #5
    sportsguy04
    [Too Long]
    sportsguy04's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-21-08
    Posts: 11,885
    Betpoints: 2431

    Under 8.5?

  6. #6
    easyliving
    easyliving's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-25-12
    Posts: 8,876
    Betpoints: 11

    that orioles lineup looks horrible. Think their offensive struggles continue against Price. Very tempted to take Baltimore TT Under 3.5 @+105 on 5dimes

  7. #7
    PickWinnerAllDay
    I'd never gamble again for Taylor Swift
    PickWinnerAllDay's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-11
    Posts: 12,722
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by sportsguy04 View Post
    Under 8.5?
    Every single thing I've looked at points that way.

    Baltimore 9 runs last 4 games
    Rays 9 runs last 4 games

    Rays don't hit righties well, Orioles middle of the pack vs lefties, Price has been best pitcher in baseball the last 6 starts... May just go under and if Rays win like 10-0 I'll kick myself repeatedly. I don't see Price giving up much at all but team total limit is tiny for me.

  8. #8
    sportsguy04
    [Too Long]
    sportsguy04's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-21-08
    Posts: 11,885
    Betpoints: 2431

    Yes I know.

  9. #9
    Regul8er
    Wordd
    Regul8er's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-06-07
    Posts: 10,666
    Betpoints: 4101

    I wouldnt play the 28 year old rookie card...considering Vogelsong got back to the league at 34 after not pitching in the MLB for 6 years.
    Some guys figure it out later in life.

  10. #10
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    these guys had some success against price

    David Price (tb) - throws L at bal - 7:05 PM ET - Camden Yards
    BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
    Taylor Teagarden R 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 .667 .667 1.333 2.000
    Nick Johnson L 4 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 .500 .500 .750 1.250
    Brian Roberts S 10 3 0 1 0 3 2 1 .300 .385 .500 .885
    Matt Wieters S 21 7 2 0 0 1 2 7 .333 .391 .429 .820
    Nick Markakis L 26 8 1 1 0 2 3 8 .308 .367 .423 .790
    Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-30-14 at 11:57 AM.

  11. #11
    PickWinnerAllDay
    I'd never gamble again for Taylor Swift
    PickWinnerAllDay's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-11
    Posts: 12,722
    Betpoints: 14

    as long as Gonzalez throws strikes, he should be fine. A little worried about his control. Only thing holding me back on the under.

  12. #12
    PickWinnerAllDay
    I'd never gamble again for Taylor Swift
    PickWinnerAllDay's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-11
    Posts: 12,722
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by rfr3sh View Post
    these guys had some success against price

    David Price (tb) - throws L at bal - 7:05 PM ET - Camden Yards
    BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
    Taylor Teagarden R 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 .667 .667 1.333 2.000
    Nick Johnson L 4 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 .500 .500 .750 1.250
    Brian Roberts S 10 3 0 1 0 3 2 1 .300 .385 .500 .885
    Matt Wieters S 21 7 2 0 0 1 2 7 .333 .391 .429 .820
    Nick Markakis L 26 8 1 1 0 2 3 8 .308 .367 .423 .790
    7 at bats between 2 guys and Brian Roberts isn't alive is he? Well, if he is, he's not currently active.

    The bigger bats all struggle... Hardy, Jones, Reynolds... guys you worry about taking you deep and messing up your under.
    Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-30-14 at 11:57 AM.

  13. #13
    Inkwell77
    Inkwell77's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-03-11
    Posts: 3,227
    Betpoints: 2413

    Kershaw had a complete game shut out of St Louis the previous time he faced them this season. Last night he gave up a bunch of runs.
    Not sure if there is any correlation between pitchers dominating a team previously and then putting up a commanding performance in the next game.

  14. #14
    PickWinnerAllDay
    I'd never gamble again for Taylor Swift
    PickWinnerAllDay's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-11
    Posts: 12,722
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by Inkwell77 View Post
    Kershaw had a complete game shut out of St Louis the previous time he faced them this season. Last night he gave up a bunch of runs.
    Not sure if there is any correlation between pitchers dominating a team previously and then putting up a commanding performance in the next game.
    True that. I would say there is probably a correlation between your last 6 outings and your future one. It might not be a 100% correlation but it is better than throwing darts.

  15. #15
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    Quote Originally Posted by PickWinnerAllDay View Post
    7 at bats between 2 guys and Brian Roberts isn't alive is he? Well, if he is, he's not currently active.

    The bigger bats all struggle... Hardy, Jones, Reynolds... guys you worry about taking you deep and messing up your under.
    yeah i know just saying they might be able to hit him also what would you price him at seems like anything over -130 would be too much

  16. #16
    You mad bro
    You mad bro's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 16,641
    Betpoints: -23

    Quote Originally Posted by PickWinnerAllDay View Post
    True that. I would say there is probably a correlation between your last 6 outings and your future one. It might not be a 100% correlation but it is better than throwing darts.
    Price > kershaw

    Kershaw pitches in a weak offensive nl west division compared to price pitching in an offensive al east ...

    Im all over price tonight to shut down the orioles ....



    Pwad btw dude baltimores offense is worse than tampas except for home runs and slugging .... Price should dominate tonight

  17. #17
    PickWinnerAllDay
    I'd never gamble again for Taylor Swift
    PickWinnerAllDay's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-11
    Posts: 12,722
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by rfr3sh View Post
    yeah i know just saying they might be able to hit him also what would you price him at seems like anything over -130 would be too much
    I would just have expected -150 here, that's all. Too much credit been given to Gonzalez... that being said, I might be on the under because the Rays can't score that many off anyone on the road.

  18. #18
    PickWinnerAllDay
    I'd never gamble again for Taylor Swift
    PickWinnerAllDay's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-11
    Posts: 12,722
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by You mad bro View Post
    Price > kershaw

    Kershaw pitches in a weak offensive nl west division compared to price pitching in an offensive al east ...

    Im all over price tonight to shut down the orioles ....



    Pwad btw dude baltimores offense is worse than tampas except for home runs and slugging .... Price should dominate tonight
    Price is a Vanderbilt guy. Very smart out there. Kershaw has similar stuff but he is a mental midget. I'd definitely take Price, Price would probably post a sub 2 ERA in LA LA land, Kershaw would probably get touched up to 3.75 or so in the AL East.

  19. #19
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    these have been the matchups where the road team is -150 would you say its as much as these
    view 4/5/2012 away Dodgers Kershaw - L Padres Volquez - R 3-May 2 W 2 O 5-Jul 0-3 Apr-00 -150 6 9
    view 4/9/2012 away Yankees Nova - R Orioles Matusz - L 2-Jun 4 W -1.5 U 13-Nov 0-1 May-00 -150 9.5 9
    view ######## away Rangers Harrison - L Twins Swarzak - R 1-Apr 3 W -3.5 U 8-Sep 0-1 1-Mar -150 8.5 9
    view ######## away Phillies Halladay - R Padres Luebke - L 5-Jan -4 L 0.5 O 8-Mar 0-1 0-5 -150 5.5 9
    view ######## away Reds Cueto - R Cubs Wells - R 3-Apr 1 W 0.5 O 6-Jul 2-Mar Feb-00 -150 6.5 9
    view 5/4/2012 away Cardinals Lohse - R Astros Harrell - R 5-Apr -1 L 0.5 O 8-Sep 1-Feb 3-Jan -150 8.5 9
    Recap Date Site Team Starter Opp Starter Score SUm W/L OUm O/U Hits Errors BL Line Total Innings
    view ######## away Blue Jays Romero - L Twins Diamond - L 4-Mar -1 L -1 U 10-Oct 1-Jan 0-4 -150 8 9
    view ######## away Yankees Sabathia - L Orioles Chen - L 5-Feb -3 L -1 U 9-May 0-0 0-4 -150 8 9
    view ######## away Angels Haren - R Padres Stults - L 3-Feb -1 L -1.5 U 7-Jun 2-Jan 1-Jan -150 6.5 9
    view 6/6/2012 away Rangers Lewis - R Athletics Colon - R 0-2 -2 L -5.5 U 6-May 0-0 0-2 -150 7.5 9
    view 6/7/2012 away Cardinals Lynn - R Astros Happ - L 14-2 12 W 7.5 O 16-7 0-1 2-Dec -150 8.5 9
    view 6/7/2012 away Rangers Darvish - R Athletics McCarthy - R 7-Jan -6 L 0.5 O 7-Apr 0-0 0-6 -150 7.5 9
    view 6/9/2012 away Tigers Verlander - R Reds Arroyo - R 2-Mar 1 W -2.5 U 6-Jul 0-0 Feb-00 -150 7.5 9
    view ######## away Nationals Zimmermann - R Rockies Cabrera - L 5-Nov 6 W 5.5 O 14-14 3-Feb Oct-00 -150 10.5 9
    view 7/1/2012 away Angels Wilson - L Blue Jays Laffey - L 6-Oct 4 W 6.5 O 13-6 3-Mar Jul-00 -150 9.5 9
    view ######## away Phillies Lee - L Rockies Friedrich - L 6-Feb -4 L -2 U 12-Jul Feb-00 0-5 -150 10 9

  20. #20
    You mad bro
    You mad bro's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 16,641
    Betpoints: -23

    Quote Originally Posted by PickWinnerAllDay View Post
    Price is a Vanderbilt guy. Very smart out there. Kershaw has similar stuff but he is a mental midget. I'd definitely take Price, Price would probably post a sub 2 ERA in LA LA land, Kershaw would probably get touched up to 3.75 or so in the AL East.
    His era would at least be 3.5 in the al east ... Which isn't bad but it's so much different pitching in the al east vs the nl west

  21. #21
    rm18
    Update your status
    rm18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-05
    Posts: 22,291
    Betpoints: 207814

    There is more value betting TB 1st 5 I am playing that

  22. #22
    You mad bro
    You mad bro's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 16,641
    Betpoints: -23

    Quote Originally Posted by rm18 View Post
    There is more value betting TB 1st 5 I am playing that

    How if price goes an average of 7 a game with a 2 era??? And their bullpen had been pretty solid ....

  23. #23
    Ghenghis Kahn
    Best Baller on SBR
    Ghenghis Kahn's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 19,735
    Betpoints: 2261

    something tells me over.

  24. #24
    rm18
    Update your status
    rm18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-05
    Posts: 22,291
    Betpoints: 207814

    Quote Originally Posted by You mad bro View Post
    How if price goes an average of 7 a game with a 2 era??? And their bullpen had been pretty solid ....
    Well the Orioles have a better lineup and a pretty good bullpen, the 2nd 4 innings should be low scoring but i think the O's have a small advantage

  25. #25
    PickWinnerAllDay
    I'd never gamble again for Taylor Swift
    PickWinnerAllDay's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-11
    Posts: 12,722
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by Ghenghis Kahn View Post
    something tells me over.
    Hope you're wrong. Just unloaded on the under.

  26. #26
    You mad bro
    You mad bro's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 16,641
    Betpoints: -23

    Quote Originally Posted by rm18 View Post
    Well the Orioles have a better lineup and a pretty good bullpen, the 2nd 4 innings should be low scoring but i think the O's have a small advantage
    Their offenses are pretty much the same now .. Orioles haven't hit anything as of late ... But hey who knows I'm on price for the game lets get it


    GOod luck !!

  27. #27
    PickWinnerAllDay
    I'd never gamble again for Taylor Swift
    PickWinnerAllDay's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-11
    Posts: 12,722
    Betpoints: 14

    I think my big under 8.5 bet moved the line... now its already 8 -110 at heritage

  28. #28
    hawley
    hawley's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-10-10
    Posts: 14,270
    Betpoints: 79

    Quote Originally Posted by PickWinnerAllDay View Post
    I think my big under 8.5 bet moved the line... now its already 8 -110 at heritage


  29. #29
    PickWinnerAllDay
    I'd never gamble again for Taylor Swift
    PickWinnerAllDay's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-11
    Posts: 12,722
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by hawley View Post
    I went pretty big on this one hawley... In Price I trust

  30. #30
    Ghenghis Kahn
    Best Baller on SBR
    Ghenghis Kahn's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 19,735
    Betpoints: 2261

    Quote Originally Posted by PickWinnerAllDay View Post
    Hope you're wrong. Just unloaded on the under.
    gl but it's a weird line for both. price opened at -140 total at 8. public on price but the price goes down for price and the total goes all the way up to 9 and back down to 8.5/8. don't like this game too much.

  31. #31
    You mad bro
    You mad bro's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 16,641
    Betpoints: -23

    Quote Originally Posted by PickWinnerAllDay View Post
    I went pretty big on this one hawley... In Price I trust
    Whats your input on Detroit tonight ???

  32. #32
    PickWinnerAllDay
    I'd never gamble again for Taylor Swift
    PickWinnerAllDay's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-11
    Posts: 12,722
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by You mad bro View Post
    Whats your input on Detroit tonight ???
    Not much. Haven't paid much attention to Lowe or max lately. Both inconsistent.

  33. #33
    You mad bro
    You mad bro's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 16,641
    Betpoints: -23

    Quote Originally Posted by PickWinnerAllDay View Post
    Not much. Haven't paid much attention to Lowe or max lately. Both inconsistent.
    You gonna be on anything else?

  34. #34
    Balco10
    Balco10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-10
    Posts: 5,478
    Betpoints: 204

    Hope you right! Drop a 100 on the under 8.5 -120

  35. #35
    PickWinnerAllDay
    I'd never gamble again for Taylor Swift
    PickWinnerAllDay's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-11
    Posts: 12,722
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by You mad bro View Post
    You gonna be on anything else?
    Nah, that's it for today most likely unless I see a second half I love.

    I already nailed the Cubs under for 3K so tonight will be a very very good night or a bad one. At least very very bad is impossible.

1234 Last
Top