[gregm]

2011 baseball thread ( 244-187 +51.21)
Rangers to win world series +500 risk 3
Dodgers to win world series +1000 risk 1
Cardinals to win world series +1400 risk 1
Nationals to win NL pennant +450 risk 3


White sox -1 -151 risk 1.51

White sox came in here pretty cold here after a rough road trip losing 5 in a row and dropping two series to the Tiger and Sox but the bats woke up last night. They are now 1 game behind Detroit in the central and this is going to be another tight central race. Quintana has looked impressive ( 4-1, 2.30 ERA 1.02 WHIP)outside of a poor start against KC this month, I like the fact that Quintana has had quite a fews starts going 8 innings and looker really impressive against Boston last week. Very impressive young kid who the twins hitters have never seen not that it would matter much the way the Twins are playing

The Twins are having another miserable month. 5-10 in their last 15 this month and 4-9 in their last 13 and it sounds like they are going to let De Vries throw some innings here tonight . De Vries has looked pretty average this year but hasnt thrown that many innings and Gardiner talked about his bullpen being overworked. De Vries actually had his first big league start here in Chicago and got shelled giving up 6 runs in 5 innings.

White sox (-.5) -130 risk 1.3

4925 MIN J.Mauer total bases
4926 CWS P.Konerko total bases -125

Angels -1 -134 risk 1.34

4928 LAA A.Pujols total bases -160 risk 1.6
4927 KAN B.Butler total bases

LA showing great numbers against lefties but not sure it would matter much with Smith on the mound for KC. Both of these guys starting tonight have had their struggles and been in the minors this year but Richards coming a great start against Detroit and though I really thought this was going to be one of the best rotations in baseball, but he may have a chance here to make this rotation, he and williams were vying for that 5th spot but williams looks to be heading for the bullpen. Angels may be looking to pick up a pitcher but a very good chance here tonight for him to make a play for that 4th or 5th spot in the rotation and an Angels team that is about to be passed in the West by the red hot A's. Royals 2-11 in their last 13.

Cardinals/Dodgers u4 (1st 5) -115 risk 1.15

Over 100 degrees in St. Louis, Cardinals 12-1-2 on unders in their last 15, 8 of their last 9 went under and Reyburn who is 7-2 for the under calling balls and strikes. Hopefully Kershaw and Wainwright will shut them down in the first 5 and find a big strike zone in this miserable weather.

Reds -129 risk 1.29

Leake has struggled lately and Harrell has been one of the few bright spots for the Astros but there is not much else good to write about the Astros. 2-20 in their last 22, getting crushed on a daily basis and the Reds are still rolling along here even without Votto. I have really been looking at a Reds futures but such a young team and I hope this Votto injury isnt major. Harrell has good numbers here at home but I dont see any reason not to fade the Astros anytime soon and the Red have been very strong since the break

Giants/Padres u 3.5 (1st 5) -140 risk 1.4

4915 SDG C.Headley total bases
4916 SFO B.Posey total bases -125 risk 2.50

Arizona -1 -156 risk 1.56

Arizona -.5 (first 5) -135 risk 1.35

Arizona -1.5 -105 risk 1.05

Arizona tt o5.5 +105 risk 1

Arizona hitters have been just killing the ball, putting up 52 runs in the last 6 games and 39 runs in their last 4 games at home. They have now put up over 56 runs in their last 7 home games and facing a Colorado pitcher who has pitched all of 2 innings in the majors and was absolutely shelled giving up 7 runs in his one major league start.

Phillies -1 +113 risk 1