The UNDER is now 8-2-2 in the last 12 San Diego road games, and we look for more of the same here given this pitching match-up.
Woody Williams struggled early in the year, but he has looked more like the Williams of old since coming off of the Disabled List. He has a miniscule 0.88 WHIP to go with an excellent 2.49 ERA over his last three outings, and he has seven Quality Starts in his last 10 appearances. Perhaps most importantly Williams is a perfect 10 for 10 in Quality Starts in his last 10 starts vs. Arizona, including two outings this season! He is also backed by a San Diego bullpen that ranks fourth in the Major Leagues in pen ERA, which should keep the scoring down even further.
Brandon Webb has been terrific all year, going 13-5 with an outstanding 2.99 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. As good as those numbers are, he has actually been even better here at home where he is 7-1 with a 2.79 ERA in 11 home starts covering 80 2/3 innings. He is also in revenge mode after these Padres roughed him up for five runs on 10 hits in six innings the last time he faced them, but he had three consecutive Quality Starts against San Diego prior to that so we are looking for a nice effort tonight.
Webb has already beaten the Padres twice this season while Williams has held the D'Backs in check this season. I am passing on the side and taking the under.
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