1. #421
    kenz
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    Dolgo's prices increasing

  2. #422
    fitguy67
    blessed be the cheesemakers
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hardcoar View Post
    Naw it's just that Apartheid-power.
    ...then i suppose the Serbian Djokovic's match with the Croatian Cilic last night was an ethnic-cleansing contest...and Novak won by exercising better hygiene.

  3. #423
    kenz
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    $400 on Dolgo +1.5 sets @1.435 @Pinnacle

  4. #424
    kenz
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    Quote Originally Posted by kenz View Post
    $500 on Dolgopolov - Raonic over 22 @1.49 @Pinnacle

    The max game total I would go is over 22.5 @1.63 but it is not worth for $70 of more profit with this stake with the added risk of losing with a score like 7-5 6-4.

    I think Dolgo is a bad matchup for Raonic by the way. Slow hard court where Dolgopolov proved he can hang with the best in groundstrokes. Dolgo +1.5 sets @1.47 also looks good.
    Quote Originally Posted by kenz View Post

    $500 more on Dolgopolov - Raonic over 22 @1.47 @Pinnacle

    Total:$1000




    -$1000

  5. #425
    kenz
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    Quote Originally Posted by kenz View Post
    $400 on Dolgo +1.5 sets @1.435 @Pinnacle
    +$174

  6. #426
    kenz
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    Not surprised with the result but I made a mistake with the last decision

    Will take a break after Federer - Kevin Anderson game

  7. #427
    matt1216
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    Quote Originally Posted by kenz View Post
    Not surprised with the result but I made a mistake with the last decision

    Will take a break after Federer - Kevin Anderson game
    Good call bro. U can't predict Raonic losing the way he did in set two. I'm waiting for better matches next week! Well done so far, and keep up the good work next week

  8. #428
    kenz
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    Quote Originally Posted by matt1216 View Post
    Good call bro. U can't predict Raonic losing the way he did in set two. I'm waiting for better matches next week! Well done so far, and keep up the good work next week
    I had a long decision process between Dolgo to win a set and over 22. In the end I took the over with a bigger stake.

    I knew Dolgos style would overpower Raonic, but was not expecting this much. 5th game in the 2nd set was brutal, from 0-40 to 2 game points and then broken. After that Dolgo took the reigns again.

    After Federer game I will try to stay away from action.

  9. #429
    HatersGonnaHate
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    Take a long break or just until the next tourney starts?

  10. #430
    charley365
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    unlucky kenz
    Better days will come
    Good prediction on $400 on Dolgo +1.5 sets @1.435 @Pinnacle
    My bookie only gave over 23.5 for that game
    So i gave it a miss, good luck with your fed pick

  11. #431
    Betfrog
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    :/ had same feeling... What do you think about this parlay:

    Kevin +5.5 games
    Gulbis

    Small stakes??
    Good odds small stakes = small risk.

  12. #432
    kenz
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    Quote Originally Posted by HatersGonnaHate View Post
    Take a long break or just until the next tourney starts?
    Did not check the calendar, but if there is an 250 event after this better not to bet on it or small wagers. If there is a Masters, I will continue
    Quote Originally Posted by charley365 View Post
    unlucky kenz
    Better days will come
    Good prediction on $400 on Dolgo +1.5 sets @1.435 @Pinnacle
    My bookie only gave over 23.5 for that game
    So i gave it a miss, good luck with your fed pick
    Dolgo is shorter, more compact, more complete return technique, gets in the groundstroke early, hits powerful. He plays crazy tennis last few weeks to really in form.

    The bomb deactivation analogy was intact, in betting we dont have a room for 1% error. I read the game well but made the wrong final decision. It is better to stay away for a few days. On the other hand if Raonic did not choke at 3-1 adv-40 we werent talking these and saying what a good pick it was But he struggled in all his serves in 2nd set and Dolgo's game overpowered his
    Last edited by kenz; 03-13-14 at 06:13 PM.

  13. #433
    kenz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Betfrog View Post
    :/ had same feeling... What do you think about this parlay:

    Kevin +5.5 games
    Gulbis

    Small stakes??
    Good odds small stakes = small risk.
    They look good. But Isner can make you sweat some if he serves like this. I was leaning there will be a tiebreak on that game but I will enjoy some time out.

    BOL

  14. #434
    Betfrog
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    Yeah I am worried about the impicable(or what it is called) serve of isner.
    Another bet a have a good feeling in is on marathonbet:

    E.Gulbis vs J.Isner. Handicap Betting Sets:Gulbis, Ernests (+1.5)
    Price: 1.25

    R.Federer vs K.Anderson. Handicap Betting Games: Anderson, Kevin (+5)
    Price: 1.333


    gives 1.66

    Would have liked +5,5 on anderson though

    or most preferrable over 22 games in isner vs gulbis together with +5,5 games for andersson.

  15. #435
    HatersGonnaHate
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    [QUOTE=kenz;21380886]Did not check the calendar, but if there is an 250 event after this better not to bet on it or small wagers. If there is a Masters, I will continue

    Yeah kenz a masters event in I think Miami starts next week

  16. #436
    kenz
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    [QUOTE=HatersGonnaHate;21381020]
    Quote Originally Posted by kenz View Post
    Did not check the calendar, but if there is an 250 event after this better not to bet on it or small wagers. If there is a Masters, I will continue

    Yeah kenz a masters event in I think Miami starts next week
    Then it is all good

    Lets fade Murray

  17. #437
    HatersGonnaHate
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    Is mAsters and grand slams the only tourneys you bet on kenz?? Or do you just go smaller on the 250 and 500 events (obviously for less motivation and lack of top tier talent). Also you ever bet challengers?

  18. #438
    kenz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Betfrog View Post
    Yeah I am worried about the impicable(or what it is called) serve of isner.
    Another bet a have a good feeling in is on marathonbet:

    E.Gulbis vs J.Isner. Handicap Betting Sets:Gulbis, Ernests (+1.5)
    Price: 1.25

    R.Federer vs K.Anderson. Handicap Betting Games: Anderson, Kevin (+5)
    Price: 1.333


    gives 1.66

    Would have liked +5,5 on anderson though

    or most preferrable over 22 games in isner vs gulbis together with +5,5 games for andersson.
    Isner-Gulbis last clash in Valencia was crazy.

    Isner wasted 10 break points, Gulbis wasted 8 break points.

    Gulbis was so moody that day, too many tantrums. Isner won in 2 tiebreaks 7-4 and 7-2. Tomorrow's game can really be a nerve test

  19. #439
    kenz
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    Quote Originally Posted by HatersGonnaHate View Post
    Is mAsters and grand slams the only tourneys you bet on kenz?? Or do you just go smaller on the 250 and 500 events (obviously for less motivation and lack of top tier talent). Also you ever bet challengers?
    Since 2012 I used to bet same amount of bets for each tourney, bet on WTA and challengers and doubles, also live bet but this year I am making early plans, arranging as much Bankroll as I can so I can bet heavy and comfortably come Masters and Grandslams.

    This year I am skipping WTA, doubles and livebet altogether, also skipping challengers most of the time with the talent involved and possible "fixing". Still if I like a bet I play occasionally. With 250s or 500s I still wager, I have less total volume definitely but occasionally if I like the bet I go as heavy as 4% of my bankroll, around $1000.

    Since I adopted this technique in 2014 I made approximately $15K. My best profit in 2 months time. I read somewhere to withdraw your earnings on the exact day on the exact time weekly. Monday 09:00 A.M for me. So my bankroll is fixed around $22K to $25K, approximately half in bookies half on my bank account. I also try to buy something nice each week if I withdrew money. It can be sports supplements, watch, designer clothes or some electronical device. It does not need to be something over-board, I enjoy the feeling.

    Also I stopped betting on basketball, cricket and soccer. All my concentration, time and bankroll is committed to tennis. People say capping tennis is harder but quite the opposite for me. I cant cap a basketball game and learned to be ok with it
    Last edited by kenz; 03-13-14 at 07:14 PM.

  20. #440
    MartyFR
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    Quote Originally Posted by kenz View Post
    Since 2012 I used to bet same amount of bets for each tourney, bet on WTA and challengers and doubles, also live bet but this year I am making early plans, arranging as much Bankroll as I can so I can bet heavy and comfortably come Masters and Grandslams.

    This year I am skipping WTA, doubles and livebet altogether, also skipping challengers most of the time with the talent involved and possible "fixing". Still if I like a bet I play occasionally. With 250s or 500s I still wager, I have less total volume definitely but occasionally if I like the bet I go as heavy as 4% of my bankroll, around $1000.

    Since I adopted this technique in 2014 I made approximately $15K. My best profit in 2 months time. I read somewhere to withdraw your earnings on the exact day on the exact time weekly. Monday 09:00 A.M for me. So my bankroll is fixed around $22K to $25K, approximately half in bookies half on my bank account. I also try to buy something nice each week if I withdrew money. It can be sports supplements, watch, designer clothes or some electronical device. It does not need to be something over-board, I enjoy the feeling.

    Also I stopped betting on basketball, cricket and soccer. All my concentration, time and bankroll is committed to tennis. People say capping tennis is harder but quite the opposite for me. I cant cap a basketball game and learned to be ok with it
    This will probably help me.

    I also bet too much, and need to calm down a bit.

    Will follow your tips, including one standard time/day to withdraw!

    Thanks!

  21. #441
    Steamroller
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    My god that Pennetta is an idiot. Many shots right there at the line and she's not using the challenges.

    And now she lost the set and almost started crying. Stephens is guaranteed winner.
    Last edited by Steamroller; 03-13-14 at 07:28 PM.

  22. #442
    thetitanlb
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    Can i get clarification what the pick is on this anderson vs fed match?

  23. #443
    thetitanlb
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    Anyone?

  24. #444
    fitguy67
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    once upon a time there was this thing called a mouse, and with it could be activated all manner of wonders...

    among them, the ability to go back to earlier pages...and the ability to scroll up and down on said pages...

    and even more wonderous than the mouse, was a pair of eyes and a hemispheric brain with which to guide the mouse until that desired information was found

    ______________

    don't be afraid to ask questions...but, wherever you are, do look around a wee bit before you do...

    on a thread, if you can't see something on the current page...go back, 1 page at a time...

    and if you can't find it anywhere, say, on the last 3/4 pages...THEN, it makes sense to ask
    Last edited by fitguy67; 03-13-14 at 10:02 PM.

  25. #445
    pattymayo
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    Quote Originally Posted by kenz View Post
    Did not check the calendar, but if there is an 250 event after this better not to bet on it or small wagers. If there is a Masters, I will continue
    Just curious but how do you not know what event comes after Indian wells?

  26. #446
    thetitanlb
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    I actually did look back two pages. Just totally missed the post. All good though

  27. #447
    fsulover100
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    Tough loss. on Federer over

  28. #448
    poet
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    Quote Originally Posted by fsulover100 View Post
    Tough loss. on Federer over
    Yes but everyone knew or should have known that Stan made Anderson look good by giving up. I've been saying that for two days now. Just before his match against Stan even Kenz faded Anderson but then he bought in again once Stan created the impression that Anderson really beat him, which HE DIDN'T. Besides, Fed eats big servers like Anderson up for a living. He knows how to break them down.

  29. #449
    SirtySree
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    Not really anything to be worried about. 2 loss days after 16 win days so its not like kenz system is wrong. No need to change anything as there will always be loss days here and there but just a matter of not chasing on loss days to maintain a good profit.

    Anderson played well but Federer just went to another level in that 2nd set, not much anyone can do when he plays like that.

  30. #450
    poet
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    Quote Originally Posted by SirtySree View Post
    Not really anything to be worried about. 2 loss days after 16 win days so its not like kenz system is wrong. No need to change anything as there will always be loss days here and there but just a matter of not chasing on loss days to maintain a good profit.

    Anderson played well but Federer just went to another level in that 2nd set, not much anyone can do when he plays like that.
    Totally disagree about the match. Fed choked in the first set (had three breakers in one game). He should have won that first set at 6-4 or 6-3.

  31. #451
    SirtySree
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    Quote Originally Posted by poet View Post
    Totally disagree about the match. Fed choked in the first set (had three breakers in one game). He should have won that first set at 6-4 or 6-3.
    How does that equal to Anderson not playing well? Anderson had a break or two opportunities himself, and that one game u talked about was pretty much the only real opportunity for Fed to break in the 1st set. Plus in mens tennis, the break rate is usually only around 30-40% each match usually.

    What I said was Anderson played well but Federer rose to another level in the 2nd set which majority of players would've crumbed against too.

  32. #452
    kenz
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    Quote Originally Posted by kenz View Post
    $1000 on Kevin Anderson - Roger Federer over 19.5 @1.34 @unibet

    1. The total looks to low to pass for me.
    2. I may be spoiling myself with stakes because I am having a good run recently. Still this total looks to good to be true, 6-4 6-4 is enough
    -$1000

  33. #453
    professionalAD
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    was a bad day kenz. got my dough back with stanford. lets stack some loot tomorrow with gulbis isner o 24.5

  34. #454
    kenz
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    2 tough losses yesterday, -$1,826

    2nd red day on 17th day of recording

    Began recording: 25/02/2014
    Total Won: $12,876.20
    Total Lost: $5,500
    Total Profit: +$7,376.20

    Total Wager: $30,275
    Return of Investment: +24.36%

    No bets until Miami Masters, need a few days out

  35. #455
    kenz
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    Quote Originally Posted by professionalAD View Post
    was a bad day kenz. got my dough back with stanford. lets stack some loot tomorrow with gulbis isner o 24.5
    Congratulations man

    I am taking a few days out until Miami Masters

    BOL on your play!

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