[gurgoles]

ty man you saved med on monfils and got me to take raonic instead

[kenz]

I get the feeling you don't know just how good you are Kenz.

Just such a fantastically solid run.

*Edit. And your approach is just absolutely spot on imo. Few people have the mental prowess required. With a huge emphasis on "few".

You certainly do my friend.

Thanks JC1186

Lets just say everything is crystal clear lately I get a great boost from positive comments, as much as a boost from a big win, so thanks bro. BOL on your plays. Wish you best

[kenz]

ty man you saved med on monfils and got me to take raonic instead

No problem Enjoy your winnings

[charley365]

Great job again man!!!
This is one crazy ride your taking us all on.
I hope it keeps going and going for u mate.

[kenz]

Great job again man!!!
This is one crazy ride your taking us all on.
I hope it keeps going and going for u mate.

Thanks for the good wishes bro

The good days are not over yet

[sluggy1616]

Give my props too. Lots of danger in this tourney and you have avoided it Masterfully

[kenz]

Give my props too. Lots of danger in this tourney and you have avoided it Masterfully

Thanks man

Did not feel the danger, actually. We keep picking the ones who should win

Joking aside, I play my bets after I am confident. I have been reading games pretty well lately, hopefully we will close the way we began

[Bumdeal]

Any lean on Stephens vs ivanovic mr Kenz?

[kenz]

Any lean on Stephens vs ivanovic mr Kenz?

Never bet on something that is not a sport.

[kenz]

WTA is not something you should fvcuk with, like cocaine or meth. It will kill you, then chew you and spit you.

[fitguy67]

Give my props too. Lots of danger in this tourney and you have avoided it Masterfully

you got that right...stayed away from the Monfils and Nadal landmines...megaprops, Kenz

especially interesting how you earlier today compared the precision required to bet successfully to defusing bombs

keep doing what u do (and what u DON'T do = what u very actively, thoughtfully avoid)

[kenz]

you got that right...stayed away from the Monfils and Nadal landmines...megaprops, Kenz

especially interesting how you earlier compared the precision required to bet successfully to defusing bombs

keep doing what u do (and what u don't do = what u very actively, thoughtfully avoid)

Thanks fitguy67, enjoy your in-depth write-ups.

That bomb exploded in my hands enough times to know how precise you have to be You have to think if the underdog can stay in the handicap, or win a set, or you should take over games as he wont get broke easily but cant break or win a set easily too(like playing against a hot Isner)

You may trust the underdog and bet on over, but if one in the game, in this case the favourite, chokes your over bet dies, you shold take the underdog +hcp

Your analysis on how the game will be played and your final decision needs to be 100% in sync, you usually dont have a room for 5% error in making the final decision.

Thanks again

[SirtySree]

You're going great kenz, keep it up. You got anymore plays apart from Agut and Isner for tomorrow? A shame I couldn't get Agut at those nice odds as when I signed up to marathonbet, it wouldnt allow me to deposit for some strange reason and bet365 only offered it @1.53 yesterday.

[kenz]

You're going great kenz, keep it up. You got anymore plays apart from Agut and Isner for tomorrow? A shame I couldn't get Agut at those nice odds as when I signed up to marathonbet, it wouldnt allow me to deposit for some strange reason and bet365 only offered it @1.53 yesterday.

I think I am gonna buy Gulbis +1.5 sets @1.47 or over 22.5 @1.75 both from Pinnacle

1. 25/25 100% first serve points from Gulbis against Joao Sousa, unreal
2. Last year eliminated in 4th round to Nadal when he could beat. Now Nadal gone, he should be more motivated.
3. In Acapulco the roles were different, Gulbis came from a championship Dİmitrov was hungry. Now Dİmitrov is coming from a championship, Gulbis is hungry.

But Dİmitrov is no slouch too. I really like his style, he uses every inch of a court, he serves well and returns well, he knows to be a winner lately

I think we should avoid to take a ML side and go for over 22.5 or Gulbis +1.5 sets here

[kenz]

Marathonbet live support should solve the problem easily

[kenz]

$300 on Gulbis +1.5 sets @1.47 @Pinnacle
$150 on Gulbis - Dimitrov over 22.5 @1.75 @Pinnacle

[poet]

No problem at all poet, I understand what you mean

In betting you may feel like a king one day, and the next day you are broke and feel depressed as hell. I made enough wagers to know this.

I like talking confident these days, and I feel I have a good grip on knowing the outcome of a matchup.

If you pay close attention I dont pay chalk on every game. I pick a few games that I am confident, I skip WTA altogether, I skip any game I am not sure.

I know the rule of this game and I know I am using some juice nowadays but I tried flat stake and asian handicap @1.90 odds too but simnce switching this technique where I leave myself free in mind, placed wagers from 100 to 1500 on how I feel I made very very good gains.

You are seeing +$8K in this thread but I made +$5.5K the month before so last 6 or 7 weeks I made +$13.5K. So I am happy with this new approach I use.

The key is to be very precious on what to pull trigger and what to avoid. You need to be as precious as a bomb deactivator specialist in betting

Even if I lose, which I never intend to, all my profit I will still dont feel like a loser. I am grateful I have the privilege of enjoying betting

Kenz, thanks for elaborating on your method. I look forward to betting on matches with you that have less chalk involved. Every gambler has to have rules and mine is to avoid chalk (as much as I can) as I've gotten burned too many times on bets that I thought were "sure things." It is very much like being a bomb deactivator (love the analogy) but how many people have that kind of temperament or disposition. You are a rare breed indeed. I've made over 25K betting but it has taken me a solid ten months (and maybe aged me ten years). I've never had a run like yours or any real hot streak to speak of. Mostly, it has been a grind so I've come to appreciate my winnings. The thought of putting a tenth of that on a guy who could possibly have blisters on his feet (e.g. Andy Murray), or didn't get enough sleep, or got in argument with his girlfriend an hour before a match, playing in a tournament that he couldn't care less about, doesn't get my juices going. In fact, just the opposite. But I wish you the best and look forward to your picks as the tournament progresses and the chalk begins to disappear.

[kenz]

Agut is @1.40-@1.45, cant believe we have it @1.96

[kenz]

Kenz, thanks for elaborating on your method. I look forward to betting on matches with you that have less chalk involved. Every gambler has to have rules and mine is to avoid chalk (as much as I can) as I've gotten burned too many times on bets that I thought were "sure things." It is very much like being a bomb deactivator (love the analogy) but how many people have that kind of temperament or disposition. You are a rare breed indeed. I've made over 25K betting but it has taken me a solid ten months (and maybe aged me ten years). I've never had a run like yours or any real hot streak to speak of. Mostly, it has been a grind so I've come to appreciate my winnings. The thought of putting a tenth of that on a guy who could possibly have blisters on his feet (e.g. Andy Murray), or didn't get enough sleep, or got in argument with his girlfriend an hour before a match, playing in a tournament that he couldn't care less about, doesn't get my juices going. In fact, just the opposite. But I wish you the best and look forward to your picks as the tournament progresses and the chalk begins to disappear.

My average prices are around @1.40 and I try to pick the ones I am confident on, so it means I believe somewhat they should win easy and cover the spread. And they do in general actually.

But after testing many methods, I have come to conclusion that using ML on favs, and using big spreads for underdogs, buying points to make the odd @1.50 I feel better and go heavier.

This is the one that works for me, but I dont say this is the best method ever. Each to his own method, I am open to any method that makes money

[kenz]

$1500 on Stanislas Wawrinka ML @1.22 @bwin

Should be free money. Big Kev cant handle Stanimal

[Rainman12]

$1500 on Stanislas Wawrinka ML @1.22 @bwin

Should be free money. Big Kev cant handle Stanimal

Was thinking the same kenz. Big Kevs serve was sub par today, which suggests to me he may be tired after a lot of tennis lately.
Stan is fresh. This shouldn't be a problem.

[kenz]

Was thinking the same kenz. Big Kevs serve was sub par today, which suggests to me he may be tired after a lot of tennis lately.
Stan is fresh. This shouldn't be a problem.

Wawrinka is superior to Dİmitrov in the areas where Dİmitrov shine. He is the better version

Dimitrov on a bad day beat Kevin Anderson on his best day.

Big kev struggling this week, his 2nd serve is an issue

This should be free money, I feel Wawrinka will win 2-0 too

[zec]

Agut is @1.40-@1.45, cant believe we have it @1.96

You can make a sure bet now

[kenz]

You can make a sure bet now

I know, but not worth it.

Stake is $300, if it was around $1000, I would think about it.

[zec]

Are you still confident in Isner?

[kenz]

Yes I am, but with Isner there is always a little question mark. You cant be as confident as Dİmitrov or Wawrinka

I been thinking also playing there will be a tiebreak @1.66

[toby0203]

You have a pick on the cilic-rob redo game? Cilic has been rolling so far this year and I'll never back rob redo after that piss poor performance against andujar

[tipsadontlikehim]

Yen-Hsun Lu has lost 8 games in 2 matches.
But Isner will be unbreakable as usual.

[kenz]

You have a pick on the cilic-rob redo game? Cilic has been rolling so far this year and I'll never back rob redo after that piss poor performance against andujar

I am skipping it

[kenz]

Yen-Hsun Lu has lost 8 games in 2 matches.
But Isner will be unbreakable as usual.

It may be tight, slow hard court.

Isner's price rising a bit

[kenz]

$200 on Roberto Bautista Agut ML @1.96 @Marathonbet

(might also buy over 22 tomorrow, but like this ML price)

+$192

$100 more on Roberto Bautista Agut ML @1.96 @Marathonbet

Total: $300

+$96
Total: +$288

I am not really surprised he beat Berdych, he did it once again in a slow hardcourt Chennai, India in 2013. Berdcyh had too many games under his belt lately and when Agut is on you have to be 100% motivated and 100% fit to beat him on a slow hard court

I will buy a little bit Agut more as Nieminen is out-of-shape lately and not very impressive on outdoor-hard-courts and always have a hard time holding his serves and beating someone.

Nieminen is better in indoor than outdoor but this year he is really out-of-shape. He barely beat Nedovyesov, then barely beat Pierre Hughes Herbert, made comeback in both the tie breaks because PHH is a loser French and barely beat Gicquel. And these are where he plays better, indoor

In outdoor he lost to Donald Young 2-0, lost to Kavcic 2-0, beat Dudi Sela in 5 in Australian Open and then lost Fognini

Agut beat DelPotro when he was not 100% (but Agut was unbelivable in return department, also saved a ton of break points) and Berdych this year. Dimitrov had too much flair for Agut to handle. He beat Sock, Johnson, Smyczek very easily to whom Nieminen might struggle.

I am upping my stake a bit

[charley365]

you're unstoppable
congratulations on another one!

[kenz]

you're unstoppable
congratulations on another one!

Thanks man

Harder than I expected though. Onto Dİmitrov vs Gulbis, then Isner

[AceAce]

Very nice call on Agut once again Kenz!

[HatersGonnaHate]

good work kenz when he blew that 1st match point i was like no f'ing way but he pulled it out