Querrey is a freaking crap shoot in my mind now. He has the mental game of a U12 player, for real. He was up a break at 4-3 in that third set the other day and he got broken TWICE!!! That is mental garbage. With HIS serve?????? He played so stupid in the rallies too. Just lightly hitting balls to the ad corner, and then trying to rip a 135mph winner after 5 or 6 of those cupcake shots. Guy is mentally GONE!
The opposite of Russell is true. He is SO strong mentally, bec he HAS to be. He has very few weapons & it would not shock me that if he can get Querreys serve back in play, HE will have the advantage in the rallies. If Querrey is bombing his serve today, he will win for sure!! But if he struggles serving & lets Russell stay in this match, it should be close as hell. That match depends on how dumb A Sam will serve & the last match he choked serving. Then he choked again serving. Then lost the match 5-7 in the third.
He should beat Russell 19 out of 20 times. But Sam Querrey is a mental midget. If its a 250 ATP tment, he seems to play really really good. ANY other tment besides the small ones, he is garbage I have learned......
The line reflects that. If Sam Querrey was a GOOD GOOD player with that HUGE serve, mentally strong............. he would be -500 or -600 against a little "rally you to death" Russell. The line is -365!! Tells me something.
Do I think Sam should win??? Of course, but watching him play like a moron last match with NO game plan & choking on serve left and right, I could not play him today. I just couldn't.
Now the Tsonga match: Wow, how many times have we seen someone win a tment and the next week bow out first round????! Should Tsonga win, yes! But Llodra in France is a DIFFERENT player than when he plays ANYwhere else. But this is in Dubai. Llodra has that serve rocking right now & he will come to the net on ANYthing! I expect him to keep this CLOSE tomm! I can't see Jo Wilfred just blowing out Llodra by any means! Tsonga never blows out anyone! Even the matches he is like -2000, he still wins 6-4, 6-4 usually! But Llodra is gonna bring that mean lefty serve & will hold his serve tomm (I would THINK) for most of the day. We have GOT to see a breaker in that match tomm for sure huh????!!! Tsonga could be gassed, he will WANT to win bec this is a huge tment, but he put a LOT in the game last week to win the tment in that thrilling final!!! Now that I am going over this, I am REALLY gonna look at Llodra plus the games I think. I know Tsonga is -510, so the game line has to be around Llodra +4 or 4.5 games. That tells me something also! A player at OVER -500, but they aern't sure if he can hold a 4 game line???? I will NOT be playing Tsonga tomm at all now. I think a smart play is on Llodra plus the games, not to win straight up. Llodra will put it all on the court tomm for sure, he knows he has to. Tsonga will try to win for sure, but if his return game is off a little bit, Llodra will freaking hold serve at will IMO!! Gotta see one breaker there & if you do and even if Llodra loses it, he is still +3 games for the next set & if he is serving well, that is a gimmie almost.
BOL with either of these plays if you play something. I have lessons in 20 mins, gotta roll. Hope this helped a little bit Omar. Take care brotha