[Dmoneytx]

Rose, you got nothing to worry about. That is what a thread is for too, its nice to blow steam off after we get screwed in the arss by some of these tennis players. Don't sweat it, you are all good. I hope you have a good day today betting

And Querrey would be tough to bet against right now. Lopez has burned me in the past with that lazy, slow, almost seems like he doesn't care style of play. With Lopez, it is almost always his serve! When he is serving those 13-15 aces a match, his game is 5x better than when he doesn't. If he is getting those free points left & right, then he is just a diff player. When he has to hit alot of second serves & win the rallies, then he is def not as good! His backhand is very beatable & bec of that, he will try to get to the net alot so it isn't exposed and taken apart. Lopez had 9 aces against D Young, but 4 doubles AND he saved 8 of 9 break points!! He will not get away with that against Querrey. And Querrey is serving very well with 12 aces his first match. If Lopez does not serve lights out & if Sam has a look at too many break points, Lopez should not survive this match. Could be a close one for sure, but I think Querrey keeps it rolling this morning & moves on to the next round.

Isner is another player I really like today. Melzer is lucky to be here still. He should of went out against McClune. Melzer had only 4 aces & was on the court for over 2 hours. He might be a little gassed today & with a match under Isner's belt, look for him to play big today. I am thinking 13-16 aces & Melzer will offer up some break points I think. Gonna be a tough tough match for Melzer today. I see John moving onto the next round as well, just too good & going to serve too big.....

[Dmoneytx]

Going to update yesterdays record & then put my plays up that I like so far. Would of had a MONSTER day yesterday if Istomin wasn't hung over bec he pulled an all nighter with Gulbis partying! If Istomin would of won, I would of went 6-0, instead I think I broke even!! ARG!!! Good luck to ev1 today, hoping for a good day & that break thru I need to get things back on track!!

[shimeon40]

i agree on lopez match..u just wouldnt know if lopez lay down or try..

[Dmoneytx]

Yesterdays Record 8/21:

Parlays (4-4) -0.42 units
Straights (1-1) -0.09 units


Total = (5-5) -0.51 units

***I had 4 plays pushed from yesterday with Querrey match suspended, which is why there were 10 plays graded yesterday.




Overall Record as of 8/21:

Parlays (121-102) +0.66 units
Straights (64-54-7) -10.50 units


Total = (185-156-7) -9.84 units
Total Win % = 54.7%

[Dmoneytx]

I think this works into Querreys favor in both situations. If Lopez does try, he is going to have his hands full bec I think Sam is serving really well AND is hitting well from the back of the court. I don't think Lopez can beat him exchanging rallies, he will have to come to the net alot & that is hit or miss for him. If Lopez does not try, he is gonna get wiped off the court. I honestly think he will try this morning, but I think his whole game will revolve around that FIRST serve. If its clicking, gonna be close close match. If it is not, Querrey should win in straights. Good luck Shimeon!!

[Dmoneytx]

8/22
Play #1

Querrey -295
Isner -350


Total = apprx -138
1.5u / 1.09u

[Dmoneytx]

8/22
Play #2

Brewers -1.5 runs -110
Cardinals -285
Isner -350


Total = apprx +231
1.0u / 2.31u

[Dmoneytx]

8/22
Play #3

Stakhovsky +4 games -114


Total = -114
1.0u / 0.88u

[Dmoneytx]

8/22
Play #4

Cardinals -1.5 runs -130
Berdych -600


Total = apprx +106
1.25u / 1.33u

[imzdeals]

dmoney sent u a pm

[Brian891]

dmoney u think tsonga loses today? im on tsonga. line did drop quite a bit.

[matt711]

[Dmoneytx]

dmoney u think tsonga loses today? im on tsonga. line did drop quite a bit.

I just got in. Sorry, I didn't get to this earlier. I was thinking of Tsonga on the moneyline, but I really thought the better value was to take the 4 games, just in case Tsonga lost a set or his knee or something. I was not surprised to see a breaker, so the plus games was more attractive to me. If you took him, I am glad you won. We both did

[Dmoneytx]

dmoney sent u a pm

Ok, I'll check it in a minute & get back to ya....

[Dmoneytx]

Update for 8/22: (3-1) @ -138, -114, +106

Play #1 - CASH IT
Both Querrey and Isner won fairly easily. This was one of the easiest plays I have played in quite awhile. I was really sure it would hit. Prob should of bet half my account on it, LOL!!

Play #2 - LOSS
I am really PISSED off, bec I was going to just play the Brewers on the money line and the payout still would of been like +130!!! Instead I went with the run line & they won of course 3-2, but BOTH of the shitty Cubs runs were solo shot home runs! Isner won easily. The Cardinals won easily. So this play lost & would of won if I just did what I originally wanted to!! ARG!!!!!!!

Play #3 - CASH IT
Stak played as he has the entire tment. Winning a good ammount of points on his serve & playing his funky style of tennis. Both sets were close & the second went to breaker I think. Really no sweat of losing, maybe the push, but turned out to be an easy play.

Play #4 - CASH IT
The Cardinals scored a run in the bottom of the eigth to take a 4-2 lead. They held to secure the run line. Berdych won pretty easily today & had breaks early in both sets. I should of prob of put him in more of parlays today, he served 15 aces in his first match!!! Berdych in GOOD form, need to see how he served this match, prob the same.

[Dmoneytx]

Really kind of upset that I didn't play that Brewers money line. I thought they would destroy the crappy Cubs. I would of had a Sweep Day & hit for about 4.5 units. And all of the plays would of been fairly easy IMO. Instead I end up doing ok & getting that overall back to where it needs to be. Hoping to have another good day tomm & I'll update the record in a few mins. BOL to ev1 tomm!!

[matt711]

So you make this post after he loses the first set. Istomin can still win. Name why Darcis should win? You have the confused smiley. So name why Istomin should lose to Darcis easy? Or are you some troll?

Why does demonata defend you when you have losing plays,cant you defend yourself.?

[Dmoneytx]

Today's Record 8/22:

Parlays (2-1) +1.42 units
Straights (1-0) +0.88 units


Total = (3-1) +2.30 units




Overall Record as of 8/22:

Parlays (124-103) +2.08 units
Straights (65-54-7) -9.62 units


Total = (189-157-7) -7.54 units
Total Win % = 55.1%

[Brian891]

great day man! yeah i sweated out the ml on tsonga and whined about it in another thread cuz it sure seemed like he wasnt into it today. a win is awin tho. good call! wonder when lines will post for tom.

[Demonata]

Great plays man. Good to see you and I both having good wins today.

[Rose']

Good day today Money! Didnt tell just took a day off. Nice picks

[Dmoneytx]

great day man! yeah i sweated out the ml on tsonga and whined about it in another thread cuz it sure seemed like he wasnt into it today. a win is awin tho. good call! wonder when lines will post for tom.

Good, I'm glad you won that play!! The lines took forever to come up at Bookmaker & I still see the games lines and totals are still not up at 5dimes. I wonder why??

[Dmoneytx]

Great plays man. Good to see you and I both having good wins today.

Thanks D!! Yea, I saw you just missed that 13 unit payout by that one doubles. WOW. Congrats on the 7 unit win on the one parlay. I hope to keep it going tomm!!

[Dmoneytx]

Good day today Money! Didnt tell just took a day off. Nice picks

Thanks Rose. Need to get back to alot of days like that. BOL today if you make any plays!!

[Dmoneytx]

8/23
Play #1

Berdych -450
Tigers ML -305
Isner -440


Total = apprx -101
1.0u / 0.99u

[Dmoneytx]

8/23
Play #2

Berdych -450
Cardinals -310
Isner -440


Total = apprx -102
1.0u / 0.98u

[Dmoneytx]

8/23
Play #3

Querrey -110
Isner -440


Total = apprx +134
1.0u / 1.34u

[Demonata]

Thanks D!! Yea, I saw you just missed that 13 unit payout by that one doubles. WOW. Congrats on the 7 unit win on the one parlay. I hope to keep it going tomm!!

Thanks man. Ya losing that 13 unit payout hurt. Stupid doubles. Doubles might be worse than betting WTA. lol

[beefcake]

hey guys, good analysis as always.Havent been keeping up much with sports with busy family life.US open should be good as usual.Going with Tenny Sandgrean today at +125..UT Vols power!

[hutennis]

Overall Record as of 8/22:

Parlays (124-103) +2.08 units
Straights (65-54-7) -9.62 units


Total = (189-157-7) -7.54 units
Total Win % = 55.1%

Why do you post Total Win%?
Is not it totally irrelevant?

[Brian891]

dmoney if u r around how comfortable are u with isner? will u hedge now? goffin's gotta be tired and really isnt that good but will isner bring it with open so close?

[Dmoneytx]

dmoney if u r around how comfortable are u with isner? will u hedge now? goffin's gotta be tired and really isnt that good but will isner bring it with open so close?

Hey Brian. Sorry, but I JUST got back to my computer at home. I worked all day teaching & my son came in from vacation this evening. This is the first time I have been back on the thread since early this morning. It was a very busy day. And the stress of looking at my phone for those two baseball games was crazy! I HOPE you know that I was ALL over Isner tonight!! He was in every play today & I SHOULD of done a write up on my play of the day! I was just so tired this morning, when I posted those plays I was JUST going to bed!! LOL!!
Goffin had saved 20 of 25 break points coming into this match!! AND he has hit like 17 double faults coming into this match!! HOW the hell is he in the quarterfinals??! So I was ALL over Isner tonight, which is why I put him in every play today. But talking to Demonata all day thru texting (we had an insane day stressing out together, hahahaha) I decided to just hedge with 50 to pay 200 on Goffin JUST in case his 5% chance of winning happened! But I was about 95-97% sure Isner would win. I am sure you saw him in all of my plays and knew I loved him tonight. If you took him, CONGRATS!!!

[Dmoneytx]

Why do you post Total Win%?
Is not it totally irrelevant?

That is how I set up my thread when I first started. It is how I wanted to do it, so I don't see how that is hurting anybody. I like to see what percentage of ALL my plays I hit. I think this is no big deal. If you tailed today, CONGRATS!! If you did not, I hope you had a good day with your wagers. Feel free to stop by anytime & ask questions or give tips or anything. I have some good people who come into my thread & would be glad to help as much as I would

[Dmoneytx]

hey guys, good analysis as always.Havent been keeping up much with sports with busy family life.US open should be good as usual.Going with Tenny Sandgrean today at +125..UT Vols power!

What's up Beef???!! Hope the family is doing great!! My 15 year old son just got back from Cali vacation! My daughter came back few days ago & the little man never left me And the family always comes first, I am happy to hear what I read on your post here, good man you are The US Open should be AWESOME!! I LOVE late night tennis!!! I can't wait. Cant wait to fade some players!!! And take Djokovic and Fed minus the 11 games in the first few rounds and watch them DESTROY the crappy players, HAHAHA!!! UT??? You a Tennesse fan I guess or alumni or student??? And I prob spelled Tenn wrong, sorry!! Old school SAT's, math - 720, verbal - 400. LOL!!! BOL to you sir if you made any plays!!

[hutennis]

That is how I set up my thread when I first started. It is how I wanted to do it, so I don't see how that is hurting anybody. I like to see what percentage of ALL my plays I hit. I think this is no big deal. If you tailed today, CONGRATS!! If you did not, I hope you had a good day with your wagers. Feel free to stop by anytime & ask questions or give tips or anything. I have some good people who come into my thread & would be glad to help as much as I would

I understand your motive. But I also think that putting in that number is simply misleading.

If you would bet coin flips then your number would actually mean a lot.
But you are betting heavy favorites and that's the reason your Win%% looks kinda nice.
In actuality, your Win%% should be way higher than you have given the odds you take.
If you would bet only -900 and up your Win %% would be in the 90% neighborhood.
So what? Does it mean your are the best thing since sliced bread? Does it mean your are actually making money?
Absolutely not.

You can do whatever is that you are doing, it is a public forum after all, but I think you should be fair to people who read your stuff and not mislead them with bogus numbers that mean absolutely nothing and their only purpose is to make you look a bit better than you really are.

GL