414# Porto x Frankfurt OVER 2.5 @1.91 [1u risk]
415# Porto -1 @1.93 [2u risk]
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02-20-14 10:32 AM #1086
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02-20-14 10:37 AM #1087
416# PAOK x Benfica OVER 2, 2.5 @1.85 [1u risk]
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02-20-14 10:48 AM #1088
417# Fiorentina @1.70 [1u risk]
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02-20-14 11:06 AM #1089
Easy im thinking about parlaying some of the following games for a bigger stake, but im no EL expert by any means. Debating between Ajax, Shaktor, Napoli (all dnb probably) and Porto -1. Any suggestions?
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02-20-14 11:19 AM #1090
I think Napoli needs 2 goals to win against Swansea, Ajax v Salzburg i'd say BTTS is the most safe option, looking at both teams Ajax very rarely doesn't get atleast one goal at home, and Salzburg on the regular let's one in away because of how attacking they are.
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02-20-14 11:43 AM #1091
Your probably right, some interesting games today. Im probably laying off Napoli, but i just cant see Ajax losing at home, maybe draw. Not sure about Porto, I know my Bundesliga and Frankfurt have an important match this weekend vs Bremen on which they will probably focus more. Lyon and Tottenham dnb look juicy too, same with Ludogorets
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02-20-14 11:53 AM #1092
Originally Posted by true blue 26
Porto -1 is already my strongest bet of the day. Originally Posted by true blue 26
My advice take Porto
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02-20-14 12:05 PM #1093
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02-20-14 12:22 PM #1094
Agree Porto -1 is also my strongest play today other than Juventus -1.5 and Napoli DNB
Porto will dominate i believe and know.
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02-20-14 01:56 PM #1095
The only problem Porto has this season is the freaking coach! Scary sometimes how fking lost the players are on the pitch....
But I believe today Porto will make a good game. They have the better team.
Also my friends that are on the stadium say 5 to 6K Frankfurt supporters.....that's scary!
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02-20-14 02:03 PM #1096
Damn that's quite a bit of frankfurter sausages there lol But it doesn't matter Frankfurt suck. Originally Posted by EasyPicks
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02-20-14 02:15 PM #1097
eheheheh, that's right! Originally Posted by Akatana
just hope Porto don't choke as usual lately in Europe
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02-20-14 03:03 PM #1098
I'm so ashamed tonight.
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02-21-14 03:12 AM #1099
that was unfreaking real Burk. Wtf??? Are you guys that bad? Originally Posted by BigBurk
AJAX & PORTO ==
I didn't see the AJax game, but for the RedBull odd drop from 5.00 to 3.10 before Kick-off, something was about to happen....and that was a 0-3 in the ass by the 35 minute.
Regarding Porto...ohh boy, these fking morons can't do sh*t this year. Don't get me wrong I'm happy as hell (Benfica
)...but god damn, when it's my money on the line...FKKK THEM. Paulo Fonseca coach hasn't been sacked because Porto hates to admit that they made an awful decision! Those retards don't know how to secure an advantage of two goals with 20' left....wow!
Quaresma did score a beautiful goal, did you see it?
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02-21-14 03:16 AM #1100
Originally Posted by EasyPicks
Originally Posted by EasyPicks
2-2 Originally Posted by EasyPicks
-1.39u
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02-21-14 10:41 AM #1101
We totally were that bad last night, plus Salzburg seems to have a great team not afraid to keep pressure from the get go. Luckily I kinda saw it coming and took Salzburg to advance @ 2.10 (which also dropped, to 1.85 pre match). Originally Posted by EasyPicks
I saw the goal, great one! But boy, Porto should have won that one easily.
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02-21-14 01:26 PM #1102
418# Schalke x Mainz OVER 2.5 @1.82 [to win 2u]
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02-22-14 06:41 AM #1103
0-1 Originally Posted by EasyPicks
-2.44u
------------------------------------##--------------------------
419# Chelsea @1.62 [1u risk]
420# Chelsea x Everton OVER 2, 2.5 @1.79 [to win 1u]
421# Hamburguer x Dortmund OVER 3 @1.62 [to win 1u]
422# Wolfsburg x Leverkusen OVER 2.5 @1.82 [to win 2u]
423# Man. City -2 @1.94 [1u risk]
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02-22-14 08:12 AM #1104
424# Arsenal -1.5 @2.03 [1u]
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02-22-14 01:13 PM #1105
Originally Posted by EasyPicks
3-2-1 Originally Posted by EasyPicks
+1.65u
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02-23-14 06:49 AM #1106
425# Liverpool x Swansea OVER 3 @1.90 [to win 1u]
426# Liverpool HT @1.7 [1u risk]
427# PSG -1 @1.962 [1u risk]
428# Setubal @3.17 [1u]
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02-23-14 09:40 AM #1107
mate why is Setubal priced so high ? I got surprised when i saw the odd , but have no info for portuguese league , so i am asking you since you are from POR
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02-23-14 12:29 PM #1108
Originally Posted by EasyPicks
can you guys ask any better?
4-0
+4.83u
terrible read by the books. Final score 4-0, ahahahah! Originally Posted by pellumb341
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02-23-14 01:24 PM #1109
Originally Posted by EasyPicks
can you guys ask any better?
4-0
+4.83u
terrible read by the books. Final score 4-0, ahahahah!
when i saw those high odds , thought maybe they had some missings.
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02-24-14 11:48 AM #1110
429# Benfica x Guimaraes OVER 2.5 @1.84 [3u risk]
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02-24-14 01:06 PM #1111
Good job over the weekend mate! How confident are you in this going over? If I remember correctly you usually hit your 3u and up at a higher %, correct?
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02-24-14 02:08 PM #1112
To be honest I'm not in love for the play at the moment bcs of the way Benfica is playing (solid defense, almost ever they suffer a goal, and a poor attack when comparing with other seasons), but the statistical system (which I've been using this season with success, and back tested for 10 years = all profitable) says it's a 4 unit play...... Originally Posted by Semper Fidelis
...but since I don't like it that much and its impossible to insert in the system my players/team perception I've downgraded the play to 3 units
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02-24-14 02:08 PM #1113
Cardozo is back, let's just hope he will be onfire!
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02-25-14 05:43 AM #1114
0-1 Originally Posted by EasyPicks
-3u
I'm better than my own system, ehehe! Originally Posted by EasyPicks
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02-25-14 08:45 AM #1115
That's why I asked you man, looking at Benfica's last several matches I noticed they had many low-scoring defensive games! Because of your caution I only went small, and thankfully withheld from using that as the last leg of a very nice parlay! Do you have a breakdown as to the stats of your various unit plays based on their perceived strength based on your statistical model? Of course all that matters in the end is being in the black, but it'd be interesting to see what the % rate is for all of them. In any event good luck on any plays you have today my friend!
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02-25-14 08:56 AM #1116
Guimareas had a couple chances and Benfica missed an open goal near end. on another day it could of been 2-1 Benfica, but just sloppy finishing
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02-25-14 10:37 AM #1117
Glad I helped even if I picked up a loser! I should know better and follow my instinct, but I wanna be true to the statistics and get the same year on year ROI that the model produces. Originally Posted by Semper Fidelis
That's why I asked you man, looking at Benfica's last several matches I noticed they had many low-scoring defensive games! Because of your caution I only went small, and thankfully withheld from using that as the last leg of a very nice parlay! Do you have a breakdown as to the stats of your various unit plays based on their perceived strength based on your statistical model? Of course all that matters in the end is being in the black, but it'd be interesting to see what the % rate is for all of them. In any event good luck on any plays you have today my friend!
I have the 4-3 units bets averaging 70%-72%
And the rest hitting 65% (on low odds, between 1.55-1.80)
And I'm hitting below 50% (as you can see by the overall record) on odds > 1.80
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02-25-14 11:16 AM #1118
Live bet (0-2)
430# zenit +0.5 @2.00
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02-25-14 11:46 AM #1119
still 0-2 Originally Posted by EasyPicks
I'm buying out at 1.96
Dortmund -0.5 @1.96
Zenit is playing worst than shit! Omg probably the worst team ever to get to the 1/8 of the champions!
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02-26-14 12:43 PM #1120
posted early in the morning this next play by twitter:
431# Schalke vs Real Madrid: More Booking Points SCHALKE @2.25 [1u]
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