1. 12-20-14 02:01 PM #246
    Keyboard Warrior
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    my math says that you only have a 6.25 percent chance of losing half your BR in a quarter kelly staking system.


    something i could live with
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  2. 12-20-14 02:02 PM #247
    MD
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    It is impossible to go bust betting Kelly. You can become "effectively" bust, but even that is very unlikely unless you're making consistent -EV plays.
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  3. 12-20-14 02:14 PM #248
    FightFightFight
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    Quote Originally Posted by Keyboard Warrior View Post
    my math says that you only have a 6.25 percent chance of losing half your BR in a quarter kelly staking system.something i could live with
    I wonder if the 1/4-1/2 system (with the right operator) would actually reduce that number. Maybe 1/4-1/3. At worst, Id wager that it would only raise it slightly, whilst drastically raising your growth.
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  4. 12-20-14 02:15 PM #249
    Keyboard Warrior
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    i said lose half your BR. At a certain point MD you will flip your shit and never again place a bet. If you lost half your BR. No one is going to sit around and grind 50 bucks. Like nunya said get a second job and quit gambling.

    If I lose half my BR im quitting forever.
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  5. 12-20-14 02:19 PM #250
    FightFightFight
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    Thats not true. Not if you double it first.
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  6. 12-20-14 02:36 PM #251
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    Quote Originally Posted by FightFightFight View Post
    Thats not true. Not if you double it first.
    well good on yeah, but i think MD and I are talking about true kelly. Your entire net worth. If I lost half that because of gambling I would be done. I have a family.
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  7. 12-20-14 02:52 PM #252
    marzwoody
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    Good card tonight and this is what you f@gs are talking about? how about you pick those winnerz enough said
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  8. 12-20-14 02:56 PM #253
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    Quote Originally Posted by marzwoody View Post
    Good card tonight and this is what you f@gs are talking about? how about you pick those winnerz enough said
    ?????

    day is already over for me!

    http://www.oddsportal.com/volleyball...-league-women/
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  9. 12-20-14 03:00 PM #254
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    not joking about V league mang
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  10. 12-20-14 03:03 PM #255
    marzwoody
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    Make a vollyball thread and share those winnerz breh.
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  11. 12-20-14 03:06 PM #256
    Keyboard Warrior
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    so jibby can tail me? no thanks joffrey. I had a thread once. it didnt end well

    if we had a irc chat without jibb and sac i would be open with my picks
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  12. 12-20-14 03:07 PM #257
    NunyaBidness
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    Quote Originally Posted by Keyboard Warrior View Post
    well good on yeah, but i think MD and I are talking about true kelly. Your entire net worth. If I lost half that because of gambling I would be done. I have a family.
    Your kelly bankroll doesn't have to be your networth.

    Also, against what FFF said, my bankroll is probably 50000x the size of where I started, but if I lost half of it, I'd probably quit.
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  13. 12-20-14 03:07 PM #258
    NunyaBidness
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    Quote Originally Posted by Keyboard Warrior View Post
    so jibby can tail me? no thanks joffrey. I had a thread once. it didnt end well

    if we had a irc chat without jibb and sac i would be open with my picks
    talk to grabbers
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  14. 12-20-14 03:22 PM #259
    Keyboard Warrior
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    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    Your kelly bankroll doesn't have to be your networth.

    Also, against what FFF said, my bankroll is probably 50000x the size of where I started, but if I lost half of it, I'd probably quit.
    damn son, you're close to 7 figs then. I argued your first point with MD once. He for sure was convinced Kelly has to be everything you can possibly use to get a bet down. So I am going with that. But I see your point.

    Also damn, how do you deal with the pressure?
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  15. 12-20-14 03:22 PM #260
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    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    talk to grabbers

    i dont follow?
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  16. 12-20-14 03:24 PM #261
    FightFightFight
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    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    Your kelly bankroll doesn't have to be your networth.

    Also, against what FFF said, my bankroll is probably 50000x the size of where I started, but if I lost half of it, I'd probably quit.
    Not if you doubled it first.
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  17. 12-20-14 03:26 PM #262
    FightFightFight
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    Its different...it would be because there's a clear sign something is wrong. If you knew it was all just variance, for sure, you'd grind on.
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  18. 12-20-14 03:27 PM #263
    FightFightFight
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    Plus, that's your earnings, and not your actual bankroll. As defined by what you are willing to lose.
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  19. 12-20-14 03:33 PM #264
    NunyaBidness
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    Quote Originally Posted by Keyboard Warrior View Post
    i dont follow?
    grabaka
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  20. 12-20-14 03:36 PM #265
    Keyboard Warrior
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    money is just the tool. Like a shovel to a farmer. I don't separate earnings from original bankroll.

    Maybe I should? I thought kelly was to use everything at your disposal especially if you can quantify an edge.
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  21. 12-20-14 03:40 PM #266
    FightFightFight
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    Kelly doesnt care what you use. Entirely up to you. Whatever you tell Kelly to maximize, it will. Best definition is whatever you are willing to lose, which is just an approximation imo, because it should depend on why you are losing, which isn't currently quantifiable.
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  22. 12-20-14 03:44 PM #267
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    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    grabaka
    yeah he did say he had a server with forum software?? could put a shout box on that. I cant read another brooks,ron,jibby,sac post. I just cant do it.
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  23. 12-20-14 04:08 PM #268
    getlucky2win
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    Quote Originally Posted by Keyboard Warrior View Post
    yeah he did say he had a server with forum software?? could put a shout box on that. I cant read another brooks,ron,jibby,sac post. I just cant do it.
    +1. how do i ignore some1 on here?
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  24. 12-20-14 04:18 PM #269
    Keyboard Warrior
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    haha that is way too much work. I wish there was block all then you just white list certain posters. We are going to get this irc setup getlucky
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  25. 12-20-14 04:19 PM #270
    Keyboard Warrior
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    MD if you want on irc get a freeshell from xshellz.com, install the znc bouncer to hide the IP
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  26. 12-20-14 04:55 PM #271
    Vaughany
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    Im guessing one of furys premium playz tonight is a parlay of sasaki, barao, and machida!
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  27. 12-20-14 05:00 PM #272
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    V what is going on twitter? Haz Punisher been served for haxking medical docz?
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  28. 12-20-14 05:03 PM #273
    marzwoody
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Im guessing one of furys premium playz tonight is a parlay of sasaki, barao, and machida!
    How is that Luca dude handling the heat?
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  29. 12-20-14 05:09 PM #274
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    new comedy vid from Gabe
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  30. 12-20-14 05:09 PM #275
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by Keyboard Warrior View Post
    V what is going on twitter? Haz Punisher been served for haxking medical docz?
    Nothing really, fury is jus ignoring it as far as i can tell. What medical docz? You mean the document that listed the guadianship thing? That was on the Minnesota Judicial Branch website, a public domain as far as im aware? Dont think Pun did anything dodgy or unethical by presenting it
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  31. 12-20-14 05:09 PM #276
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    Quote Originally Posted by marzwoody View Post
    How is that Luca dude handling the heat?
    Did you load up on Cerrone?
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  32. 12-20-14 05:12 PM #277
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Nothing really, fury is jus ignoring it as far as i can tell. What medical docz? You mean the document that listed the guadianship thing? That was on the Minnesota Judicial Branch website, a public domain as far as im aware? Dont think Pun did anything dodgy or unethical by presenting it
    i know, he is a lawyer anyways. but that twitter guy was talking about it being some big leak! lol
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  33. 12-20-14 05:14 PM #278
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Nothing really, fury is jus ignoring it as far as i can tell. What medical docz? You mean the document that listed the guadianship thing? That was on the Minnesota Judicial Branch website, a public domain as far as im aware? Dont think Pun did anything dodgy or unethical by presenting it
    What are your thoughts on Gabe's comedy? I am a fan.
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  34. 12-20-14 05:15 PM #279
    NunyaBidness
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    Quote Originally Posted by Keyboard Warrior View Post
    i know, he is a lawyer anyways. but that twitter guy was talking about it being some big leak! lol
    His momma knew it was going in the public record when she did it.

    Someone photoshop Lucas' head on this.

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  35. 12-20-14 05:17 PM #280
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by Keyboard Warrior View Post
    new comedy vid from Gabe
    My boii Gaberz Killian be Killinem! Hes Improved for sure

    he is also lookin more and more like Edmond Tarvedyan!!
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