1. 05-14-16 07:57 PM #49771
    Fidel_CashFlow
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  2. 05-14-16 08:50 PM #49772
    PerfectGrape
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    Quote Originally Posted by PittsburghPlayer View Post
    I only "hoped" for you Bro`...
    I am pretty certain that I had very little to do with outcome.
    just messing, don't believe in luck. not sore about the loss. cashflow on the other hand is buttsore from all the gayness he's posting
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  3. 05-14-16 08:53 PM #49773
    DwightShrute
    I don't believe you ... please continue
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  4. 05-14-16 10:15 PM #49774
    KVB
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  5. 05-14-16 10:16 PM #49775
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by PerfectGrape View Post
    ...don't believe in luck...
    Make no mistake, I've met Lady Luck, she goes both ways.

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  6. 05-14-16 10:16 PM #49776
    KVB
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    Some great posts, I'll check in later been a little busy with family time.

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  7. 05-15-16 06:33 AM #49777
    PerfectGrape
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Make no mistake, luck is a bitc

    yep
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  8. 05-15-16 06:41 AM #49778
    PerfectGrape
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    +4.5 game 7, you know who Mon is on
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  9. 05-15-16 07:07 AM #49779
    PittsburghPlayer
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    Quote Originally Posted by PerfectGrape View Post
    just messing, don't believe in luck. not sore about the loss.
    We are cool.
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  10. 05-15-16 09:54 AM #49780
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    Quote Originally Posted by PittsburghPlayer View Post
    We are cool.
    bucs going down



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  11. 05-15-16 12:39 PM #49781
    PerfectGrape
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    pound play on the +175? i don't think we will get the +5
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  12. 05-15-16 02:09 PM #49782
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    ...This is a time where the my forecasts may get some losses, but it's still a good idea to go with them on the moneyline...
    I don’t think we see Toronto -5, I think the line is good where it is. It seems like the numbers driven community, and many of those who come to similar conclusions have some alignment with Toronto winning. Non predictive yet often used numbers by amateur regular bettors give Toronto about a 5 point win, or a bit less.

    My forecasts have finally given Toronto some credit here with the win, but by only about 2.5 points.

    The books may be taking a position here, keeping the sharps out of the spread and slightly below, with the public loving Miami Heat. The market and numbers have produced a population that will take the favorite, but it’s to a lesser degree for sure.

    To go with the spread, with no discrepancy, against my line would indicate an underdog spread play and, truthfully, any rise in that line might bring unwanted action. The books are keeping some sharps on the side for this bet.

    There’s a bit of a Sicilian conundrum here with that moneyline. So much alignment on the money line will cause some suspicious yet very influential market readers to jump to the underdog; that is to jump to Miami. That +175 moneyline feels a bit too rich for an environment in which public money has not only been aimed at Miami to win, but we see more sophisticated participants shifting there as well.

    The safest play here is likely the high priced Toronto moneyline; the winning bet is often one that has to be paid for and in this case trying to outsmart the books could be a disaster.




    The problem I have is that I haven’t been posting every game and can’t tell you by example which groups of bettors are on which end of the give and take of the markets. This is one reason why I like posting whole season as a time.

    Good Luck.

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  13. 05-15-16 02:23 PM #49783
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  14. 05-15-16 02:32 PM #49784
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    what in the fukk ???
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  15. 05-15-16 02:36 PM #49785
    KVB
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    I've picked up Toronto to win at several places at several prices and also put them in a parlay with the WNBA team from Dallas +6.5 points.

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  16. 05-15-16 04:56 PM #49786
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    Hate when that happens...

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  17. 05-15-16 04:56 PM #49787
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  18. 05-15-16 05:31 PM #49788
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  19. 05-15-16 05:32 PM #49789
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  20. 05-15-16 05:33 PM #49790
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
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  21. 05-15-16 05:34 PM #49791
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  22. 05-15-16 05:35 PM #49792
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  23. 05-15-16 05:40 PM #49793
    DwightShrute
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  24. 05-15-16 05:41 PM #49794
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  25. 05-15-16 05:45 PM #49795
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    Quote Originally Posted by DwightShrute View Post
    lmao

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  26. 05-15-16 05:46 PM #49796
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  27. 05-15-16 06:09 PM #49797
    Da Manster!
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    posted another lock winner in players thread (astros/red sox over 10.5) and not one fuk was given by the Fly Me Crew!...Unrale!.....hell, even yisman and trytrytry gave me a shout out!...
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  28. 05-15-16 06:17 PM #49798
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    nice hit KVB, wasted a free play on the heat before the writeup came out. read the writeup at halftime, saved me from chaser bets
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  29. 05-15-16 06:23 PM #49799
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    yep did no chase bets on the heat
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  30. 05-15-16 06:27 PM #49800
    PerfectGrape
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    posted another lock winner in players thread (astros/red sox over 10.5) and not one fuk was given by the Fly Me Crew!...Unrale!.....hell, even yisman and trytrytry gave me a shout out!...
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  31. 05-15-16 07:08 PM #49801
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fidel_CashFlow View Post
    thats low. you backing blues tonight? not a good price on under
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  32. 05-15-16 07:14 PM #49802
    KVB
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    I want to bet the hockey game, and I want to bet St Louis (I have the Blues to come out of the West, the only future I bought for NHL).

    This game seems like a bit more of a gamble and the prices make it such. Over the long term, it's a pass, over the short term, while I want to place a bet, I just didn't. Today's been a good day overall for KVB so I'm sitting out.
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  33. 05-15-16 07:17 PM #49803
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    posted another lock winner in players thread (astros/red sox over 10.5) and not one fuk was given by the Fly Me Crew!...Unrale!.....hell, even yisman and trytrytry gave me a shout out!...
    I haven't posted much or even read much this weekend, I've been distracted. Try to drop the FlyMe thread a little note when you post a PT lock, after all, someone needs to PT this shit, what with all the analysis and winners coming out of here.

    Nothing but for love Mansta!

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  34. 05-15-16 07:20 PM #49804
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    KVB^^
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  35. 05-15-16 07:22 PM #49805
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    posted another lock winner in players thread (astros/red sox over 10.5) and not one fuk was given by the Fly Me Crew!...Unrale!.....hell, even yisman and trytrytry gave me a shout out!...
    haven't been to Players Talk all day.... but I will tell you one thing

    and Ill tell you it right fukkin now

    Congrats on cashing on your over 10.5


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