[Vaughany]

Hah, no matter, not a single US book seems to have 1H lines on this league.

oh yeah good point. 188bet and pinnacle pretty much only ones who do over 1 1st half type bets. Over 2.5 should still be good in Bielefeld game. Over 3 for sure in Hoffenheim/FSV Frankfurt tomorrow

[NunyaBidness]

If you haven't maxed it yet, do so now.

Democrats control senate +700 at Sportsbook

[PunisherIND]

If you haven't maxed it yet, do so now.

Democrats control senate +700 at Sportsbook

wow! that jumped from +200 to +700?!

[Vaughany]

On Paddypower the Republicans are -800 then on 888sport and UNibet they are -4100 with Democrats at +1100

[NunyaBidness]

Those lines are all nuts.

Nate Silver has it around -180 repubs. Exchanges are around -300. NY Times about -210

Really wish some other sites would open these lines, i want to hammer it.

[getlucky2win]

bet dsi has [97051] MARK BEGICH (D) WINS

+354

[NunyaBidness]

bet dsi has [97051] MARK BEGICH (D) WINS

+354

Yeah I took it at +315 yesterday and added on at +380 today.

[Das Jax]

Yeah... as a bit of a political buff, I think that line is trending for a reason. The Democrats are definitely on the ropes this time around.

[PunisherIND]

Fiorentina (ITA-A) -½ -158 vs Udinese (ITA-A)

[NunyaBidness]

Yeah... as a bit of a political buff, I think that line is trending for a reason. The Democrats are definitely on the ropes this time around.

I think that's the narrative that's going around some circles, but I don't think its going to be a wipeout. I expect the close races to be split pretty evenly.

Political betting lines are always retarded. Getting Obama at -140 was the line of the century.

[Das Jax]

I think that's the narrative that's going around some circles, but I don't think its going to be a wipeout. I expect the close races to be split pretty evenly.

Political betting lines are always retarded. Getting Obama at -140 was the line of the century.

Holy balls... you ain't lyin'. Was that an early line or was that at the close? Romney never had a chance that election.

[Das Jax]

Also, I agree that it won't be a wipeout, but I also don't think the dems will win.

[mirinquads]

I remember crushing that obama line.. and it stayed at like -175/-180 for a good while. Baffeling stuff.

[JIBBBY]

Forget about the politics crap... Bet against the LA Lakers in the NBA every game for the next few weeks until the betting lines catch up.. This team will lose by 20 or more points every night especially on the road... Ride it fellas hard as I am... It's money in the bank.

I live in LA and I can see how bad this team will be... I'm a life time Laker fan and they are done!!!!

12 1/2 points was the line at the Suns tonight..

[NunyaBidness]

Holy balls... you ain't lyin'. Was that an early line or was that at the close? Romney never had a chance that election.

I'd have to look at my records but IIRC that was the closing line at intrade back when they were supposed to be the sharp prediction market.

So many people betting homers, and people confused because of the sounding box they live in. A relative told me he thought Romney would get greater than 80% of the vote, because he knew lots of people who had voted for Obama before who wouldn't now, but no one with the opposite opinion.

I don't think the dems will win control either, but current prices are nuts.

[NunyaBidness]

Forget about the politics crap... Bet against the LA Lakers in the NBA every game for the next few weeks until the betting lines catch up.. This team will lose by 20 or more points every night especially on the road... Ride it fellas hard as I am... It's money in the bank.

I live in LA and I can see how bad this team will be... I'm a life time Laker fan and they are done!!!!

12 1/2 points was the line at the Suns tonight..

You're doing it wrong.

[cheeese]

Pittsburgh or Tampa Bay -160 PK, NHL for contest

[PunisherIND]

or Chicago Blackhawks -160 vs Ottawa Senators

edit: i'm going with TB. highest price on the puck line.

[omalley21]

Louisville +4.5 on sportsbook.

[NunyaBidness]

Louisville +4.5 on sportsbook.

Bovada too, if you like it. Picking up the 4.5 there isn't enough to be worth a blind bet, but if you like it anyway, definitely the place to bet it.

The ML is actually slightly better.

[omalley21]

Bovada showing +4 -105. Was blind betting the line value, so tail at own risk folks. I always forget to look at the ml vs spread chart in sharps sports betting. Is that online somewhere?

Edit: So even though 4 is a key number its not enough value to overcome the juice? the 3.5 to 4.5? I need to reread the big 3 clearly.

[mmaed]

You're doing it wrong.

Romney had a shot up until that video of him referring to everyone in america as leechers came out. Its the video taken by carters grandson. If he had a chance, that killed it.

[NunyaBidness]

Bovada showing +4 -105. Was blind betting the line value, so tail at own risk folks. I always forget to look at the ml vs spread chart in sharps sports betting. Is that online somewhere?

Edit: So even though 4 is a key number its not worth the 3.5 to 4.5? I need to reread the big 3 clearly.

Didn't check bovada, but SBRodds showing 4.5 -110, but it could be behind.

4 is worth more than a dead number, but its not a key number like the 3 or 7. Easy way to confirm value is to compare the dropdown boxes at a sharp book.

Pinny giving -123/+104 at that number.

You can compare MLs the same way, otherwise there's this:

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/bett...-ml-converter/

[omalley21]

Interesting how different the moneyline is for cfb vs nfl at same spread. Do you tease cfb?

[NunyaBidness]

Interesting how different the moneyline is for cfb vs nfl at same spread. Do you tease cfb?

Rarely. The -6.5 to -7 lines sometimes are workable in the same format I talked about a couple of weeks ago, but generally the totals are so high to make them not worth it.

[NunyaBidness]

Avengers II Boxoffice More than $210 Millions +223 at bookmaker. Would take this at evens.

Like 1.5 to 1.99 Billion worldwide at +110 a little bit.

[Crassus]

Avengers II Boxoffice More than $210 Millions +223 at bookmaker. Would take this at evens.

That seems absolutely nuts to me, Guardians of the Galaxy made 300mil

[MD]

That seems absolutely nuts to me, Guardians of the Galaxy made 300mil

Guardians of the Galaxy made 300mil$ in North America total. For Nunya's bet to cash, Avengers II has to cover 210mil$ in the USA alone on opening weekend, which the original Avengers failed to do (barely.)

I don't like the play, personally.

[NunyaBidness]

Guardians of the Galaxy made 300mil$ in North America total. For Nunya's bet to cash, Avengers II has to cover 210mil$ in the USA alone on opening weekend, which the original Avengers failed to do (barely.)

I don't like the play, personally.

The market sure does. What makes you think it'll gross less than the original with inflation and more hype? Iron Man 3 grossed More than 1 + 2, Captain American 2 Grossed 50% more than the first. Thor 2 grossed 10% more than the first. Avengers has to make 1% more to win.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/franchi...rvelcomics.htm

2000 point bet at original price?

[NunyaBidness]

Average ticket price in 2012 (original avengers release date) was $7.96, whereas average ticket price in 2015 is expected to be $8.30, an increase of 4.27%. The Original sold slightly over 26.06 million tickets. The new one will only need to sell 25.3 million tickets to win the bet.

[Beelzebubzy]

Average ticket price in 2012 (original avengers release date) was $7.96, whereas average ticket price in 2015 is expected to be $8.30, an increase of 4.27%. The Original sold slightly over 26.06 million tickets. The new one will only need to sell 25.3 million tickets to win the bet.

$8.30? What the penetration? I pay 15 dollars a ticket where I live. Thats the matinee price as well.

[NunyaBidness]

$8.30? What the penetration? I pay 15 dollars a ticket where I live. Thats the matinee price as well.

I know, its $12 in my neck of the woods and I'm not big-city living at all.

Makes you wonder where the hell all the $4 tickets are being sold at.

[Beelzebubzy]

I know, its $12 in my neck of the woods and I'm not big-city living at all.

Makes you wonder where the hell all the $4 tickets are being sold at.

I was in San Fran last week. On Sunday, I saw The Equalizer for 7 bucks (first showing of the day) while I was waiting for my flight. The normal price for that theater was 11.25.

[MD]

The market sure does. What makes you think it'll gross less than the original with inflation and more hype? Iron Man 3 grossed More than 1 + 2, Captain American 2 Grossed 50% more than the first. Thor 2 grossed 10% more than the first. Avengers has to make 1% more to win.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/franchi...rvelcomics.htm

2000 point bet at original price?

You think it's more hyped than the original Avengers? I certainly do not. More anecdotal than anything, though.

No thanks, to the bet. 2-2.49bil after six months is my only play there.

[Beelzebubzy]

Is there an arb calculator on here? Or is there an easy math trick?