[Vaughany]

Karlovic @ -105 against Hewitt.... 3 and 0 against hewitt on grass

Lol mushed it hard! Hewitt steamrolling!

[Educ8d Degener8]

Lol mushed it hard! Hewitt steamrolling!

i gotcha beat... Peacock out after 0.1 IP...

and now a delay in the CIN game... better not keep Cueto from coming back!

[Ron_Paul_2012]

I have Germany winning the whole enchilada this year. Germany will be victorious over Argentina & Messi will cry.

GOAL!!!!!!!!!!!
original prediction post was 06-16-2014

[cheeese]

contest lines for tomorrow are up.

cards +1.5 looks like the best value

Attn: Sac and Bigday,

Did you guys play this? I'm not mad I just need to know.

[NunyaBidness]

Well at least it was dead in the first inning, didn't have to sweat it.

[Educ8d Degener8]

Was hoping for a decent line on Reds @ home... oh well.

Just took Los Halos -1.5 for contest.

For fun, also, gulp, like the Twinks -1 again tomorrow. Should be decent +money much like today (books were giving Correia no respect). Hughes is volatile but I'll roll with him given his last outing, and given Anderson is returning from injury for the Rocks, so don't expect him to eat many innings. Twinks with BP advantage. Hughes could totally suck ass and serve softballs, but I'll take the +money.

So aside from that epic Peacock mushjob, MLB treated me kind today... hit the Halos contest and all my straight plays except for 'Stros... but that 'Stros pick mushed this ~100:1 degen parlee Kinda bummed the All Star Break is hitting with this momentum, LOL.

Loss	6 Team Parlay
					Win	7/13/14 1:10pm MLB Baseball 902 New York Mets -153* vs Miami Marlins (B Hand - L must Start J DeGrom - R must Start)
					Win	7/13/14 1:10pm MLB Baseball 904 Cincinnati Reds -1 +127* vs Pittsburgh Pirates (F Liriano - L must Start J Cueto - R must Start)
					Win	7/13/14 1:40pm MLB Baseball 918 Tampa Bay Rays -1 -122* vs Toronto Blue Jays (R Dickey - R must Start D Price - L must Start)
					Win	7/13/14 3:05pm MLB Baseball 923 Los Angeles Angels -1½ -105* vs Texas Rangers (T Skaggs - L must Start S Baker - R must Start)
					Win	7/13/14 4:10pm MLB Baseball 929 Minnesota Twins -1½ +170* vs Colorado Rockies (P Hughes - R must Start B Anderson - L must Start)
					Loss	7/13/14 2:10pm MLB Baseball 920 Houston Astros 1st 5 Innings -½ +168* vs Boston Red Sox (C Buchholz - R must Start B Peacock - R must Start)

[NunyaBidness]

Can't be bummed about the all-star break. Home run derby is free money city.

[NunyaBidness]

National League +1.5 get it before they fix it.

[PunisherIND]

National League +1.5 get it before they fix it.

for contest? guess they fixed it already. game isnt until tuesday though.

[NunyaBidness]

for contest? guess they fixed it already. game isnt until tuesday though.

Yep, dirty bastards.

07/14/2014 10:27 AMBaseball MLB
945 National League +1½ vs 946 American League
Cancel

Best part is, it won't let me make a new pick.

[NunyaBidness]

If you're looking to convert some betpoints into cash, or just need a game system:

http://www.fatwallet.com/forums/hot-deals/1376534/

[Educ8d Degener8]

Only contest picks are NBA summer league. Yikes. Pass for me....

[alpinepetey]

Can't be bummed about the all-star break. Home run derby is free money city.

Checked the odds yet?

[NunyaBidness]

Checked the odds yet?

Yeah, not as much available as in years past due to the new format this year. Might post some plays prior to start.

[NunyaBidness]

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...irty-pool.html

[NunyaBidness]

HR Derby props:

American League +120 SB

[Bumdeal]

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...irty-pool.html

this is hilarious.

i had a live bet ML yankees play that I had hoped would be settled No Action, it actually was cancelled at first but then changed to a LOSS later.

the part that gets me is that the live bet was open RIGHT up until the game was cancelled at Bal -700. I really considered playing it but figured it'd be settled no action.. my yankee live bet being settled a loss tells me the -700 would have been a WIN. Something to consider in the future.

[NunyaBidness]

Taking all the 1st round unders.

Stanton under 6.5 +110
Puig under 6 -120

Will probably hit more if they release them.

[Bumdeal]

What's your rationale for the unders if you don't mind me asking?

[Bumdeal]

... and those lines are drastically different from 5D. Puig u6 -170. Stanton u6.5 -130

[NunyaBidness]

... and those lines are drastically different from 5D. Puig u6 -170. Stanton u6.5 -130

They moved, the numbers I posted were at dimes.

[NunyaBidness]

What's your rationale for the unders if you don't mind me asking?

http://www.businessinsider.com/home-...ess%20Insider)

http://ftw.usatoday.com/2014/07/home...mlb-new-format

see 2)

[NunyaBidness]

Numbers are still available at bovada, fwiw.

[Bumdeal]

7 outs. I see. Had no idea haha.

[Bumdeal]

Those unders are getting pounded.

[NunyaBidness]

7 outs. I see. Had no idea haha.

In years where 10 outs were available, the average was barely above 6.

[NunyaBidness]

7 outs. I see. Had no idea haha.

Also be careful when looking at the advances past round 1 props. In the past it was half the field advanced, now it's 60%.

[omalley21]

Nunya on those wsop props, if players get knocked out in the same round on a different day is that no action? Please recap those when the dust settles so i know, thanks.

[omalley21]

Also these guys won't be holding back in round 1 because they want the bye in the next round..

Still tailing on bovada, just throwing it out there. Supposed to rain too... In nunya we trust.

[NunyaBidness]

Nunya on those wsop props, if players get knocked out in the same round on a different day is that no action? Please recap those when the dust settles so i know, thanks.

It should be based on time. I haven't followed it to know whats going on.

Unfortunately, most of them probably get no actioned as there isn't enough coverage to know for sure what happened.

Ivey beat Hellmuth, only one I know for sure.

[NunyaBidness]

Also these guys won't be holding back in round 1 because they want the bye in the next round..

Still tailing on bovada, just throwing it out there.

Definitely worth thinking about. New format, anything could happen. Variance in this is pretty ridiculous, and real numbers are pretty tough to come by, a once a year event where only 3 of the competitors have ever competed before, in a brand new format.

I crunched some numbers and tried to come up with a model of season performance as it related to derby performance and there wasn't much correlation. Only thing I could come up with is fading players who were possibly overvalued in the public eye, someone like Frazier who has hit as many HRs this year as he did in the entire 2013 and 2012 season.

[NunyaBidness]

Stanton under back to evens if anyone wants it. Unders for the rest of the field available now.

[omalley21]

I'm not sure but i think they had like 3 different round 1's on different days if that makes sense. Like they had too many people to start at once I guess..

[NunyaBidness]

I'm not sure but i think they had like 3 different round 1's on different days if that makes sense. Like they had too many people to start at once I guess..

Yeah, sorry, I see what you mean. I thought you meant in the later days. In previous years they've no actioned them if one of the players didn't cash, they just go by the official wsop prize list which you can see here:

http://pokerdb.thehendonmob.com/event.php?a=r&n=169400

[Bumdeal]

Sports science on espn making more of a case for those unders