1. #1261
    NunyaBidness
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    Quote Originally Posted by cheeese View Post
    You're not worried about Rousso's aggressive calls?
    More worried about her aggressive use of shitty samples
    https://soundcloud.com/ladymaverick

  2. #1262
    Bumdeal
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Anyone gonna bet the 3 fights up on the board at 5 dimes for Legacy FC 32 tonight?

    I'm liking the chances of all the underdogs in the 3 main fights on the board....
    took all 3 favorites

  3. #1263
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bumdeal View Post
    took all 3 favorites
    Good luck Bumdeal.. Polar opposites tonight I see we are...


    I'm hoping to hit 2 of the 3 dogs. We see... Small plays....

  4. #1264
    NunyaBidness
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    V,

    Have you ever seen a calculator or conversion tool for Asian Handicap soccer totals?

    I'm looking at o3.25 at +124 vs o3.5 at +157 in the Argentina/Iran game. Over 3.25 seems like the stronger play, but would like some confirmation.

  5. #1265
    Skel
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    What do you think about the "either team scores 3 or more goals" prop? That usually sits between +1000 and +2000 but it's been hitting a lot this cup. I'm thinking of playing it for every game that doesn't look to be a low-scoring affair (like a Greece vs. Japan). The prop has hit 10 times since the start of the cup, for an average of 40%. Am I missing something here?

    edit: I see the odds are lower for the two lopsided matches tomorrow.
    Last edited by Skel; 06-21-14 at 12:36 AM.

  6. #1266
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    V,

    Have you ever seen a calculator or conversion tool for Asian Handicap soccer totals?

    I'm looking at o3.25 at +124 vs o3.5 at +157 in the Argentina/Iran game. Over 3.25 seems like the stronger play, but would like some confirmation.
    Hmm dont think I have actually. Ill have a look on some of the sites ive used in past tho.

    id be very surprised if iran score in this game, they will just "park the bus" as we say over here and put every player behind the ball and bunker up. Id be more inclined to play the Argentina -2.5 handicap than over 3.25 goals or over 3.5

    the "either team to score 3 goals or more" would also be pointless as Iran arent scoring 3! Just take Argentina to score 3 or more at better odds

  7. #1267
    NunyaBidness
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    I went full retard anyway, 30 seconds of number crunching and obviously the over 3.5 is better.

  8. #1268
    NunyaBidness
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    Quote Originally Posted by Skel View Post
    What do you think about the "either team scores 3 or more goals" prop? That usually sits between +1000 and +2000 but it's been hitting a lot this cup. I'm thinking of playing it for every game that doesn't look to be a low-scoring affair (like a Greece vs. Japan). The prop has hit 10 times since the start of the cup, for an average of 40%. Am I missing something here?

    edit: I see the odds are lower for the two lopsided matches tomorrow.
    Probably value there as well. I'd like to say I took over 6.5 in the France game today, could've got a big number there I'm sure.

    Had a book that was giving me over 7 in the NHL playoffs at +1400 for every game. That scooped a bunch before they cut it off.

  9. #1269
    NunyaBidness
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Hmm dont think I have actually. Ill have a look on some of the sites ive used in past tho.

    id be very surprised if iran score in this game, they will just "park the bus" as we say over here and put every player behind the ball and bunker up. Id be more inclined to play the Argentina -2.5 handicap than over 3.25 goals or over 3.5

    the "either team to score 3 goals or more" would also be pointless as Iran arent scoring 3! Just take Argentina to score 3 or more at better odds
    You like Argentina to have a clean sheet at -225?

  10. #1270
    Das Jax
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    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    You like Argentina to have a clean sheet at -225?
    Not that it amounts to much of a difference, but you can get either team scores 0 for -220 at Sportbet.

  11. #1271
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    You like Argentina to have a clean sheet at -225?
    Yes seems reasonable, but if available id look to play argentina to win and keep a clean sheet at better odds... -162 to -187 range. Also, Argentina cleansheet is -200 on ladbrokes and betfred

  12. #1272
    Vaughany
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    Ive played argies -2 asian at -110

  13. #1273
    Beelzebubzy
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    Jibby

    give Nunya two points for your education.

  14. #1274
    getlucky2win
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    i've been getting some off 1h lines but losing. today i got iran +1 +102. thnkin bout arbin out. im prob takin tor +1 for 5d contest

  15. #1275
    Vaughany
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    Got a feelin argies are only gonna eek out a 1-0 here!

  16. #1276
    Vaughany
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    Ahh well, 8 game streak coming to an end! Argies should be 2-0 but cant finish for shiiit

  17. #1277
    Ron_Paul_2012
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Ahh well, 8 game streak coming to an end! Argies should be 2-0 but cant finish for shiiit
    Half time 0-0. Is the fix in?

  18. #1278
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ron_Paul_2012 View Post
    Half time 0-0. Is the fix in?
    No argentina jus too casual with their finishing. Had 3 attempts tht were inches over or wide of bar. They are also being too conservative yet again, leaving 3 and sometimes even 4 players behind the ball when there is absolutely no need considering how opposition are playing - ultra defensive! Mind boggles

  19. #1279
    Bumdeal
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    Iran doing exactly what V suggested.

    Arg has to break through in second half. Right?

  20. #1280
    Vaughany
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    Yee they will probably score in final 15 and scrape the 1-0. Hindsight and all but should of held of playing the -2 and waited to see how they looked. Would never of bet on argies live if id not had a play and watched the opening 20 mins

  21. #1281
    Ron_Paul_2012
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    I have an Argentine/Germany parlay. This match could end in a draw. I can't watch anymore. Argentine playing like they have $ on Iran!

  22. #1282
    Bumdeal
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    There should never be a situation in a sporting event where a draw is the goal for one competitor.

  23. #1283
    Das Jax
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    You guys have any thoughts on the other two games today? I'm on the cusp of my first 5 game streak, but nothing really appeals to me for today.

  24. #1284
    Bumdeal
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    wow. thats awesome. wooohoooooooo

    messi first goal cashes too. lol.

  25. #1285
    Sykes
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    I done Bosina -1/2 in today's picks.

  26. #1286
    Keyboard Warrior
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    omg messi just saved me, i cant believe it, this man

  27. #1287
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Yee they will probably score in final 15 and scrape the 1-0. Hindsight and all but should of held of playing the -2 and waited to see how they looked. Would never of bet on argies live if id not had a play and watched the opening 20 mins
    Called it perfectly yet stilll lost money Was so close to pullin trigger on argies to win when it got to evens

  28. #1288
    Keyboard Warrior
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Called it perfectly yet stilll lost money Was so close to pullin trigger on argies to win when it got to evens
    I hit that bad boy! V play your picks man! I have been!

  29. #1289
    Bumdeal
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Called it perfectly yet stilll lost money Was so close to pullin trigger on argies to win when it got to evens
    Impossible to predict. I'm no soccer expert but that seemed like a hail mary kick as well.. no set up offense, just Messi making it happen.

  30. #1290
    cheeese
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    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    More worried about her aggressive use of shitty samples
    https://soundcloud.com/ladymaverick
    I didn't think it was possible for her to be more annoying

  31. #1291
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by Keyboard Warrior View Post
    I hit that bad boy! V play your picks man! I have been!
    My decision making is beyond terrible!

  32. #1292
    Das Jax
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    Screw soccer... I took the Brewers -1.

  33. #1293
    Skel
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    Good call Vaughany.

  34. #1294
    Skel
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    Quote Originally Posted by Skel View Post
    What do you think about the "either team scores 3 or more goals" prop? That usually sits between +1000 and +2000 but it's been hitting a lot this cup. I'm thinking of playing it for every game that doesn't look to be a low-scoring affair (like a Greece vs. Japan). The prop has hit 10 times since the start of the cup, for an average of 40%. Am I missing something here?

    edit: I see the odds are lower for the two lopsided matches tomorrow.
    I think I was on to something here. All of a sudden 5D changed the prop to "either team scores 4 or more goals" for all games and simultaneously lowered the odds. Last night either team over 3 in the Germany/Ghana game was +700, now either team over 4 is +335.

  35. #1295
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beelzebubzy View Post
    Jibby

    give Nunya two points for your education.
    I would give him all my bet points for a continued full education.. That was cool.. I really appreciate when some of you pro gamblers share the inside secrets.. Reading this entire thread is what I plan to do.. I'll catch on...

    I do need to learn how to transfer out bet points on this forum. I'd be handing them out all the time if they mean something to you guys.. I'll get around to it..

    I actually just tried to give Nunya 40 points for his posts last night, set up the transfer, then I got a message saying transfer prohibited???
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-21-14 at 04:23 PM.

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