1. #14176
    Madison
    Madison's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-16-11
    Posts: 5,684
    Betpoints: 14031

    Source: Wirestock Creators / Shutterstock.com

    In my view, Lithium Americas (NYSE:LAC) stock trading under $5 is a gift. Once sentiments reverse for lithium, LAC stock is likely to go ballistic from deeply undervalued levels.

    To put things into perspective, Lithium Americas has a current market valuation of $990 million. In comparison, the after-tax net present value of Thacker Pass asset is $5.7 billion. Purely based on asset valuation, the stock can be a six-bagger from current levels.

    However, if we look beyond this, the Thacker Pass has a mine life of 40 years. Once both the phases of the lithium asset are commercialized, the annual EBITDA from the asset is likely at $2 billion. Clearly, operating, and free cash flows will be robust. Further, estimates can change on the upside if lithium skyrockets due to supply-gap concerns in the coming years.

    I would therefore buy and hold LAC stock. With commercialization of the Thacker Pass asset due in 2027, multibagger returns are likely before that as the markets discount the cash flow potential.

  2. #14177
    ChuckyTheGoat
    ChuckyTheGoat's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-04-11
    Posts: 32,003
    Betpoints: 25697

    Thx, MAD. Yes, I'm holding LAC. Will look to add more.

    I have noticed that Junk Silver prices are rising.

  3. #14178
    Madison
    Madison's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-16-11
    Posts: 5,684
    Betpoints: 14031

    Fearless leader and others charting transports:

    Kind of looks like there's some cracks, no?

  4. #14179
    Madison
    Madison's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-16-11
    Posts: 5,684
    Betpoints: 14031

    Quote Originally Posted by Madison View Post
    Fearless leader and others charting transports:

    Kind of looks like there's some cracks, no?
    This from Stansberry ... I thought transports were down???

    Editor's note: Historically, the transportation sector has been a good indicator of things to come in the market.
    If stocks seem great but transportation stocks are lagging, it's a warning sign for the overall market. But if transportation stocks are hitting new highs, that means the future of the stock market is bright...

    That's why Ten Stock Trader editor Greg Diamond says it's critical for investors to be aware of the current state of the transportation sector in an effort to determine how to navigate the broad market moving forward.

    In today's Masters Series, originally from the April 29 Weekly Market Outlook issue, Greg explains why transportation stocks are performing well right now... and details how this uptrend indicates a broad market rally is underway...

  5. #14180
    guitarjosh
    guitarjosh's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-25-07
    Posts: 5,507
    Betpoints: 8507

    Quote Originally Posted by Madison View Post
    Fearless leader and others charting transports:

    Kind of looks like there's some cracks, no?
    Yeah, I'm seeing that too. Trucks vs S&P 500 broke through a trend line going back several years. Rails vs S&P 500 is the lowest since at least Covid.

    Check out how discretionary is doing compared to staples too.

    It's like we're seeing 2 economies, the Wall Street listed economy is doing okay, while Main Street is doing horribly.

  6. #14181
    Madison
    Madison's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-16-11
    Posts: 5,684
    Betpoints: 14031

    Quote Originally Posted by guitarjosh View Post
    Yeah, I'm seeing that too. Trucks vs S&P 500 broke through a trend line going back several years. Rails vs S&P 500 is the lowest since at least Covid.

    Check out how discretionary is doing compared to staples too.

    It's like we're seeing 2 economies, the Wall Street listed economy is doing okay, while Main Street is doing horribly.
    I'm seeing a big divergence in demographics. Baby Boomers bereft of fixed income earnings for 10yrs or more have seen a 2 year resurrection of safe income at circa 5%. Take the conservative percent of institutional and my senior dad (depending on 5% CD's years ago) and the elder generation is seeing a HUGE (for them) increase in disposable income; the Boomers are keeping the economy liquid.

    Rick Reader made an interesting point on Bloomberg Week that the economy may actually contract if interest rates go down??

    All my best!

  7. #14182
    guitarjosh
    guitarjosh's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-25-07
    Posts: 5,507
    Betpoints: 8507

    Quote Originally Posted by Madison View Post
    Fearless leader and others charting transports:

    Kind of looks like there's some cracks, no?
    Check out railroads and trucks today...

  8. #14183
    ChuckyTheGoat
    ChuckyTheGoat's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-04-11
    Posts: 32,003
    Betpoints: 25697

    Quote Originally Posted by guitarjosh View Post
    Check out railroads and trucks today...
    Josh, any stock symbols you like?

  9. #14184
    guitarjosh
    guitarjosh's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-25-07
    Posts: 5,507
    Betpoints: 8507

    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Josh, any stock symbols you like?
    I'm watching these, but I don't own any, I'm waiting for a pullback.

    COOP
    NXPI
    AXP
    VCTR
    AROC
    CMG
    GSL
    TXRH
    FN
    WES
    CVLT
    ETN
    IBKR
    TT
    GRMN
    ANET
    SPXC
    IESC
    PSTG
    CAMT
    HWM
    MMYT
    EME
    HMY
    VRT
    Points Awarded:

    homie1975 gave guitarjosh 100 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: homie1975

  10. #14185
    Madison
    Madison's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-16-11
    Posts: 5,684
    Betpoints: 14031

    Per Stansberry:

    Many people start paying attention when the index hits extremelevels of fear. But as Chris noted in DailyWealth Trader today, a VIXreading this low is significant, too, because it points to outperformance fromU.S. stocks in the following months and year.
    He looked at each case since 1990 when the VIX dropped to 12,where it closed on Friday. On average, the S&P 500 gained roughly 5% in sixmonths and 9.5% a year later. That beats the U.S. benchmark's average 4%six-month return and 8.1% annual return.
    As Chris noted, "The outperformance might not be massive. Butwhat's impressive is the win rate after one of these events." As hewrote...
    The S&P 500 was up 86% of the time six months later... and 84%of the time over the next year. Those are darn good odds.
    Meanwhile, the maximum gain after one of these events was 37% overa year. And the largest drop was 12%.
    In short, yes, the market is going through an eerie period ofcalm. But that doesn't mean that panic has to follow.

  11. #14186
    Madison
    Madison's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-16-11
    Posts: 5,684
    Betpoints: 14031

    Quote Originally Posted by guitarjosh View Post
    I'm watching these, but I don't own any, I'm waiting for a pullback.

    COOP
    NXPI
    AXP
    VCTR
    AROC
    CMG
    GSL
    TXRH
    FN
    WES
    CVLT
    ETN
    IBKR
    TT
    GRMN
    ANET
    SPXC
    IESC
    PSTG
    CAMT
    HWM
    MMYT
    EME
    HMY
    VRT
    I'm doing really well with HWM. Had VRT on my watch last year and all I did was watch it go the moon. Uggghhhh.
    Last edited by Madison; 05-22-24 at 11:04 AM.

  12. #14187
    Madison
    Madison's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-16-11
    Posts: 5,684
    Betpoints: 14031

    Quote Originally Posted by guitarjosh View Post
    I'm watching these, but I don't own any, I'm waiting for a pullback.

    COOP
    NXPI
    AXP
    VCTR
    AROC
    CMG
    GSL
    TXRH
    FN
    WES
    CVLT
    ETN
    IBKR
    TT
    GRMN
    ANET
    SPXC
    IESC
    PSTG
    CAMT
    HWM
    MMYT
    EME
    HMY
    VRT
    Josher, what percent of your portfolio do have "Waiting for a Pullback"?

    Of my investable amount I have about 60-70 percent.

  13. #14188
    d2bets
    d2bets's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 39,780
    Betpoints: 22051

    NVDA reports after the bell.

    What we think?

  14. #14189
    guitarjosh
    guitarjosh's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-25-07
    Posts: 5,507
    Betpoints: 8507

    Quote Originally Posted by Madison View Post
    Josher, what percent of your portfolio do have "Waiting for a Pullback"?

    Of my investable amount I have about 60-70 percent.
    I usually put 2.5%-3% on a stock position, and have no problem using margin.

  15. #14190
    d2bets
    d2bets's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 39,780
    Betpoints: 22051

    NVDA never disappoints. Just wow.
    Points Awarded:

    JAKEPEAVY21 gave d2bets 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  16. #14191
    JAKEPEAVY21
    JAKEPEAVY21's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-11-11
    Posts: 28,268
    Betpoints: 47733

    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    NVDA never disappoints. Just wow.
    Unbelievable! Between NVDA and Ethereum it has been a heck of a week!

  17. #14192
    Madison
    Madison's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-16-11
    Posts: 5,684
    Betpoints: 14031

    Talk about "Buy In". This guy is bright and ALL IN on his company. I own circa $6 per share , and would recommend buying here if you're new to this stock.

    SoFi Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:SOFI - Get Free Report) CEO Anthony Noto acquired 28,900 shares of the firm's stock in a transaction dated Thursday, May 23rd. The shares were purchased at an average price of $6.92 per share, with a total value of $199,988.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief executive officer now owns 8,062,269 shares of the company's stock, valued at $55,790,901.48. The acquisition was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is available through the SEC website.

  18. #14193
    ChuckyTheGoat
    ChuckyTheGoat's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-04-11
    Posts: 32,003
    Betpoints: 25697

    Quote Originally Posted by guitarjosh View Post
    I'm watching these, but I don't own any, I'm waiting for a pullback.

    COOP
    NXPI
    AXP
    VCTR
    AROC
    CMG
    GSL
    TXRH
    FN
    WES
    CVLT
    ETN
    IBKR
    TT
    GRMN
    ANET
    SPXC
    IESC
    PSTG
    CAMT
    HWM
    MMYT
    EME
    HMY
    VRT
    Giddyup, Josh. Good Luck.

  19. #14194
    homie1975
    homie1975's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-24-13
    Posts: 14,928
    Betpoints: 11262

    Quote Originally Posted by guitarjosh View Post
    I'm watching these, but I don't own any, I'm waiting for a pullback.

    COOP
    NXPI
    AXP
    VCTR
    AROC
    CMG
    GSL
    TXRH
    FN
    WES
    CVLT
    ETN
    IBKR
    TT
    GRMN
    ANET
    SPXC
    IESC
    PSTG
    CAMT
    HWM
    MMYT
    EME
    HMY
    VRT
    Josh
    thank you so much for sharing.
    i own many of these names, having bought them in Jan and Feb.
    why?
    they had insane momentum.
    1Y charts soaring.

    the ones on your list that i don't own? i just went into my Robinhood acct, looked them up, saw the chart, and put $250 in each of these that I do not own yet.

    i love your list.

    i respectfully disagree with trying to wait for a pullback.

    i condone getting in right now with at least a small nibble (such as my $250 each).

    dip your toe in and if any pull back, you can start to build the position.

    cheers and great to see you posting!


  20. #14195
    d2bets
    d2bets's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 39,780
    Betpoints: 22051

    Nvidia up over 7% again, adding nearly another 200 bil market cap. Ho hum. Quickly closing in on Apple, then Microsoft. Has now nearly tripled from $1T to $2.8T market cap since the end of October. Almost outrageous.

  21. #14196
    Madison
    Madison's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-16-11
    Posts: 5,684
    Betpoints: 14031

    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Nvidia up over 7% again, adding nearly another 200 bil market cap. Ho hum. Quickly closing in on Apple, then Microsoft. Has now nearly tripled from $1T to $2.8T market cap since the end of October. Almost outrageous.
    All, Nvdia aside please take caution, The underlaying Russell and elsewhere are portraying storm clouds on the horizon.

  22. #14197
    trobin31
    trobin31's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-09-14
    Posts: 9,681
    Betpoints: 10620

    Quote Originally Posted by Madison View Post
    All, Nvdia aside please take caution, The underlaying Russell and elsewhere are portraying storm clouds on the horizon.
    Things look very tenuous indeed. Transports well below weekly 50MA

  23. #14198
    guitarjosh
    guitarjosh's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-25-07
    Posts: 5,507
    Betpoints: 8507

    Quote Originally Posted by trobin31 View Post
    Things look very tenuous indeed. Transports well below weekly 50MA
    Transports tanked today primarily due to American Airlines changing their profit forecasts, but rails and trucks were again down over 1%.

    I think the market is getting a bit technically oversold, so I wouldn't be surprised if we get a 3%-5% bounce by late June, but transports are telling a very scary story.

  24. #14199
    ChuckyTheGoat
    ChuckyTheGoat's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-04-11
    Posts: 32,003
    Betpoints: 25697

    Quote Originally Posted by guitarjosh View Post
    Transports tanked today primarily due to American Airlines changing their profit forecasts, but rails and trucks were again down over 1%.

    I think the market is getting a bit technically oversold, so I wouldn't be surprised if we get a 3%-5% bounce by late June, but transports are telling a very scary story.
    Seems like Funny Money nowadays, josh. Inflation way too much.

    Props on your posts. Appreciate the education.

  25. #14200
    Art Vandelay
    Corona on St. Pats... WTF!
    Art Vandelay's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-11-06
    Posts: 6,540
    Betpoints: 57489

    Guys, quick question on Nvidia - 10/1 stock split coming on June 7th - Buy now or wait?

  26. #14201
    homie1975
    homie1975's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-24-13
    Posts: 14,928
    Betpoints: 11262

    Quote Originally Posted by guitarjosh View Post
    I'm watching these, but I don't own any, I'm waiting for a pullback.

    COOP
    NXPI
    AXP
    VCTR
    AROC
    CMG
    GSL
    TXRH
    FN
    WES
    CVLT
    ETN
    IBKR
    TT
    GRMN
    ANET
    SPXC
    IESC
    PSTG
    CAMT
    HWM
    MMYT
    EME
    HMY
    VRT
    JOSHer
    your list is doing tremendous in aggregate. only a few laggards who are barely down.
    most way up.

    any changes to the list? additions or deletions ?

  27. #14202
    guitarjosh
    guitarjosh's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-25-07
    Posts: 5,507
    Betpoints: 8507

    Quote Originally Posted by homie1975 View Post
    JOSHer
    your list is doing tremendous in aggregate. only a few laggards who are barely down.
    most way up.

    any changes to the list? additions or deletions ?
    AER, BCO, & LLY are good companies but I'd be careful, they're a bit overbought. I don't own them and haven't put anyone in them.

  28. #14203
    homie1975
    homie1975's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-24-13
    Posts: 14,928
    Betpoints: 11262

    Quote Originally Posted by guitarjosh View Post
    AER, BCO, & LLY are good companies but I'd be careful, they're a bit overbought. I don't own them and haven't put anyone in them.
    I do not own AER nor BCO but I do own LLY and it has been very good to me.

    It makes up for the hurt and then some on the PLUG, ZOOM and RIVN losses I took

    I have added AER and BCO to my watchlist.

    Thank you Sir and Good Health.


  29. #14204
    Madison
    Madison's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-16-11
    Posts: 5,684
    Betpoints: 14031

    Total household debt rose by $184 billion to reach a staggering
    $17.69 trillion by the end of Q1 2024. Critically, the New York Fed reportedthat almost 9% of credit card balances and 8% of auto loans (annualized) hadtransitioned into delinquency, with rising numbers across all age group.

First ... 403404405406
Top