Yeah, money line is a bit safer, for sure, and seems like a more quality number... Although, I like punting that many points in this spot on an alternate line. Chicago's at home, that's a ton of value on the ML.
I think Packers win big, but that aside, +260 on Bears -3.5 is actually a good price. If you assume that Packers -3.5 is 50/50. then I get fair price for Bears -3.5 as +233.
DA BEARS DA BEARS DA BEARS! line is off by 3.5/no way GB is 3.5 favs at Chicago. plus Bears home field adv of 3 points means on a neutral field Gb favored by 6.5? uh uh
In the 6 games Packers have lost this year, 4 games have been by 3 points and 2 games have been by 4 points. Those 2 by 4 points were vs Pats without Rodgers and vs Lions when Rodgers got hurt. I'm sorry but this would be a TERRIBLE bet IMO.