I don't want to sound cocky and I'm definitely far from seeing the future, I'm not a soothsayer or a "prophet" but check out this thread about Baltimore Ravens:
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...believers.html
Betting $10k on Baltimore - why?
Because they played so well all year long? This is US Sports, this is rigged as the WWE, if you don't believe it's rigged check out this video:
He explains perfectly well how the over was "rigged" and inflated in the beginning, and he shows perfect examples of what happened.
I am not surprised by 1 bit about it, not surprised at all, and I did make money from betting on this day.
You say "don't lie to yourself, you would continue doing this" - so no, I won't.
In fact I'm placing bets like these or in general maybe once a week, twice a week at most, I only bet when I see value, I used to bet like an addict, bet after bet after bet, I don't do this anymore, I trained myself to stop doing it, why? Because I know that doing it would be a sure way of losing money.
Am I sure this bet would win today? No, but I have good confidence in this bet, does it mean it's 1000% a sure winning bet? No, no bet is a lock, betting is a recipe for losing money in general, but I do like the chances here.
Does it mean this bet is better than betting on Baltimore? I don't know, I'm not here to criticize you for betting the way you did or not, I feel sorry for anyone losing money to these bookies, I don't like these bookies and I'd love people to take as much money as possible from them, but I know it's not a reality, it's not, they have the upper hand and I'm aware of it.
Still, if I see opportunities like these I do like them. Does it mean it's worth it? I don't know, you make your own decision... for me taking $50 from the bookies is better than leaving them with $0.