1. 01-26-21 10:47 AM #1
    carolinakid
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    England Premier League 1.26.21

    1st up for me today will be in the soccer..In the New Castle match i will use BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE-170 FOR 2** glta (ck)
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  2. 01-26-21 10:48 AM #2
    big joe 1212
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    I hope you’re right because I wagered on the over

    Good luck
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  3. 01-26-21 10:50 AM #3
    JayLA
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    do you usually lay that juice ck?
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  4. 01-26-21 10:50 AM #4
    carolinakid
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    yes i like the over in this one too, but decided on both teams to score .........gl with your over today (ck)
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  5. 01-26-21 10:51 AM #5
    carolinakid
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    every once in a while when it goes with my stats Jay, you know what they say, it take money to make money...
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  6. 01-26-21 10:52 AM #6
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by carolinakid View Post
    every once in a while when it goes with my stats Jay, you know what they say, it take money to make money...
    i heard that
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  7. 01-26-21 10:54 AM #7
    carolinakid
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    but if you gamble on the fights and soccer, it will be times when you have to lay some juice imo.....
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  8. 01-26-21 10:56 AM #8
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by carolinakid View Post
    but if you gamble on the fights and soccer, it will be times when you have to lay some juice imo.....
    yea oif course bud, i am laying more juice these days.
    Did my own little "research" I'm tailin ya brother. Let's get it
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  9. 01-26-21 11:03 AM #9
    carolinakid
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    bol Jay let try to get this one in the 1st half............
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  10. 01-26-21 11:07 AM #10
    JayLA
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    ck can you believe my bitch book doesn't have BTTS only?

    i'm going to see if it's in another section but do you think leeds wins AND BTTS?
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  11. 01-26-21 11:14 AM #11
    carolinakid
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    i have a small lean to leeds, if you are using Heritage it is in soccer plus
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  12. 01-26-21 11:16 AM #12
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by carolinakid View Post
    i have a small lean to leeds, if you are using Heritage it is in soccer plus
    im overseas, cant use US books unless its credit or colombian books
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  13. 01-26-21 11:29 AM #13
    cincinnatikid513
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    both are def overdue for some goals newcastle 0 goals last 4 games played leeds 0 games last 3 games
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  14. 01-26-21 11:47 AM #14
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by cincinnatikid513 View Post
    both are def overdue for some goals newcastle 0 goals last 4 games played leeds 0 games last 3 games
    What goes down must come up...lol gamblers fallacy I know

    Defenses suck, offense motivated to score
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  15. 01-26-21 12:10 PM #15
    big joe 1212
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    Too bad you didn’t bet this on the Crystal Palace game. 1-1 after 9 minutes
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  16. 01-26-21 12:13 PM #16
    JayLA
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    those BTTS odds changed REAL quick
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  17. 01-26-21 12:13 PM #17
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by big joe 1212 View Post
    Too bad you didn’t bet this on the Crystal Palace game. 1-1 after 9 minutes
    that's the one we should have hit
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  18. 01-26-21 12:17 PM #18
    carolinakid
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    1-0 Leeds in the 17th min
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  19. 01-26-21 12:39 PM #19
    JayLA
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    live odds staying strong on this game opening up
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  20. 01-26-21 12:51 PM #20
    carolinakid
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    Leeds 1-0 at the half.............
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  21. 01-26-21 01:03 PM #21
    Seth
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    Haven’t done much soccer betting. What is generally a good ratio of shot attempts to goals scored if betting an over? I’m guessing 10:1 is not too great but is there a standard?

    Might be a dumb question as I’m sure most just wait for the ball to go past the keeper and the number on the scoreboard to increase. I do the same.
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  22. 01-26-21 01:17 PM #22
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by Seth View Post
    Haven’t done much soccer betting. What is generally a good ratio of shot attempts to goals scored if betting an over? I’m guessing 10:1 is not too great but is there a standard?

    Might be a dumb question as I’m sure most just wait for the ball to go past the keeper and the number on the scoreboard to increase. I do the same.
    I could go into much more detail but

    10 shot for newcastle , 1 on target and 9 off
    7 for leeds, 1 on 6 off

    7 corners....

    And just the pace back and forth i guess. at this point of games forcasted to go under, the live lines wouldn't be like they are now.

    that doesnt mea it'll go over but i think books do think there could be at least 1 or even 2 more goals
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  23. 01-26-21 01:18 PM #23
    JayLA
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    There's the Newcastle goal!
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  24. 01-26-21 01:18 PM #24
    Seth
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    Appreciate that explanation, thanks.
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  25. 01-26-21 01:19 PM #25
    carolinakid
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    ok 1-1 in the 58 min (ck)
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  26. 01-26-21 01:20 PM #26
    Seth
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    Congrats to poster for hitting his bet! Now let’s get more scoring! I’ve got over since my book didn’t offer BTTS
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  27. 01-26-21 01:23 PM #27
    JayLA
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    2-1 leeds up OOOOOHHHH Shiiiieeeeeeeeeeeeet
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  28. 01-26-21 01:23 PM #28
    carolinakid
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    2-1 Leeds
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  29. 01-26-21 01:27 PM #29
    Seth
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    Wow Jay you were spot on. Well done interpreting the live lines!
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  30. 01-26-21 01:31 PM #30
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by Seth View Post
    Wow Jay you were spot on. Well done interpreting the live lines!
    thanks, i have my moments

    to be honest i've dedicated a lot of my sports betting studying time to studying lines and what books offer us.. since im not a math guy and dont have the time to model stats, i try to see what they're doing
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  31. 01-26-21 01:38 PM #31
    JayLA
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    im thnking there's still another one here and the magpies might tie, which would cut into my winnings for BTTS+o2.5
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  32. 01-26-21 01:47 PM #32
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by Seth View Post
    Wow Jay you were spot on. Well done interpreting the live lines!
    seth if you're still reading this

    b365 is hanging up a 65.00 3 way win and a 6.00 3 way draw....thats an abnormal difference with less than 10 minutes into the match final
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  33. 01-26-21 02:05 PM #33
    Seth
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    Oh yea for sure the difference is huge, but can you explain what it would be "normally" given that scenario? Or what that leads you to believe? Is getting +500 with ten minutes to go there for Newcastle to tie it up a good price in your opinion?

    I'm not on b365 as I don't think US players can wager there, but I've heard thats the best one.
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  34. 01-26-21 02:19 PM #34
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by Seth View Post
    Oh yea for sure the difference is huge, but can you explain what it would be "normally" given that scenario? Or what that leads you to believe? Is getting +500 with ten minutes to go there for Newcastle to tie it up a good price in your opinion?

    I'm not on b365 as I don't think US players can wager there, but I've heard thats the best one.
    i believe that if it hadnt been for the pace of the game , with 10 minutes left, the 3 way draw should have been much higher than 6.00

    who knows though bro, if i were you i'd focus on pre match stats, trends, model, math and not depend on LIVE wagering where the books have full advantage
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