LOL. no way in hell romney takes jersey or pa. he has a chance in n.h. that is the only new england state he does. obama has like a 10 pt lead in n.j. the lead has shrunk some in pa, but its still big.
ohio it does depend on what poll you look at, nbc had it at 6 a couple weeks ago. a quinibac poll has it at 5 today. but in the polls of polls if you measure em out the last few days obama still has around what 3-4? and even if you factor the undecided voters, romney will have to win around 65-70 percent of those undecided voters to carry the state.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/cheats/...d-narrows.html
pollster.com gives you the best info because it lists out all the polls. real clear polictics i don't understand at how they fact what states lean whatever way because they have michigan as a toss up. which is bs.
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/...y-vs-obama?gem
i mean serioulsy, new jersey? obama is up 14 pts in one poll, 15 pts in the other.
pa, its closer, but that state has leaned left for a while in national elects. i don't see that changing.
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/...y-vs-obama?gem
in the poll of polls in pa, obama is up 5.
i do think romney will win flordia, and north carolina, and i think he could win in coloradoa and virgina. but col and va, are so close. they could still go either way. whoever wins will be by less then 1.9 percent.
which is why ohio is so important because it puts obama over. and its the one 'swing state' that obama has a very clear edge in.
to put it simply.
if obama wins one swing state he wins the election.
romney has to win basically all of them to win.