Originally <a href='https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/showthread.php?p=30861322'>posted</a> on 04/28/2022:

Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
But when I watched your video the other day you said that you got to know who is behind the line movement. The sharps or the squares.

Was this a sharp line movement or a square movement in the Reds game?
They don't always have to be at odds with each other, never forget that.

In the case of todays SD/CIN moneyline, things were actually pretty split and so were typed of bettors. Enough "sharper" and even some public bettors moved the line toward Cinci, it counteracted broader public pressure on SD.

But it's a tight game, it really is. There are a lot of cappers very split here. So when San Diego becomes even money or better in the market, it will taken by many groups, from a book's sharps, to scalpers and arbers to even some looking to lay off.

Books were protecting against that. The liked the cinci money. I posted that I was looking to take SD LIVE if Cinci took the lead first. But they went down 0-1 before leading 2-1 and there was simply nothing there for me. Even though you could just feel the SD win coming.

To offset the ml exposure on the "gamble" they took when the Cinci cat got out of the bag, (see SBR posts and threads, lol), the were more than happy to absorb the SD spread. The odds there were no doubt attractive to some and they left the attractive lines hanging.

Congrats to those on SD -1.5, hope you didn't get sucked into the +1.5, bad price there.