[Capybara]

So for Week 10, looks like we're at 6-3, +2.18 units at this moment. Ehh, should be better. Really thought I had that over.

I don't love anything tonight but threw half-units around like crazy...

GB -8.5, -107
Over 53, -107
B. Marshall scores a TD, +125
A. Rodgers TD passes o2.5, -105
A. Rodgers no INTs, -115
A. Rodgers has completion o46.5 yds, -105

Good fun! Except for the ending up risking three full units part. :-/

6 for 6 tonight, Boys!

[Capybara]

I should probably quit while I'm ahead after a perfect night, but as always, that is no fun...

So it seems like a lot of sharp folks are on Philly this evening... I myself am not so sure. I see Cam Newton probably bouncing back after one of his worst efforts ever (and in prime time too). And Panthers have had a little extra time to prepare for this one as well. Also, he should be getting back at least a couple of his linemen. Additionally, everyone seems just a liiiittle too ready to proclaim Sanchez the savior for Philly. Sure, maybe it's a decent fit, but this is the same guy who was a fade special the last time we saw him starting games. Gotta think maybe the Panthers' D has a little up their sleeve for him.

I'm willing to say that Carolina makes this a competitive game for at least a while if not the whole time, so gonna roll with the 1H:

Panthers 1H +4.5, -110 (1x)

[Capybara]

Well, I've seen enough!

[Live bet] Philly 1H -19.5, -115 (1.5x)

[Capybara]

Phew, man do I love live betting. Up a half unit in this awful game. I see no reason not to play the following, but guess we'll see.

Philly 2H -4, -103 (1x)

[Capybara]

Okay, wanted to tally this up before I start looking at Week 11...

Week 1: 4-2, +2 units
Week 2: 5-6, -1 unit
Week 3: 9-2, +9 units
Week 4: 5-4, +1.35 units
Week 5: 8-5, +2.65 units
Week 6: 1-5, -6.18 units
Week 7: 5-1, +4.92 units
Week 8: 3-5, -1.37 units
Week 9: No action
Week 10: 13-5, +4.55 units

Total: 53-35, +15.92 units

Be back soon...

[Capybara]

Happy Week 11, Gentlemen... So I'm not seeing how anyone can feel that great about either side tonight. I guess I mildly lean Buffalo because I really like that defense, but I don't trust Orton at all. And they're also counting on some inexperienced RBs. But with Miami's injuries and overall mediocrity along the offense, I'm sure not backing them. If anything, I suppose I'd like the under, but what kind of value is there trying to get under 41 these days?! Plus there are playmakers on both of these defenses and special teams that could crush it. Then again, there is always the tasty IH under... I could definitely see some early plodding in this one and maybe a 10-3, 10-7 sort of HT score... Agreement or disagreement? Please discuss...

Also up for discussion, the following leans for Sunday:

Cleveland -3... How is this not a play? In case anyone's missed it, Ryan Mallett's advancement in New England after three seasons under the tutelage of Brady and Belichick equaled ~ 0%. The guy is all tools with no touch and a questionable head for the game. Will almost definitely be on this but still reviewing...

Detroit +1... Are we ready to call them legit enough to win this game on the road? I sort of think so. Isn't Drew Stanton completing like 49%? He's gonna bust *that* defense? As long as Stafford doesn't implode, I am thinking Lions...

Bucs/Redksins over 45.5... McCown looked a little better and has some quality weapons now... A healthy-ish RGIII and a decent run game should also put up some points against a disappointing Bucs D... attractive, no?

[Capybara]

[Live bet] Bills 1H ML, +200 (0.5x)

Took a shot, why not.

[Capybara]

Man, had the 1H and game under capped perfectly and talked myself out of them. At least still got my unit the unconventional way, lol.

Trying for another one live again, I've seen enough of how physical that buffalo D is.

[Live bet] Buffalo -2.5, -110 (1x)

[Capybara]

Lol, what a pathetic offense...went against my own counsel above, Orton is so not the answer for the Bills! I feel bad for Bills fans as always.

So canceled out my live bet win with a live bet loss. Just mad I didn't play either under after talking about it!

Okay guys, please share your thoughts on my leans in post #76. Goodnight.

[Capybara]

Okay, just locked this one in:

Detroit +1, -105 (2.5x)

Tough spot on the road but think this D should hold the Cards down.

More to come...

[Capybara]

More plays:

Seattle +1, -105 (1.5x)

Cleveland -3.5, -105 (1x)

Bucs/Skins over 45.5, -110 (1x)

Eagles/Pack over 54, -108 (1x)

[Capybara]

And...

Pack -4.5, -105 (2x)

Chargers -10, -105 (1x)

[Capybara]

Denver 2H -8.5, -110 (1.5x)

[Capybara]

Half units on the following:

Pats +3, -105
Pats ML, +148
Pats 1H +3, -115
Pats 1Q +120
Pats TT o27, -132
T.Y. Hilton under 86.5 yds, -115

[Capybara]

How crazy is it that on the last two Sunday nights I went 12-0, +6.00 units!!

12-0!! On my fukkin half-unit plays!! Meanwhile all my large plays except the Packers buried me on Sunday. Perhaps some wager adjusting is in order. Anyway...

The tally:

Week 1: 4-2, +2 units
Week 2: 5-6, -1 unit
Week 3: 9-2, +9 units
Week 4: 5-4, +1.35 units
Week 5: 8-5, +2.65 units
Week 6: 1-5, -6.18 units
Week 7: 5-1, +4.92 units
Week 8: 3-5, -1.37 units
Week 9: No action
Week 10: 13-5, +4.55 units
Week 11: 8-6, -2.70 units

Total: 61-41, +13.22 units

Still decently positive even though it doesn't even feel like it to me, lol... Anyway, we're gonna make some money in Week 12, stay tuned...

[Capybara]

Pats -7, -115 (1x)
Pats 1H -4, -110 (1x)
Lions/Pats 1H u24, -110 (1x)

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Good Luck today
I'm so n other side with Det +7

But like the NE 1ST HALF

[Capybara]

Good Luck today
I'm so n other side with Det +7

But like the NE 1ST HALF

Thanks, bud, you too! Let's not get our asses kicked today.

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

I know huh

[Capybara]

Bucs 2H o7.5, -115 (1.5x)

[Capybara]

Live bet, Eagles -16.5 (1x)

[Capybara]

Why is it that when you don't get your plays in they're always winners? Every time. Was out and busy and decided on SEA 1H and SEA and SF 1H and SF, and then my phone dies. Once I couldn't get them in, I knew for certain they would all hit. I'd stake my life on it. But the ones you do get in, like that awesome 2H TB play, those always make it in. I never ever save money on plays that would have lost, only the opposite.

[Capybara]

Cowboys over 26.5, -110 (2x)

[rowdy08]

Cowboys over 26.5, -110 (2x)

Just booked it a second ago.

[Capybara]

Live bet, Giants -4.5, +100 (1x)

Live bet, Cowboys/Giants under 55.5, -110 (1x)

[Capybara]

Lol, hit my main play and then canceled it out w bad live action. Two steps forward, two steps back, been that kind of a week for me in all sports.

Up a drop so far for Week 12; will be looking very closely at the two remaining games to get us some green!

[Capybara]

Ravens/Saints over 50.5, -105 (2.5x)

Also tossed a half-unit at this:

NOR wins 1H, BAL wins game (reg), +1000

Cuz just got a feeling the Saints come out w the intensity but perhaps by the end the Ravens come out on top as the superior team here.

[Capybara]

Ravens/Saints over 50.5, -105 (2.5x)

Also tossed a half-unit at this:

NOR wins 1H, BAL wins game (reg), +1000

Cuz just got a feeling the Saints come out w the intensity but perhaps by the end the Ravens come out on top as the superior team here.

2-0 for a nice 7.5 units tonight!

[Capybara]

The tally:

Week 1: 4-2, +2 units
Week 2: 5-6, -1 unit
Week 3: 9-2, +9 units
Week 4: 5-4, +1.35 units
Week 5: 8-5, +2.65 units
Week 6: 1-5, -6.18 units
Week 7: 5-1, +4.92 units
Week 8: 3-5, -1.37 units
Week 9: No action
Week 10: 13-5, +4.55 units
Week 11: 8-6, -2.70 units
Week 12: 6-4, +7.60 units

Total: 67-45, +20.82 units

Passed the 20-unit threshold, now the real work begins!

Will probably have a couple of Thanksgiving plays, stay tuned...

[Capybara]

Cowboys -3, -115 (2x)

Lions -7, -115 (1x)

[2daBank]

on them both as well.. have a good turkey day brother..

[Capybara]

on them both as well.. have a good turkey day brother..

You too, Banker! Good stuff last night in the Great Alaskan, let's get 'em again tonight!

[Capybara]

Seahawks/Niners 1H under 20, -115 (1x)

[Capybara]

Sorry for lateness, only have my phone working this morning. Here's what I'm on:

Pitt -3, -120 (1.5x)

NYG 1H -0.5, -110 (1.5x)

Browns/Bills 1H u21, -120 (1.5x)

[Capybara]

Live bets,

Pats +5.5, -110 (1x)

Pats ML +200 (0.5x)