1. #176
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
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    To be fair to them, as of now, they are a middle-of the pack defensive team as far as stats go (opp fg%). Don't expect that to last though. Hope I'm wrong.

  2. #177
    miss_sbets
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    Quote Originally Posted by Seto View Post
    A team that starts Calderon, Ellis and Dirk is typically going to be pretty bad defensively..
    A similar team did enough to beat Miami in the NBA Finals. Same coach.

  3. #178
    Seto
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    Quote Originally Posted by miss_sbets View Post
    A similar team did enough to beat Miami in the NBA Finals. Same coach.
    How are Jason Kidd and Jose Calderon similar on defense

    I'm a Mavs fan btw

  4. #179
    miss_sbets
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    I'm not trying to pretend to be an expert. All I'm trying to say that the notion of 'swtching the channel from NBA TV because Calderon sucks on defense and the mavs are *incapable of* playing hard and therefore the wizards are simply not doing what they're paid millions of dollars to do'.... it's ridiculous. That's the impression I got from some of his earlier posts too: most NBA guys are overpaid hicks not worth the price of admission.

    I'm sure there's more to it and was simply wondering where this BIG disgust really comes from.

  5. #180
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by miss_sbets View Post
    And your assessment of Dallas as a worse defensive team is based on what exactly?
    Umm, watching them?

  6. #181
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by miss_sbets View Post
    A similar team did enough to beat Miami in the NBA Finals. Same coach.
    To say this Dallas team is remotely "similar" to the one that won a ring is absurd in my mind.

  7. #182
    amrit
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    Wizards just give up way too many second chance points. They do it every single game, can't secure rebounds for whatever reason. Hopefully all those points don't cost us tonight.

  8. #183
    No coincidences
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    LAL +4 (2.2U to win 2)

  9. #184
    No coincidences
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    f\*\*k me.

  10. #185
    NJN86
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    Had Wizards/Mavs O206 and they score 33 points in the 4th to blow it. I feel your pain no coin...

  11. #186
    No coincidences
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    25-17, +7.25U thread

  12. #187
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by NJN86 View Post
    Had Wizards/Mavs O206 and they score 33 points in the 4th to blow it. I feel your pain no coin...
    "Interesting" fourth quarter to say the least.

    It's not like these two teams were playing defense.

  13. #188
    No coincidences
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    LAC -3.5 (2.2U to win 2)
    WAS +10 (2.2U to win 2)

  14. #189
    SourCereal
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    bad beat

    Quote Originally Posted by NJN86 View Post
    Had Wizards/Mavs O206 and they score 33 points in the 4th to blow it. I feel your pain no coin...

    bad beat man....i had that same over.........

  15. #190
    Ace_of_Spades
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    Quote Originally Posted by NJN86 View Post
    Had Wizards/Mavs O206 and they score 33 points in the 4th to blow it. I feel your pain no coin...
    Been there before. On both occasions with a 60 + qtr.

  16. #191
    NJN86
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    Glad to see you sticking with the Wiz despite that horrid showing last night. I do think they are underrated this year. GL.

  17. #192
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    LAC -3.5 (2.2U to win 2)
    WAS +10 (2.2U to win 2)
    Hmm

  18. #193
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    LAC -3.5 (2.2U to win 2)
    WAS +10 (2.2U to win 2)
    CLE +8.5 (2.2U to win 2)

  19. #194
    playoffhero12
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    Go pack Go!

  20. #195
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    CLE +8.5 (2.2U to win 2)
    Might be the worst "defense" I've seen from a team in any NBA game this season -- and that's saying a lot.

    Cleveland isn't even pretending to get a stop in this game. T'Wolves might score 140.

  21. #196
    No coincidences
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    Last three minutes of the third quarter for the Wizards:

    3:09 57-60 Patty Mills misses 25-foot three point jumper
    3:08 Martell Webster defensive rebound 57-60
    2:56 John Wall misses 20-foot jumper 57-60
    2:55 57-60 Manu Ginobili defensive rebound
    2:46 57-62 Manu Ginobili makes two point shot
    2:31 Marcin Gortat misses 19-foot jumper 57-62
    2:30 57-62 Jeff Ayres defensive rebound
    2:13 57-65 Marco Belinelli makes 25-foot three point jumper (Tiago Splitter assists)
    1:51 Martell Webster misses 22-foot three point jumper 57-65
    1:50 57-65 Manu Ginobili defensive rebound
    1:44 57-68 Patty Mills makes three point jumper (Marco Belinelli assists)
    1:24 John Wall misses 11-foot jumper 57-68
    1:23 57-68 Tiago Splitter defensive rebound
    1:19 57-68 Manu Ginobili misses 25-foot three point jumper
    1:16 John Wall defensive rebound 57-68
    0:59 John Wall misses 23-foot three point jumper 57-68
    0:58 Martell Webster offensive rebound 57-68
    0:49 Marcin Gortat misses 10-foot jumper 57-68
    0:48 John Wall offensive rebound 57-68
    0:47 Jeff Ayres blocks John Wall's layup 57-68
    0:45 57-68 Manu Ginobili defensive rebound
    0:39 Wizards 20 Sec. timeout
    0:39 57-68 Boris Diaw enters the game for Tiago Splitter
    0:39 Eric Maynor enters the game for John Wall 57-68
    0:39 Glen Rice Jr. enters the game for Martell Webster 57-68
    0:31 57-70 Manu Ginobili makes driving layup
    0:11 Bradley Beal misses jumper 57-70
    0:09 Jan Vesely misses tip shot 57-70
    0:09 Jan Vesely offensive rebound 57-70
    0:08 57-70 Boris Diaw defensive rebound
    0:00 57-70 Bradley Beal blocks Manu Ginobili 's 25-foot three point jumper
    0:00 Glen Rice Jr. defensive rebound 57-70
    0:00 End of the 3rd Quarter


    "Professionals."



  22. #197
    No coincidences
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    Wizards were down 60-57 with 2:50 left in the third quarter.

    Now it's 81-59 with 9 minutes left in the game.

    I hate the NBA.

  23. #198
    miss_sbets
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Wizards were down 60-57 with 2:50 left in the third quarter.

    Now it's 81-59 with 9 minutes left in the game.

    I hate the NBA.
    Bet the other side then.

  24. #199
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by miss_sbets View Post
    Bet the other side then.
    The "other side" of what?

  25. #200
    Rose'
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    I didnt learn my lesson yesterday

  26. #201
    tatddy
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    So you bet on horrible teams...then spend your time proving to yourself that they are horrible?

    My god man make your plays then go read a book.

  27. #202
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    So you bet on horrible teams...then spend your time proving to yourself that they are horrible?

    My god man make your plays then go read a book.
    I'm stuck at work right now watching the plays unfold on my computer screen. It's like slow torture.

  28. #203
    Speedy88
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Wizards were down 60-57 with 2:50 left in the third quarter.

    Now it's 81-59 with 9 minutes left in the game.

    I hate the NBA.
    NBA is tough man, especially early in the season. NBA is a game of runs. I'd love to see a stat for the average point swing in an NBA game. 15-20 points maybe? I just watched the Hawks go from an 8 pt lead to a 10 pt deficit in less than 10 minutes.

  29. #204
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    Quote Originally Posted by Speedy88 View Post
    NBA is tough man, especially early in the season. NBA is a game of runs. I'd love to see a stat for the average point swing in an NBA game. 15-20 points maybe? I just watched the Hawks go from an 8 pt lead to a 10 pt deficit in less than 10 minutes.
    Didn't used to be such violent swings, back when guys actually knew how to play the game and respected it.

  30. #205
    Bdolan33
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    ive found betting any team that swings 10+ points from their original spread by the 1st quarter in live betting to be profitable.

  31. #206
    tatddy
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    So the best thing you could find to do on the whole Internet was watch play by play of worthless regular season nba games?

    I'll be in Detroit this September. Gonna buy you a beer and reprogram your computers.

  32. #207
    oldshoebox72
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Didn't used to be such violent swings, back when guys actually knew how to play the game and respected it.
    how long ago was you consider back? I do a lot of live-betting, and capitalized on huge swing like this all the time.
    In last few years, sometime Laker, Boston, Heats, or OKC was a big favorite before game started, then they start out slowly sometime even down 20+, then next 2-3 minutes, you'll see they are back to even.

    IMO basketball is a game of big swing. Put your wager in and check back when about couple minutes left in the game.

  33. #208
    miss_sbets
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bdolan33 View Post
    ive found betting any team that swings 10+ points from their original spread by the 1st quarter in live betting to be profitable.
    So would you bet Minnesota or Cleveland after 38-24 in the first?

  34. #209
    BigDeem5
    2013-2016 NBA: 461-378-24 +52.65u
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    The cavaliers can't win/cover on the road, they're putrid

  35. #210
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by Speedy88 View Post
    NBA is tough man, especially early in the season. NBA is a game of runs. I'd love to see a stat for the average point swing in an NBA game. 15-20 points maybe? I just watched the Hawks go from an 8 pt lead to a 10 pt deficit in less than 10 minutes.
    depends on type of better you are. guys that live basketball flourish at the beginning of the year because books overvalue and undervalue teams. they have no data to work with. books don't go off eye-tests. they don't go off matchup analysis or coaching schemes. they have complex models and linesmakers take a number of other things into consideration before setting a line. as the season progresses, books get a good sample size, enough data, and the lines start to get a lot sharper towards the middle of the year. i always dominate the beginning of the nba season. then will go through a couple rough spots in the middle of it. and clean up again during playoffs when books are using reg. season stats and think that they translate to playoff ball. no.

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