[ChuckyTheGoat]

Discussion here. Will post any plays.

[actiondan]

can minnesota knock out denver? shame they donked home court away

[stevenash]

Boston-Denver money line chalk parlay.
You won't get rich, but I have total confidence in both teams, should win comfortably.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

1* play = Indiana Pacers (3.27). 1 to win 2.27.

...I thought about it. Sure doesn't seem like that gap was that big.
...Round One net pts: NYK +1 vs PHI.
...Round One net pts: IND +19 vs MIL.

Price looks too good. I like the Pacer length over the short rotation of Knick players.
...I don't rate Hart as a great player. As good as Brunson is, he's getting too much talk.
...And Brunson will have to shoot over (mostly) taller defenders in this series. Could struggle.
...Knicks are one injury from being short on the rotation. Bogdanovic now out for the year.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

BOSTON opens at -11 in Game One.
...Anybody have any good intel on Allen's return?

For the Series, Boston is > -1000 to win it.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

1* play = Indiana Pacers (3.27). 1 to win 2.27.

...I thought about it. Sure doesn't seem like that gap was that big.
...Round One net pts: NYK +1 vs PHI.
...Round One net pts: IND +19 vs MIL.

Price looks too good. I like the Pacer length over the short rotation of Knick players.
...I don't rate Hart as a great player. As good as Brunson is, he's getting too much talk.
...And Brunson will have to shoot over (mostly) taller defenders in this series. Could struggle.
...Knicks are one injury from being short on the rotation. Bogdanovic now out for the year.

Adding a unit. IND (3.38). 1 to win 2.38.
...Said that I'm luke-warm about this one. Just feel like the price merits a play.
...Two Knick players that I'll have my eye on:
*Mitchell Robinson: His MIN/Pts are down since return from injury.
*Josh Hart: He won Gm1 with his 3Pt-shooting. Shot 41% on 3's vs PHI, but he was only a 31% 3-shooter in the Regular Season.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Adding a unit. IND (3.38). 1 to win 2.38.
...Said that I'm luke-warm about this one. Just feel like the price merits a play.
...Two Knick players that I'll have my eye on:
*Mitchell Robinson: His MIN/Pts are down since return from injury.
*Josh Hart: He won Gm1 with his 3Pt-shooting. Shot 41% on 3's vs PHI, but he was only a 31% 3-shooter in the Regular Season.

Adding a unit on IND Pacers to win Series. (Down 1-0). 1* IND 3.72. 1 to win 2.72.
...First game was not a complete loss. Knicks held serve, Pacers were very close.
...Big news = Mitchell Robinson re-injured, Out for 6 weeks.
...Bogdanovic was already injured. Knicks now down their key reserve Robinson.
...Knicks are a very short team. Robinson loss means the only big-man in the rotation = Hartenstein.
...I would expect to see Sims get minutes tonite. Not bad, but he hasn't played in a month.

Might seem like I'm pushing it. I just think the Robinson injury tilts things to IND. If they snare a win tonite, they'd gain HCA and be on their way.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

After the Gm2 win, Dallas is now the (slight) series Fav. -127/+107.

Do you think this is correct?
...I have a rooting interest in the Mavs. But I found this flip to be knee-jerk.
...OKC roster is a little more talented. DALL has two big names.
...My big thing is that two events took place in Gm2 which are UNLIKELY to repeat: *Big games from PJWash/TimHardJr.
...Those two won't shoot like that again in the rest of the series.
...Mav route to winning the series = Gafford/Lively having solid games.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

4th unit on IND Pacers: (Down 2-1) 2.85. 1 to win 1.85.

...Think the Pacers are in a great spot to win today.
...That would make it 2 of 3 versus an injury-depleted Knick roster.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

5th unit: Pacers 2.90. 1 to win 1.90.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Making a very small hedge back on the Knicks:
*I love my position on the Pacers.
...Just being wise. Token hedge on the Knicks, after the massive price-move.

0.6* Knicks (to win Series) 2.33. 0.60 to win 0.80.

[Darkside Magick]

Game 5 line is so sharp... I have Pacers by 2 here. May try a live position

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Game 5 line is so sharp... I have Pacers by 2 here. May try a live position

GL, Dark. I've written a lot about this series.

Sometimes the media is a Day late and a Dollar short. The Knicks injuries have been accumulating:
...The Knicks got a little lucky when Divencenzo/Burks had excellent Game 3s.
...In Game 4, the wheels came off. Knicks don't have a lot of answers on personnel.

See my Series bets above. I love my Pacer positions. Just hedging back a peanut on the Knicks.

[Darkside Magick]

Got Nuggets by 7 here...Minnesota missed the boat here..they play better without gobert

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Another unit on Pacers. (Down 3-2) 3.08: 1 to win 2.08.

...Line swings again after Gm5.
...Burks had an unusually good game, after being in cobwebs for months.
...Pacer confidence at Home is high. Sets up for a toss-up type game (vs injury-ravaged Knick team) in Gm7.

[ThaTopMoron]

Another unit on Pacers. (Down 3-2) 3.08: 1 to win 2.08.

...Line swings again after Gm5.
...Burks had an unusually good game, after being in cobwebs for months.
...Pacer confidence at Home is high. Sets up for a toss-up type game (vs injury-ravaged Knick team) in Gm7.

careful

Knicks closed out on the road last series... they know how to do it. Pacers don't care to rebound

Hali was crying about being nothing but a "prop" to gamblers after he didn't even try to shoot the ball in a pivotal game 5 on the road

he got lucky in game 3 too as he and Siabum froze up at the end of the game and got lucky with the bailout late 3 by whoever hit it after Hali passed it to him after he got scared to shoot

[ChuckyTheGoat]

FWIW: Pacers have won Ten straight home games. Many by wide margin.

[ThaTopMoron]

FWIW: Pacers have won Ten straight home games. Many by wide margin.

sure, but besides game 4 where the Knicks basically laid down to finally rest their limited roster after they came up short trying to go all out and go up 3-0 ... Brunson is back to normal

just remember, as soon as you think 1 way... the NBA entertainment product goes the other way

they don't want the Celtics to have another opponent coming off a 7 game series while they are rested meaning that game 1 will not be very competitive for Boston