1. 12-03-12 11:42 AM #491
    PerfectGrape
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    Port D is solid but you can beat them up inside the paint. Bobcats don't have a big team that does that.
    http://www.82games.com/1213/1213CHA3.HTM
    http://www.82games.com/1213/1213POR3.HTM

    Nice thread, thanks for all the writeups. Don't know too much about either teams but 82games says Bobcats shot selection is close range 31% at eFG% of .529, among the higher %s in the NBA. Portland's opponents shot selection is 30% close range at eFG% of .578. If Portland is so much bigger why do they get beat up in the paint and take tons of jumpers?

    edit: also if their D is so solid, why do they have the 2nd worst opp fg% at .483?
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  2. 12-03-12 12:25 PM #492
    mvanja
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    I'm betting on bet365, they have at this time Blazers +1 at -115, -6 at +225
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  3. 12-03-12 12:58 PM #493
    mvanja
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    Quote Originally Posted by PerfectGrape View Post
    http://www.82games.com/1213/1213CHA3.HTM
    http://www.82games.com/1213/1213POR3.HTM

    Nice thread, thanks for all the writeups. Don't know too much about either teams but 82games says Bobcats shot selection is close range 31% at eFG% of .529, among the higher %s in the NBA. Portland's opponents shot selection is 30% close range at eFG% of .578. If Portland is so much bigger why do they get beat up in the paint and take tons of jumpers?

    edit: also if their D is so solid, why do they have the 2nd worst opp fg% at .483?
    Is there that U know detailed stats like this for NFL/NHL and NCCAF. If so I would really appreciate..
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  4. 12-03-12 02:34 PM #494
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by elPkay View Post
    Hey GM, with you on the Blazers game but I can't select Blazers -6 at pinnacle, the dropdown menu shows a range from +2 to -1 which
    brings me to the question - What site(s) are you betting on?
    Would like to split my BR after a few wins to register on several sites (been betting on betfair when the season began but they closed bets
    to germans a few weeks ago) to get all those bets pinnacle doesn't offer.
    What would you suggest? (since you are able to bet on spreads to as far as 6 in that game and Team Totals, etc)
    There always local lines unless I post otherwise. Both Port +1.5 and the -6 were bet at Heritage. I posted it.


    Quote Originally Posted by PerfectGrape View Post
    http://www.82games.com/1213/1213CHA3.HTM
    http://www.82games.com/1213/1213POR3.HTM

    Nice thread, thanks for all the writeups. Don't know too much about either teams but 82games says Bobcats shot selection is close range 31% at eFG% of .529, among the higher %s in the NBA. Portland's opponents shot selection is 30% close range at eFG% of .578. If Portland is so much bigger why do they get beat up in the paint and take tons of jumpers?

    edit: also if their D is so solid, why do they have the 2nd worst opp fg% at .483?
    That's over a small sample size. Portland D is solid on the perimeter. Portland isn't so much bigger as I mentioned they are not big they are long. The difference is their guys have relatively quick strong hands that can disrupt ball movement and the rhythm of perimeter shooters. They don't have a true C and they can definitely get beat up in the paint by a team with some good bigs--which is not Charlotte.
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  5. 12-03-12 03:24 PM #495
    RetardStrength
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    Personally love the Portland play. Feels like a gift. As usual, anything is possible in early season NBA play but there is absolutely no reason, on paper, Charlotte should beat this team.

    BOL
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  6. 12-03-12 03:38 PM #496
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    PLAY 53: BLAZERS +1.5 -108 RISK $324 to win $300

    PLAY 54: BLAZERS -6 +232 RISK 50 TO WIN 116

    heritage lines

    Blazers coming off a game where they had 3 separate chances to win at the buzzer and finally hit an unreal shot by Batum to win the game. I think Aldridge was thinking about leaving but if they reel off some wins Blazers could be solid not great.

    The Bobcats are simply outmatched here at nearly every position. Kemba may be able to keep up with LIllard on both ends, but Aldridge should have his way with Mullans, Haywood, or that one other guy whos name I can't pronounce on him. He will want to show up some scrubs. Gilchrest is going to see a lot of time from Batum who is an excellent all around defender unless you know how to post up which Gilchrest does not really. Mathews also should show Taylor the rookie a thing or two. Ben Gordan and Sessions are nice sparks off the bench. If you have a bench you can win road games always. Portland doesn't have a good bench but their guys are long athletic players that should make things tough for the bobcats smaller guards.

    This is a starters game for Portland I think they will want to end this road trip on a good note. Port D is solid but you can beat them up inside the paint. Bobcats don't have a big team that does that. Without 20 from Mullans this team doesn't win. Gilchrest needs to score 15ish. Walker should play decent bt I don't think the other guys will be able to do much. Mathews and Battum are the keys to this game to shutting down the shooters Gilchrest, Taylor.

    I don't see how you can leave Mullans in for long. Unless Aldridge just has an off night he should abuse him.
    PLAY 55: PORTLAND ML +100 RISK $50 TO WIN $50


    That's all for today.
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  7. 12-03-12 03:46 PM #497
    therealdealau
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    lets cash this portland play, lots of people on here love the bobcats - i'm loving that.
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  8. 12-03-12 05:00 PM #498
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by sando View Post
    Last year I sold my Kobe and Odom jersey's in disgust at the way the Lakers were playing. The only one I kept was my Artest jersey. That one is about 1 more bad game from getting 'ebayed' as well. I've already sledge-hammered my Lakers garden gnome this year. Sigh...
    Sick retarded mutha fukka,as if Lakers were the only positive in your life...........
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  9. 12-03-12 05:02 PM #499
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    Sick retarded mutha fukka,as if Lakers were the only positive in your life...........
    Sorry kid, maybe i'm too passionate for you. I'll go back to watching the games with the volume muted. Better now?
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  10. 12-03-12 05:22 PM #500
    BMoreBird
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    no one on the clippers tonight?
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  11. 12-03-12 05:50 PM #501
    Capybara
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    Line moving the wrong way. Don't get it.
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  12. 12-03-12 05:52 PM #502
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post
    Line moving the wrong way. Don't get it.
    more bets are on bobcats ml and spread by a little. line is just adjusting to balance out the money. Vegas doesn't gamble on games like this. They just want even money on both sides.
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  13. 12-03-12 05:59 PM #503
    Capybara
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    more bets are on bobcats ml and spread by a little. line is just adjusting to balance out the money. Vegas doesn't gamble on games like this. They just want even money on both sides.
    Appreciate your analysis as always, Goat, and wanna tail tonight, but that steam scared me off, I rarely go against steam. Seeing +2 now. Hope I'm wrong and you guys all cash tonight, good luck.
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  14. 12-03-12 06:37 PM #504
    mvanja
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    What a start....
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  15. 12-03-12 06:48 PM #505
    EasyHustlin
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    Portland's bench is just embarrassing. Put Lillard and Aldridge back in the damn game!
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  16. 12-03-12 07:07 PM #506
    t-wizzle
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    Goat, Portland is not a good team.
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  17. 12-03-12 07:13 PM #507
    mvanja
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    keep the faith....
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  18. 12-03-12 07:14 PM #508
    dsaewra
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    Just need them to be better than the Bobcats tonight.
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  19. 12-03-12 07:15 PM #509
    Capybara
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    2H Over 94.5 looks good to me.
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  20. 12-03-12 07:19 PM #510
    Shazzadude
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    Portland can be somewhat pleased to only be 3 down considering how hot the Cats were in that first half, 58% from the field.
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  21. 12-03-12 07:55 PM #511
    dzikik
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    Portland is pathetic.....
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  22. 12-03-12 08:00 PM #512
    rfr3sh
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    Ben Gordon going off!
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  23. 12-03-12 08:01 PM #513
    DudleyDawson
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    Can't believe people blindly tail strangers like this goat milk loser.
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  24. 12-03-12 08:03 PM #514
    Pick'nParlays
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    Thx for your input Goat
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  25. 12-03-12 08:09 PM #515
    Goat Milk
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    This is my thread for my matchup analysis

    Not an in game thread. Don't clutter this thread with bullshit.
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  26. 12-03-12 08:10 PM #516
    DudleyDawson
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    This is my thread for my matchup analysis

    Not an in game thread. Don't clutter this thread with bullshit.
    well hey then don't clutter this forum with your bullshit picks asshole
    Points Awarded:

    upscope gave DudleyDawson 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

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  27. 12-03-12 08:17 PM #517
    Goat Milk
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    play 56: Bucks -4.5 2nd half -110

    Risk $110 to win $100
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  28. 12-03-12 08:20 PM #518
    rfr3sh
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    Ben Gordon again
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  29. 12-03-12 08:26 PM #519
    rfr3sh
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    ot now
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  30. 12-03-12 08:26 PM #520
    Pick'nParlays
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    I might just eat my words
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  31. 12-03-12 08:43 PM #521
    bodyman
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    Goat pounding guts where the haterade now??
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  32. 12-03-12 08:43 PM #522
    Pick'nParlays
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    Eaten

    Great play GM
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  33. 12-03-12 08:47 PM #523
    rentongfb
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pick'nParlays View Post
    Eaten

    Great play GM
    at least you appreciate and maybe learned not to talk b4 the game finishes...
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  34. 12-03-12 08:48 PM #524
    The Architect
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    nice hit on port. very nice push at -6. cheers
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  35. 12-03-12 08:50 PM #525
    bodybag
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    Quote Originally Posted by sando View Post
    Sorry kid, maybe i'm too passionate for you. I'll go back to watching the games with the volume muted. Better now?
    ignore that douche!!!
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