[sando]

Good w/e so far in both AFL & NRL...

AFL

Sydney v Carlton
2* Swans -29.5 (Sportsbet)

NRL

Eels v Panthers
2* Eels -5.5
Moylan back is the biggest of in's for the Panthers, but the Eels are on a different level this season and always formidable at home. Interesting stat - The Panthers are the worst tackling side in the NRL (missed tackles) & the Eels are the most lethal tackle busting side in the NRL this season. Spells trouble for the Panthers...

[sando]

Adding...

NRL

1* Eels HT/FT ($1.98 Will Hill)

[hedgejob]

WCE not to be trusted away from WA

[hedgejob]

I have backed the dogs to beat Hawks already Agree they will shorten considerably after the Eagles smash the Hawks today

Aussie, you gave WC the kiss of death today...lol

[hedgejob]

Freo next week +17.5 won't last long

[Shazzadude]

Damn, didn't realise Sando had sprung back to life, nice to see you again

[sando]

Damn, didn't realise Sando had sprung back to life, nice to see you again

Thanks mate, you too! You haven't missed much (yet), been pretty cold in NRL to start the season, however a solid start to the AFL season.

Freo next week +17.5 won't last long

Mate what have you seen to make you so confident on Freo? Or just the whol local derby thing? Personally I feel like it's the Eagles who will shorten & line maybe around -20 to -24 by kick off?

[sando]

Well certainly didn't "crush" the footy over the w/e, like I boldly predicted, but wasn't terrible either. Things were going well in both AFL & NRL until the Eels fade out (credit must go to the Panthers as well) on Sunday arvo.

Big weekend coming up, footy, rugby league & UFC this w/e (JDS v. Rothwell)!


AFL

3-3 +1.1 units

(2016 - 8-6 +5.95 units)

Early play...

Adelaide @ Richmond
2* Adelaide ML ($1.91 William Hill)
The Crows will start favourites for this game & even the $1.91 available at Will Hill will be gone soon. Deledio still out for the Tigers who are just playing uninspiring football so far after being the best pressure team in the comp last season. Rance or not, I expect Adelaide's dynamic forward line to run in a big score against the Tige's. Over might be worth a look if weather is good (day game at the MCG).

NRL

2-3 -0.25 units

(2016 - 14-19 -11.45 units)

[hedgejob]

Mate what have you seen to make you so confident on Freo? Or just the whol local derby thing? Personally I feel like it's the Eagles who will shorten & line maybe around -20 to -24 by kick off?

Eagles got no D this year.

[garygroundwork]

Freo are shit. They will struggle to make the 8.


watch them cause an upset now

[sando]

AFL

3-3 +1.1 units

(2016 - 8-6 +5.95 units)

Early play...

Adelaide @ Richmond
2* Adelaide ML ($1.91 William Hill)
The Crows will start favourites for this game & even the $1.91 available at Will Hill will be gone soon. Deledio still out for the Tigers who are just playing uninspiring football so far after being the best pressure team in the comp last season. Rance or not, I expect Adelaide's dynamic forward line to run in a big score against the Tige's. Over might be worth a look if weather is good (day game at the MCG).

Usually don't like to make plays before Thursday when teams are released but no major injuries/suspensions that I'm aware of, so will go ahead & lock in some solid lines now.

Freo v West Coast
2.5* West Coast -18.5

Hawthorn @ Western Bulldogs
1* Bulldogs 1-39 ($2.80 Luxbet)
1* Bulldogs +7.5
Dogs are "en fuego" at Etihad & the Hawkers are vulnerable without Hodge & Roughie

[sando]

NRL

Dragons @ Broncos
2.5* Broncos -14
Massacre. Similar result to last week's game against Dragons.

Rest of AFL & NRL plays tomorrow...

[hedgejob]

"Freo are done"... those kind of headlines pump teams up.

Agree with you on Doggies.

[sando]

NRL

Dragons @ Broncos
2.5* Broncos -14
Massacre. Similar result to last week's game against Dragons.

Rest of AFL & NRL plays tomorrow...

26-0. Great start to the weekend. Game went exactly as predicted.


Ok I've been in the "lab" for over 8 hours today working on my plays and this is what I've got so far...

Two big NRL plays, both totals, very confident.

Raiders @ Eels
1.5* Raiders +2.5 1st Half

Manly @ NZ
1.5* Manly +7.5

Cowboys @ Panthers
1* Panthers 1-12 ($3.85 Will Hill)

Tigers @ Knights
3* Over 47.5

Dog's @ Storm
2.5* Under 36.5

[sando]

AFL

Essendon @ Port
1* Port 1-39 ($2.75 William Hill)

GWS @ Sydney
1* Swans 1-39 ($2.15 Sportsbet)
1* Swans 1st Quarter -3.5 (Sportsbet)


​Early AFL plays posted above.

[hedgejob]

Richmond are 0-5 ats last 5 games. Those kind of streaks don't last long in AFL.

[Bill_Hicks]

Excellent work last night Sando. Got some UFC lined up?
Cheers

[sando]

Killing the footy.

3 winning weeks to start the season.

12-7 +11.6 units

Still got the pending play on the Western Bulldogs today...

[sando]

Excellent work last night Sando. Got some UFC lined up?
Cheers

Working on it mate, check back in a couple of hours. Been a busy w/e

[aussieH]

That panthers game was a terrible ending. Cost me the under and acts in the last minute

[sando]

That panthers game was a terrible ending. Cost me the under and acts in the last minute

Yeah I hear ya mate, had a lot of poor luck in NRL so far this year, really been running bad in what is traditionally my strongest sport, but not fussed as the season is long and my methods have held up over the years...

[Rabbitbrew]

Any netball tippers floating about?

😎

[garygroundwork]

Yeah I hear ya mate, had a lot of poor luck in NRL so far this year, really been running bad in what is traditionally my strongest sport, but not fussed as the season is long and my methods have held up over the years...

NRL has been very tough so far this year

[sando]

Any netball tippers floating about?



Wow the legend returns. Best netball handicapper in the game. Follow him on you know where lads - @thegoalshooter

[sando]

Another solid weekend in the AFL & a small improvement in my NRL plays.

AFL

4-3 +3.55 units

(2016 12-9 +9.5 units)

NRL

3-3 +0.55 units

(2016 17-22 -10.9 units)

MMA

(2016 4-3 +0.9 units)

Didn't end up making any plays on UFC fight night Zagreb - sorry lads.

*Already lining up a couple of early AFL plays for next w/e. Will probably post tomorrow...

[sando]

NBA - Situational play

Boys it's Kobe's final ever game. It will be a circus. His teammates will be feeding him the ball all game & he will certainly be shooting.

Play Kobe over prop (anything less than 20 is good)

[sando]

Kobe Over props were cashed before half time haha...

Anyway running late with my w/e play's because I was taking the time to bask in Kobe's brilliance one final time.

Do like tonight's NRL game however.

NRL

Eels @ Sea Eagles

1* Eels ML ($1.78 Luxbet) *To win 1 unit
1* Eels 1-12 ($3.20 William Hill)

Also medium lean towards the under 36, however have decided to run with just the Eels.

More to follow later tonight...

[sando]

AFL

2* Geelong -55.5 (William Hill)

[ronpaul2o12]

[sando]

AFL

2* Melbourne +18.5

1.5* Adelaide v Sydney Over 180.5
1.5* Sydney -1.5

1* Brisbane v Gold Coast Over 189.5

[Bill_Hicks]

Keep'em coming Sando. Best of luck this weekend.

[sando]

Keep'em coming Sando. Best of luck this weekend.

Thanks mate!

NRL

1* Dragons 1-12 ($3.70 William Hill)

Yes this is a ballsy play. Yes I have watched the Dragons last 2 games where they have scored 0.
My predictive curve has the Titans fading and the Dragons rising this week.

[sando]

NRL

1* Brisbane -18.5 (-19.5 fine as well)

1.5* Bulldogs ML ($1.92)

[sando]

Adding half a unit to the Swans -1.5 for a total of 2 units on the Swans -1.5

[sando]

Got a big NRL play for tomorrow. Will post in a couple of hours...