[Tim Gerry Mander]

Storm/Panthers UNDER 42 @ $1.91 (5 DIMES) - 0.5 UNITS
Panthers Team Total UNDER 15.5 (BET 365) - 0.5 UNITS
Roosters/Eels UNDER 46 @ $1.91 (BET 365) - 0.5 UNITS

Penrith have not scored more than 10 points at AAMI in the 3 matches they have played there.

I expect the Roosters to muscle up this week after they got ambushed in round 1 - no SBW means less offloads and less opportunities for 2nd phase play.
Eels have lost their hooker and will not be as fluent in attack.
Warriors were woeful last week and made the Eels backline look like world-beaters.

Thunderstorms from nowhere.
Pissing down, lightening, thunder here in Sydney.

[dRavidC]

nice work TGM

you should make your own thread

[Tim Gerry Mander]

i had one last year
might kick one off this weekend

[nickos86]

Haha Refs so hard on Penrith right now. 6-1 PEN count in first 20mins. Most on 5th tackle in front of MEL tryline.

[nickos86]

Melbourne leagues ahead despite the score. Hope the close score motivates PEN to defend, have the under too.

Edit: Scratch that! Try!

[Tim Gerry Mander]

the missed conversions are helping

[snufflyjoe]

So just a 10 cent movement from Snufflyjoe's post.

They had him at 4.30 now he is 3.80 so 50 cents so far. I honestly thought it would change a lot more than that. He did eventually make weight but he was shaking on the scale and looked stuffed.

Hendricks will have to finish him quick to win if this goes past the third Hendricks is screwed

Edit : sorry to clog Sandos thread with this stuff but I know its mostly Aussies on this thread

[Mase of Base]

Thinking the under 43.5 is a good chance in the Brumbies v Tahs super rugby match. I see NSW have gone into favs for that now as that would of been a great bet still good odds though.

Also like TGMs under in the Roosters/Eels. I'm assuming that storm has crossed as I've been watching the second half of the A League match and it looks fine but there was a lengthy delay at the start.

Unit on each.

*Better do a quick write up for the rugby.

Total looks slightly inflated for me, generally Aussie derbies (between the three big sides) are pretty close and often points are hard to come by. This game has big implications even this early so both will be thinking territory early maybe not so much expansive rugby.

The 'Tahs have looked fantastic on attack but Canberra is never an easy place to score and their D has looked fantastic thus far. That game against QLD they gave up nothing to their opposition. The Brumbies played well last week but the 'Canes are already showing they aren't going to defend again this season so credit on the win but points are going to be harder to come by this week.

The ACT v QLD match was a slow burner here, I'm expecting similar and hoping for a battle of the boots and not Isreal Folau tries.

[nickos86]

Eels!!!! Hhahahahahahaahahahahahahaahahahahahahah ahahahaha....!

Oh god. Free money Rooster Team Total or any live spread available. They score so fast it keep going offline.

[sando]

UFC 171

**All bets are "to win 1 unit, etc"

0.5* Whiteford ($2.86/+186 Pinnacle)

1* Strickland v McDaniel Over 1.5 rounds ($1.58/-172 Pinnacle)

1* Forte ($1.67/-149 Bookmaker)

1* Story ($2.31/+131 Pinnacle)

1.5* [Parlay] St Preux + Lombard ($1.83/-120 Sportsbet)

2* Condit ($1.63/-158 Pinnacle)

[sando]

NRL

Tigers @ Titans

1.5* Titans -9.5 (-107/$1.93 Pinnacle)
1* Titans (to win by) 13+ ($2.20/+120 Sportsbet)

[snufflyjoe]

UFC 171

**All bets are "to win 1 unit, etc"

0.5* Whiteford ($2.86/+186 Pinnacle)

1* Strickland v McDaniel Over 1.5 rounds ($1.58/-172 Pinnacle)

1* Forte ($1.67/-149 Bookmaker)

1* Story ($2.31/+131 Pinnacle)

1.5* [Parlay] St Preux + Lombard ($1.83/-120 Sportsbet)

2* Condit ($1.63/-158 Pinnacle)

On Story as well but Condit? I really like woodley here over 3 rounds I actually think woodley is one of the better dogs on this card. I agree that Condit is the more complete fighter but his wrestling deficiency will be the difference in this fight . I see a 29-28 scorecard for Twood

A few good dogs on this card IMO I'm on

Woodley, Lawler, Hettes, Story and Sanchez. And a parlay of Pineda+Scoggins+Garcia

[snufflyjoe]

Good call with Whiteford I didnt pick up that he was training at ATT

[Tim Gerry Mander]

UNDER 48 Titans/Tigers @ $1.91 (BET 365) - 0.5 UNITS

Last 3 games at Robina between these two have not gone over 40.


OVER 41.5 Knights/Raiders @ $2.00 (LADBROKES) - 0.5 UNITS

I expect the Raiders to continue with their attacking philosophy that nearly caused an upset last week.
The Raiders defence is not the best and they do leak points away from home.
The Knights will be drained after a torrid contest last week where they had only 1 interchange left.
2 of the last 3 games at Newcastle have hit 48 points.

Tigers +10.5 @ $1.92 (SPORTSBET) - 1 UNIT

The Titans may be a little flat after their slugfest against the Sharks on Monday.
The Tigers should stiffen their defence up somewhat after last week's capitulation.
Strong words from Robbie Farah during the week about his team's effort.
A word of caution - the Eels also talked up their defence prior to last night's game and look what happened to them.

Good luck all.

[Donkey]

Titans are down to -8.5 at bet365 if anyone fancies them

[Rabbitbrew]

Two bets for game starting in 10 mins

Fever (-3.5) 1st quarter hcap: 1unit @ 1.90 Cbet

Tactix (+7.5) Half time hcap: 1unit @ $1.90 Cbet

No time for write up.

[the tross]

cheers rabs

[nickos86]

Two bets for game starting in 10 mins

Fever (-3.5) 1st quarter hcap: 1unit @ 1.90 Cbet

Tactix (+7.5) Half time hcap: 1unit @ $1.90 Cbet

No time for write up.

Unusual bet considering Fever are playing Tactix...

[shevabets]

Live odds to win match:
-5882 Fever
+1400 Tactix

lol

[Bill_Hicks]

Any records in here? No disrespect Sando, but you have people tailing you and all I see are losses upon losses.

You might be a + capper having a rough go, but please have some records to back it up. GL rest of the way.

[Bill_Hicks]

I know you keep a running count of your bets, so my apologies for my last post. Variance ain't my friend.

[Rabbitbrew]

Central Pulse @ Northern Mystics

Pulse (-2.5) 1st quarter handicap: 2 units @ $1.90 with Cbet

With not Anna Harrison and Latu/Tutia struggling the Mystics have been struggling this year. Mes also seems to be on restricted court tie due to her comeback from knee problems. Pulse were the best 1st quarter team last year and have continued that this year. Mystics average under double figure in the 1st quarter. With the Mystics defence guarding space I can see the combo of Van Dyk/Wilkins having a flying start. I expect them to win the quarter by 6.

YTD Record: 2-3 (-1.2 units)

[Rabbitbrew]

FML.

Pulse cruising with a 5 goals lead and Mystics score last 4 goals of quarter.

YTD: 2-4 (-3.2 units)

[Goat Milk]

Any records in here? No disrespect Sando, but you have people tailing you and all I see are losses upon losses.

You might be a + capper having a rough go, but please have some records to back it up. GL rest of the way.

He usually does records weekly. Yeah I've been getting screwed tailing at the wrong time but I'm gonna keep tailing cause sando can go on some nice runs. Gambling is just about runs gotta stay the course.

[justkyle88]

NRL

Tigers @ Titans

1.5* Titans -9.5 (-107/$1.93 Pinnacle)
1* Titans (to win by) 13+ ($2.20/+120 Sportsbet)

Unlucky on these. I don't think we ever expected tigers to win like that.

[benrama]

Long time no talk ladies, and gentlemen. Had to let go of the sports betting time commitment, started some new business ventures, etc etc.

Onto tonight, like Bulldogs in a white wash initially. However the Fifita signing I think leaves a bitter taste. I think Carney is the master at % football so like him to get repeat sets and keep it close. Sharks defense is still solid.

Sharkies +10 for me if you can get it but +9.5 also good.

[Martinr]

Unlucky on these. I don't think we ever expected tigers to win like that.

I like the early line (-4.5) fr the Raiders v Titans next week.
First game at home for the Green Machine after 2 solid efforts on the road. A trip to Canberra is not the best remedy for the flogging the Titans just received v Tigers, and the Raiders will be up for this. They're playing well early season under Ricky Stuart and the Titans will need more than 4.5 points start. Big play for me.

[MrXYZ]

Long time no talk ladies, and gentlemen. Had to let go of the sports betting time commitment, started some new business ventures, etc etc.

Onto tonight, like Bulldogs in a white wash initially. However the Fifita signing I think leaves a bitter taste. I think Carney is the master at % football so like him to get repeat sets and keep it close. Sharks defense is still solid.

Sharkies +10 for me if you can get it but +9.5 also good.

Welcome back mate.

[s2230011]

Welcome back mate !!!

I was under the impression Carney is not playing !?

[BigNik]

Long time no talk ladies, and gentlemen. Had to let go of the sports betting time commitment, started some new business ventures, etc etc.

Onto tonight, like Bulldogs in a white wash initially. However the Fifita signing I think leaves a bitter taste. I think Carney is the master at % football so like him to get repeat sets and keep it close. Sharks defense is still solid.

Sharkies +10 for me if you can get it but +9.5 also good.

Too many players not available for Sharks. Gallen, Fifita, Lewis, Robson, Ryan. Think the Bulldogs run riot tonight on the back of a better halves combo in Reynolds and Hodkinson

[BigNik]

Also looking at the under 39.5. Don't see the sharks scoring too many points tonight. See a 24-8 type game

[benrama]

Thanks guys, and geez I read the press wrong, I knew all those other outs but thought Carney was in.

On a plane at 10K feet right now (loving wifi why the Fk don't all flights have it?), going to have to follow the scores to see what Monday night brings.

[Tim Gerry Mander]

Hey Benny
Hope you've been well mate!

[davopnz]

sharks and under toast

[justkyle88]

I like the early line (-4.5) fr the Raiders v Titans next week.
First game at home for the Green Machine after 2 solid efforts on the road. A trip to Canberra is not the best remedy for the flogging the Titans just received v Tigers, and the Raiders will be up for this. They're playing well early season under Ricky Stuart and the Titans will need more than 4.5 points start. Big play for me.

Yeah I want to hit the raiders hard again but they aren't a consistent enough yet to start going crazy with them.
Raiders lost papali so I'm a little worried about that.
in saying this I still think raiders will get a win.