NRL Prop Bet - Over/Under Season Wins
Hi guys,
For anyone who is interested, here is one of my bets for "season wins".
St George Dragons UNDER 9.5 wins
I had this play marked in from late last week.
The Charity Shield result on the weekend reinforced what I thought.
Add a serious injury to Josh Dugan and it all points to a long season for the Dragons.
The Dragons are currently a team with no direction or leadership on or off the field.
Their coach is already on thin ice and the season hasn't even started.
They have gone out and bought Gareth Widdop from the Storm to solve their chronic halves dilemma - however very few Storm players who leave to join other clubs actually stay at the same level or get better (e.g. Adam Blair a case in point).
They have no recognised 7 or 9, a new 6 who is about to learn what life without SSC (Smith, Slater and Cronk) is like, and now their Origin fullback is set to miss a chunk of the season with injury.
They have lost some experience over the off-season and the question marks over the coach will hinder their efforts to remain at least partly competitive.
11 of their first 14 games are away from home.
Their best talent will also be absent for some games as they are Origin/International reps (Morris, Nightingale, Merrin).
Based on my calculations, they are predicted to win 6 games for the season.
After Dugan's injury, the U9.5 got smashed into 1.75.
You can find U8.5 for $1.88.
Either option, I like this bet alot.
Pity about Dugan's injury which has moved the price and line on most books.