1. 11-22-13 08:46 PM #9731
    ender749
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    Quote Originally Posted by clting08 View Post
    Sando what is your pick on Lakers vs Warriors??
    read his posts man. like the pick is in his main post for the day - how can you miss it? here you are:

    GS @ LA Lakers
    1* Over 102.5 1st Half (-109/$1.91 Centrebet)
    1.5* Warriors -6 (-103/$1.97 Pinnacle)
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  2. 11-22-13 08:50 PM #9732
    sando
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    Great day so far 6-0 on the main plays...

    ...but seriously - I don't know why I even bother with player props, they are hard to resist when you think you have a nice angle but seriously there can't be much long term +EV...?

    I mean DeRozan has 15 points at HT, and scores 2 in the 2nd Half to fall under 21.5

    ...and Green goes 0-8 and has a terrible shooting night, whereas Henderson decides to have "one of those nights" and is leading his team in scoring and yet Green had countless opportunities to hit just 1 three pointer (0-8) which amazingly would have cashed the prop...
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  3. 11-22-13 08:53 PM #9733
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by sando View Post
    2nd Half Play

    1* Jazz -1 2nd Half (+100 Pinnacle) Sorry it's a bit late
    Dallas heading to Denver tomorrow to play the back to back - guaranteed the starters will hardly play the 2nd half with this massive lead. Old legs need rest - especially when heading to Denver on B2B. Also junk team like Utah are great at running up the score in "garbage time"
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  4. 11-22-13 08:59 PM #9734
    jimmy007oc
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    @Sandro: One of my strategy that I've been using for those blowout game like Dallas vs Jazz is wait until 4Q, bet Jazz to win that 4th Q. These strategy has paid off very well. If Dallas blow them out 3Q with big lead. Same thing apply to Nets game, Nets got blown out. Timberwolves won 3Q, bet Net against the spread 4th Q.
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  5. 11-22-13 09:02 PM #9735
    unitedlad
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    That's also a trend I have been following. If a team gets beat in the first 3Q, they more likely than not win the 4th Quarter and cover the spread. Difficult to bet on consistently however.
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  6. 11-22-13 09:10 PM #9736
    nzgamma
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    Thanks for the responses and advice guys, much appreciated.

    Sando I'm very much looking forward to the league season starting again. I think the draw comes out next week. What markets do you prefer when betting on the NRL? Lines? Margins?
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  7. 11-22-13 09:18 PM #9737
    sando
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    Minnesota Timberwolves
    STARTERS MIN FGM-A 3PM-A FTM-A OREB DREB REB AST STL BLK TO PF +/- PTS
    Kevin Love, PF 28 5-11 0-3 7-7 6 10 16 4 2 0 1 1 +30 17
    Corey Brewer, SF 28 6-13 3-6 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 +30 15
    Nikola Pekovic, C 26 5-12 0-0 5-7 4 3 7 1 0 1 1 1 +28 15
    Ricky Rubio, PG 25 4-8 2-3 2-2 0 2 2 8 3 0 2 3 +22 12
    Kevin Martin, SG 31 6-16 2-6 3-3 0 1 1 3 1 0 0 2 +34 17
    BENCH MIN FGM-A 3PM-A FTM-A OREB DREB REB AST STL BLK TO PF +/- PTS
    Derrick Williams, PF 12 3-7 0-1 0-0 2 2 4 0 1 0 0 1 -5 6
    Dante Cunningham, PF 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 6 7 3 1 1 1 2 +9 4
    Robbie Hummel, SF 21 2-7 1-6 0-0 0 3 3 1 0 0 0 2 +1 5
    Gorgui Dieng, C 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 0 0 3 1 2 -4 4
    J.J. Barea, PG 15 2-5 2-4 2-2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 +11 8
    Alexey Shved, PG 11 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 -7 2
    A.J. Price, PG 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -4 0
    Shabazz Muhammad, SF Has not entered game
    TOTALS FGM-A 3PM-A FTM-A OREB DREB REB AST STL BLK TO PF PTS
    38-93 10-33 19-21 17 28 45 26 9 6 8 17 105

    This is the perfect example of a coach's dream box score...

    Notice the impressive amount of offensive boards, assists, steals, blocks and low turnovers.

    AND most importantly the even contribution of scoring across the entire board, from the starters and the bench.

    A box score like this wins 95 out of every 100 games (No surprise the T-Wolves are winning by 30+)
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  8. 11-22-13 09:38 PM #9738
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    great pick with the jazz
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  9. 11-22-13 10:15 PM #9739
    sando
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    NBA 2nd Half Play

    1* Blazers -6 2nd Half (-108 Pinnacle)
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  10. 11-22-13 10:22 PM #9740
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    Really? Portland looks lucky to be down 15. Chicago won't let them have open shots in the 3q and you might be looking for a Backdoor cover
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  11. 11-22-13 10:25 PM #9741
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    Really? Portland looks lucky to be down 15. Chicago won't let them have open shots in the 3q and you might be looking for a Backdoor cover
    We'll see...
    Points Awarded:

    shevabets gave sando 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  12. 11-22-13 10:33 PM #9742
    shevabets
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    Got some Portland ML at +320. Let's get it!
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  13. 11-22-13 10:39 PM #9743
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    Good call.
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  14. 11-22-13 10:41 PM #9744
    OZnBa Fan
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    Really? Portland looks lucky to be down 15. Chicago won't let them have open shots in the 3q and you might be looking for a Backdoor cover
    Chicago on a b2b from Denver in high altitude
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  15. 11-22-13 10:41 PM #9745
    Cornelius
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    All the missed fts in the GSA game is killing me
    Ends up killing the over ..
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  16. 11-22-13 10:43 PM #9746
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    Quote Originally Posted by OZnBa Fan View Post
    Chicago on a b2b from Denver in high altitude
    Ya I forgot lol
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  17. 11-22-13 10:43 PM #9747
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cornelius View Post
    All the missed fts in the GSA game is killing me
    Ends up killing the over ..
    Yeah Deja Vu - for the 2nd time this season needed an Iguodala bucket at the buzzer to hit an over...
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  18. 11-22-13 10:46 PM #9748
    Cornelius
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    Klay Thompson missing two fts. Sums it up. It wasn't meant to be
    Last edited by Cornelius; 11-22-13 at 10:47 PM. Reason: Damn iPad autocorrect is annoying sometimes
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  19. 11-22-13 10:47 PM #9749
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by OZnBa Fan View Post
    Chicago on a b2b from Denver in high altitude
    That's horseshit in November. Meaningless. Just another excuse for the schizo Bulls and their tendencies to completely implode.
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  20. 11-22-13 10:55 PM #9750
    OZnBa Fan
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    That's horseshit in November. Meaningless. Just another excuse for the schizo Bulls and their tendencies to completely implode.
    for a half time play I wouldn't really say that's horse shit
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  21. 11-22-13 10:59 PM #9751
    dymd3z
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    Yes, this Lakers/GS game was brutal loosing by half a hook...
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  22. 11-22-13 11:23 PM #9752
    shevabets
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  23. 11-22-13 11:25 PM #9753
    Puda
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    took the -2.5 live blazers...
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  24. 11-22-13 11:28 PM #9754
    sando
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    Pretty sick, I went against my own instincts - 3 & 7 key numbers - I was going to buy the hook on the Blazers to bring it to -3 (I usually will buy -7.5 down to -7 and -3.5 down to -3). I specifically remember thinking it won't matter as I made the play pre game. Live and learn...
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  25. 11-22-13 11:31 PM #9755
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    sharp lines these days... any plays for tonight?
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  26. 11-22-13 11:34 PM #9756
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    sharp lines these days... any plays for tonight?
    Yeah will have couple of Rugby Union and League plays a bit later.
    I still have a couple of trades I need to find exit points for in Lakers game first.
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  27. 11-22-13 11:35 PM #9757
    nzgamma
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    Do you bet the NBL at all sando?
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  28. 11-22-13 11:38 PM #9758
    davopnz
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    ^ he doesn't.

    sando wee alt line multi i love overnight...england +18.5(in the league) argentina +10.5, aus ml, france +16.5(all rugby internationals) pays $2.07
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  29. 11-22-13 11:55 PM #9759
    nzgamma
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    Surely NZ -5.5 @ 1.73 is a much better bet than England +18.5 @ 1.23
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  30. 11-23-13 12:04 AM #9760
    davopnz
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    I think England will keep it very close and have a great shot at winning.
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  31. 11-23-13 12:16 AM #9761
    nzgamma
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    Totally agree especially considering its over there. NZ -3.5 is 1.57
    almost certainly England stay within 3 converted tries
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  32. 11-23-13 12:19 AM #9762
    davopnz
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    They played great against the Kangaroo's and I think it was in a space of about 10 minutes they let in 3-4 tries to Aussie. Kiwi's have not looked as good as Aussie so I very much believe England have a good shot at this.
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  33. 11-23-13 12:45 AM #9763
    Shazzadude
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    Too many legs for double pay IMO. I think all the legs bar Aussie ML are capable of potentially falling through.

    I lean Kiwis 1-12, 8.5 is about right I think however given how strong the Kiwis are on the interchange.
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  34. 11-23-13 01:10 AM #9764
    sando
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    Rugby Internationals

    Argentina @ Italy
    2* Argentina ML (+100/$2.00 Pinnacle)

    more to follow...
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  35. 11-23-13 03:55 AM #9765
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by sando View Post
    Rugby Internationals

    Argentina @ Italy
    2* Argentina ML (+100/$2.00 Pinnacle)

    more to follow...
    South Afrika @ France
    1* Springboks (to win by) 1-12 (+150/$2.50 Bet365)
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