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i was on the piss one night and i swear i took over 37.5 in the warriors game, ended up 38 exactly, turns out i had over 38.5 and over 37.5 was available 23 seconds after i bet or some bollocks(i know i saw 37.5) anywhom i went absolutely nuts at them and they told me i have a gambling problem and i had to call up before i could use my account, i'd rather not do business with pricks so i'm standing my ground for now.Originally Posted by ender749
fk the backdoor cover..
hopped on the worst possible line at 9.5. new i was gonna be buried just before close
So sick. A wild three at the final buzzer to kill the Phillipino's cover.
One more.
Basketball - Asian Championship
India v Thailand
2* India -5.5 ($1.87 Sportsbet)
India (Straight @1.34)
John Isner (Straight @1.33)
- -
- $45.00
- $80.20
hope i wake up to a winner!
so so sick.
(Handicapper Question)
As you guys know Netball is my main sport and I formulate my picks through crunching the numbers in several models thereby making my own lines to find the value, and then analyzing those games to come up with an 'official' play.
What method do you guys use before posting an 'official' play here?
(feel, inside info, betting models????)
After plugging the numbers into my Netball model I took Thailand +8.5 ($1.90 bet365).
Lets hope we hit the middle.
At half time I'm happy to say:
Netball model <> Basketball tip
Standby for full time confirmation!
(It's not always about the numbers. You have to analyse)
Last edited by Rabbitbrew; 08-02-13 at 10:23 AM. Reason: Numbers!
capers
Last edited by Crowing Capers; 08-02-13 at 11:00 AM.
In Sando we trust.
Just for future reference:
Netball models < DO NOT EQUAL >Basketball games
Good luck on the punt people.
Last edited by Rabbitbrew; 08-02-13 at 12:16 PM.
Nice one India.
I might watch the next one India play, I see they've got Satnam Singh playing for them, a big strong 7'+ footer who's only 17.
No wnba anymore guys??
Check the previous page.
hey sando, think I need to hedge on these late night AFL games?
Pending 10 Team Parlay Win 8/1/13 7:05pm MLB Baseball 903 St. Louis Cardinals +2½ -345* <small>vs</small> Pittsburgh Pirates (J Kelly - R must Start C Morton - R must Start) Win 8/1/13 7:05pm MLB Baseball 905 San Francisco Giants +2½ -370* <small>vs</small> Philadelphia Phillies (M Cain - R must Start C Hamels - L must Start) Win 8/1/13 7:05pm MLB Baseball 915 Houston Astros/Baltimore Orioles Under 10 -161* (J Lyles - R must Start B Norris - R must Start) Win 8/1/13 7:05pm MLB Baseball 922 Texas Rangers -250* <small>vs</small> Arizona Diamondbacks (Z Spruill - R must Start Y Darvish - R must Start) 8/1/13 4:36pm Pending 8/1/13 8:00pm Props Baseball 5909 Los Angeles Dodgers (Series 1st 3 Games) -145* <small>vs</small> Chicago Cubs (Series 1st 3 Games) (Fixed Price) 8/1/13 4:40pm Win 8/2/13 7:15am ATP Tennis 122 Juan Monaco -175* <small>vs</small> Albert Montanes 8/1/13 4:41pm Win 8/1/13 10:05pm MLB Baseball 920 Los Angeles Angels +2½ -270* <small>vs</small> Toronto Blue Jays (J Johnson - R must Start G Richards - R must Start) 8/1/13 5:17pm Pending 8/3/13 12:10am Aussie Rules Other Sports 906 Hawthorn Hawks -460* <small>vs</small> Richmond Tigers 8/1/13 5:17pm Pending 8/3/13 5:40am Aussie Rules Other Sports 910 Brisbane Lions -445* <small>vs</small> St Kilda Saints 8/1/13 9:29pm Win 8/1/13 10:30pm European Cup Soccer 5 Real Madrid (Champ-Cup) -527* <small>vs</small> LA Galaxy (Champ-Cup)
Maybe see how your system goes with the NBA, for the first lot of games I think the bookies were just setting and hoping.In Sando we trust.
Just for future reference:
Netball models < DO NOT EQUAL >Basketball games
Good luck on the punt people.
those afl bets r pretty safe mate
Rough night losing on the knights and the Roos/Cats total, at least the Roos covered the spread easy. Hopefully can still turn thing around this w/e. Should have been a great night in the basketball however got a nasty beat I'm that Phillipino game. I could have sworn the clock had expired but nobody seemed to care, not exactly NBA level technology. Anyway I've fallen way behind with my NRL plays sorry lads, struggling For time. I've ridden the Warriors all the way through their run over the last two months and see no reason to jump off now, however they have been pounded and the line's not really very enticing now at -8, bit in case anyone's interested I have no doubt the Warrior's will win today. These guys are the Harlem Globetrotters of the NRL. when ther confidence is up (and it's sky high) and Playing at Mt. Smart they are the toughest out in the game. Warriors team total over looks good as always (they rack up the points at home). Rabbitbrew great to hear from you mate, I'll answer your question when I can.
Will post some more Asian basketball plays today. To be honest have been playing nearly every game, which is rarely a +EV scenario, however as Shazza and marshmallow will probably agree, most Of these lines being offered for these matches are bizzare and when opportunities like this arise you have to take advantage of them.
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Sorry boys I got this one totally wrong, I only realized because I rang Sportsbet to enquire why they hadn't refunded my Lindsay Thomas 1st goal scorer bet (and he had kicked a goal during the match). I got the promo the wrong way around, this is the actual promotion they are offering. AFL August Special 1st GS bets refunded if your selection goes goalless! My apologies. Turns out it's actually a crap promotion and I wouldn't play it, however the NRL one is nice as wingers obviously score the most try's.
Amazing that this hit. I was sure they were going to keep fouling when they were down 7 with 14 seconds to go. I've taken so many bad beats on under bets on situations like this that I'm always sure they're going for the "keep fouling until last second even if there's no chance in hell of winning the game" strategy. I'm glad they only went with it until 14 seconds left.
And how did they score 69 points in the last quarter in that tulsa game? The level of inconsistency in beaver ball is bizarre. Anyway, very nice hits trigga!
WNBA 3/8/13 + 4.54
WNBA + 15.14
Basketballs magic #7 point spread came in today with washington and chicago. So i cashed in on both Chicago 1-10 and washington +7.5. Chicago 1-10 was a stuff up originally because I hadnt factored delle donne to be out, so took washington line to hedge a little bit.
Tulsa and LA Over was money all the way. Tulsa shot a high FG % for a change and took the win. Although LA had heaps more shot attempts.
It is now out to 9.5 on Luxbet and 8.5 on Sportsbet.
Gallen out???
still -8 AT BET 365
Yep do we pound asap???
so is hawthorn in trouble or do they just not give a damn right now...
East Asian basketball Championship's
Iran v China
2* Iran -5.5 ($1.95 Pinnacle)
India v Kazakhstan
1* India +7.5 ($1.87 Sportsbet)
0.5* India m/l ($3.75 Sportsbet)
No time for write-up's.
ugh, this is disgusting. I hate when these home favorites in AFL lose.
the amount of money i've lost tailing sando on AFL is astronomical.
simple.... don't tail
The amount of money i have WON tailing Sando is astronomical, Just today Richmond to win 1st quarter by 13 plus was 8.00 .
MLB really only want to see positive posts on this thread because it is all positive here. Some days are better than others but when Christmas comes around Sando is certainly on the card list.
North Melb have been a dirty to team to bet on this year but they repaid something last night.
I've learned the hard way. Hawthorn -28.5 and they're losing by 36. Wht annoys me is this guy ignores me when I ask him for advice, which is why I get so enraged. I should've hedged on this
Anybody have any thoughts on the super rugby final between chiefs and brumbies?
Oh quit your bellyaching. Even the best gamblers get caught out by upsets.
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