1. #6441
    trigga50
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    Tamika Catchings was a late inclusion to the indiana fever lineup. She was supposed to be out until last week but passed concussion test earlier today. Hence the line movement. Regardless im still confident

  2. #6442
    trigga50
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    Far out, i got burried on this one. Tamika catchings was the x factor in this game going for 28 points. Sorry guys, its a risk we run in a league which is very hard to pickup any lineup changes or inclusions. All reports i read said that she wasnt playing until late next week.

  3. #6443
    KierenRaj
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    Damn, bad loss, but still killing it in the WNBA Trigga. Looks like the Catchings inclusion buried Tulsa.
    Looking forward for tomorrows picks

  4. #6444
    YEP
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    Bloody Catchins eh?

    Oh well, plenty of sport on this weekend to get it back.

  5. #6445
    aussieH
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    Trigga Get it back next time. Your analysis of WNBA has been top notch

    Sando Good to see you floating around. Trust you are having a good Wimbeldon

  6. #6446
    burkestar
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    Rugby world sevens
    USA ML over Canada -> 1.72

  7. #6447
    burkestar
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    Quote Originally Posted by burkestar View Post
    Rugby world sevens
    USA ML over Canada -> 1.72
    was probably too late for anyone to tail, probably lucky... final score 14-15 in favor of Canada, USA suck at rugby but 7's is a whole different game and they are a bit of a dark horse in this competition as they have assembled a fast paced attacking team (though they are still pritty poor at defending and general play) check out the video of one of their stars...at juicy odds i thought it was worth a punt and watching the game i still like them in some of their upcoming fixtures if the odds are right, they are pritty close to getting their defense sorted

    ^^need i say more....

  8. #6448
    s2230011
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    Watched the game they looked so slow. It was only close because Canada missed all three conversions

  9. #6449
    burkestar
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    yeah was kinda dissapointing, theyre last fixture will be against new zealand and they will probably have like a 30 point handicap i think they are capable of keeping it close enough

  10. #6450
    s2230011
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    Had more luck with players meters props yesterday so will keep at it.
    Like bromich over 115
    Waqa over 140
    And Blair over 80

    Blair and bromich are the ones I like most. Good luck
    Points Awarded:

    kts gave s2230011 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  11. #6451
    kts
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    Hows the weather in melbourne?

  12. #6452
    s2230011
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    Bromich needed 5 m with 10 to go but storm chasing points went wide. Blair hit easy waqa missed easy.
    Like Dugan under 170

  13. #6453
    s2230011
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    Dugan only racked up 90 meters. So slight profit cause waqa was my smallest play but nothing to rave about Browmich was disappointing. Anyway, good luck all keep the plays coming

  14. #6454
    benrama
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    Dugan under was a gift, just missed it. What sportsbook you playing it at?

  15. #6455
    s2230011
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    Sportsbet the only annoying thing is you pretty have to ask for it to be settled otherwise it can sit for days. To be fair they then do it quickly

  16. #6456
    benrama
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    Yea player props suck, even Pinnacle has taken some time to settle my bets before.

  17. #6457
    burkestar
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    Quote Originally Posted by burkestar View Post
    yeah was kinda dissapointing, theyre last fixture will be against new zealand and they will probably have like a 30 point handicap i think they are capable of keeping it close enough
    cash, managed to get +18.5 final score new zealand 26-19....a lot more value there than the 1.04 offered for new zealand ML and the majority of the other games

  18. #6458
    trigga50
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    Quote Originally Posted by trigga50 View Post
    Ok so Id definitely put that down to a good game of WNBA and I really hope a lot of you guys saw my play after the line fell to -3.5 and cashed on the line as well. If the books dont make the adjustments we will just keep cashing in on the over in games like this.

    28/6/13 - +0.45 UNITS

    WNBA +12.23 UNITS

    I know its early but I got a strong lean on a game tomorrow and want everyone to get in on this one.

    Tulsa VS Indiana Fever
    I Feel so good about this game that its attracted my biggest play to date on WNBA. So the Tulsa Shock visit Indiana tomorrow, Indiana is definitely struggling with injuries. They have had the worst luck with 5 starting players sidelined for this game. Its only just been announced to press that Tamika Catchings will still be unavailable for this game after suffering a concussion last week. On the other side of the board Tulsa have had a rough start to the year going 1-7 before stringing together 3 great games now sitting on 3-8. Tulsa have hit some form and are scoring a lot better and competing against good teams. In their last 3 games Tulsa beat both Chicago and Seattle at home by convincing margins, and then visited the in form Minnesota loosing by only 9 points. Tulsa all season have been a covering machine, and are always the underdogs with the books. So with half an Indiana team, how can Tulsa who has found some form of late, loose this game? The only predicament on paper is they are yet to win a game away from home. But when you consider that their best basketball has been played over the last 3 games and only played Minnesota loosing by a respectable margin, surely they should be up for visiting and beating the worst team in the WNBA?

    I find it astonishing that the Indiana Fever has lost all their games at home this season by an average margin of 11.5 points, yet the booked make them 1.5pt favourites in this match up.

    Im predicting a double digit win here tomorrow by the Tulsa Shock

    Tulsa Shock ML @$1.95 X4.5 UNITS to win 4.27 UNITS
    Tulsa Shock -5.5 (Pick your own line) X 1 UNIT @$3.30 to win 2.3 UNITS

    Maybe more plays to come but nothings seems to be as good value as this one.
    WNBA 28/6 -5.5 Units

    WNBA Total +6.73

    Disappointing morning obviously, i felt so confident on the play yet the books got the better of us. Line movement seems to be so important that your in front of it rather than on the other side of it. Tulsa had very similar shot opportunities and overall stats today, even got it back to 4 pts within the last 3 mins and then decided not to score for the rest of the game. The two things that killed them.....their accuracy sucked, and Tamika Catchings owned it today. onwards an upwards with tomorrows games.

    Phoenix VS Connecticut
    Connecticut have only gone for 2-6 so far this season and seem to be struggling against the better teams. They are ranked 2nd to last in offensive points but tend to play a good defensive style ranked at 5th for points allowed. Phoenix has been beating teams consistently and putting up huge numbers. Books have gone pretty nuts on this one posting the total at 167, but fair enough considering the last time the teams met the score line was 100-78. Connecticut should be able to post a reasonable score against Phoenix but wont win this game.

    Phoenix ML @$1.59 X1.5 UNITS to win 0.88 UNITS

    LA Sparks VS Chicago Sky
    LA Sparks are a streaky team and have some great stats but cant beat the better teams or close out games. they have the 2nd best offence, 2nd best points allowed and 2nd best assists per game but are only 5-3 (0-3 away) the 5 games LA have won have been against average teams Seattle, San Antonio, Tulsa and Washington. Sparks shoot 40% on the road as opposed to 51% at home. Chicago are back in form going 6-3. 2 of their 3 losses came when star guard Epiphanny Prince was away overseas on country duties. Ever since prince has come back they have picked it back up again. Also rookie point guard Delle Donne is the talk of the league at the moment and having some great games. Chicago are ranked number 1 in rebounding, something that LA are not good at coming in at 7th. Here we have a situation where LA are 0-3 away and Chicago are 5-0 at home. last season these teams split 1 game each, with the home team winning each game.

    Chicago Sky ML @$1.61 X1.5 UNITS to win 0.92 UNITS

    PARLAY
    Chicago Sky ML & Phoenix Mercury ML @$2.50 x 1 UNIT to win 1.5 UNITS


    Lines have already been moving in our favour and a lot of the value has gone, this is why Im playing the parlay today with the ML.


    Points Awarded:

    Ohhsnap gave trigga50 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    XPenny gave trigga50 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    YEP gave trigga50 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Lilfatbum gave trigga50 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  19. #6459
    Immaculate
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    Yeah the Tulsa game was unlucky, but overall you have been doing great.
    Thanks for the tips mate definatley on both. Lets hope they cash

  20. #6460
    fitguy67
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    Quote Originally Posted by elPkay View Post

    Fellowship Of the Ka-ching
    FOK yeah!

  21. #6461
    swordsandtequila
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rugby21 View Post
    Hi guys, an early tip for the super league rugby for Sunday. Warrington -16 vs Bradford. Bradford are in horrendous form with one win in 9 and that was against Salford who are bottom. Warrington have hit form within the last month and are destroying bottom half teams by 40+ lately. Comfortable away win. Get on it now as the line will go off at 18-22 in my opinion. Bet365
    On it @ -15.5, good luck!

  22. #6462
    OZnBa Fan
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    Quote Originally Posted by trigga50 View Post
    WNBA 28/6 -5.5 Units

    WNBA Total +6.73

    Disappointing morning obviously, i felt so confident on the play yet the books got the better of us. Line movement seems to be so important that your in front of it rather than on the other side of it. Tulsa had very similar shot opportunities and overall stats today, even got it back to 4 pts within the last 3 mins and then decided not to score for the rest of the game. The two things that killed them.....their accuracy sucked, and Tamika Catchings owned it today. onwards an upwards with tomorrows games.

    Phoenix VS Connecticut
    Connecticut have only gone for 2-6 so far this season and seem to be struggling against the better teams. They are ranked 2nd to last in offensive points but tend to play a good defensive style ranked at 5th for points allowed. Phoenix has been beating teams consistently and putting up huge numbers. Books have gone pretty nuts on this one posting the total at 167, but fair enough considering the last time the teams met the score line was 100-78. Connecticut should be able to post a reasonable score against Phoenix but wont win this game.

    Phoenix ML @$1.59 X1.5 UNITS to win 0.88 UNITS

    LA Sparks VS Chicago Sky
    LA Sparks are a streaky team and have some great stats but cant beat the better teams or close out games. they have the 2nd best offence, 2nd best points allowed and 2nd best assists per game but are only 5-3 (0-3 away) the 5 games LA have won have been against average teams Seattle, San Antonio, Tulsa and Washington. Sparks shoot 40% on the road as opposed to 51% at home. Chicago are back in form going 6-3. 2 of their 3 losses came when star guard Epiphanny Prince was away overseas on country duties. Ever since prince has come back they have picked it back up again. Also rookie point guard Delle Donne is the talk of the league at the moment and having some great games. Chicago are ranked number 1 in rebounding, something that LA are not good at coming in at 7th. Here we have a situation where LA are 0-3 away and Chicago are 5-0 at home. last season these teams split 1 game each, with the home team winning each game.

    Chicago Sky ML @$1.61 X1.5 UNITS to win 0.92 UNITS

    PARLAY
    Chicago Sky ML & Phoenix Mercury ML @$2.50 x 1 UNIT to win 1.5 UNITS


    Lines have already been moving in our favour and a lot of the value has gone, this is why Im playing the parlay today with the ML.


    Great work pal

  23. #6463
    KierenRaj
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    Cheers for WNBA Trigga, you're in good form!

  24. #6464
    RedDevil89
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    Anybody like Ashley Harrison under 36.5 tackles? He has averaged 73min per game in2013 as opposed to 69 in 2012. Whilst he has had more meters his work rate has dropped! Averaging 27 tackles per game in 2013 and 33 in 2012!

    Im putting 1x Unit on under 36.5 tackles ($1.88 sportsbet)

  25. #6465
    RedDevil89
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    Quote Originally Posted by RedDevil89 View Post
    Anybody like Ashley Harrison under 36.5 tackles? He has averaged 73min per game in2013 as opposed to 69 in 2012. Whilst he has had more meters his work rate has dropped! Averaging 27 tackles per game in 2013 and 33 in 2012!

    Im putting 1x Unit on under 36.5 tackles ($1.88 sportsbet)
    Actually the more i look into it, ill be staying away from it, his recent stats have been much better than earlier in the season.

    Im thinking Luke Bailey over 100.5 metres is a better option!

  26. #6466
    davopnz
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    where are your plays sando? tunisia +0.5 in the 7s is gold

  27. #6467
    YEP
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    Good calls last night Trigga.Way to get 'em back.

  28. #6468
    Lilfatbum
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    Good stuff Trigga!

  29. #6469
    trigga50
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    WNBA 30/6/13 +3.3 UNITS

    WNBA TOTAL +10.03 UNITS

    Nice to get back on the board today and win some units back. Both plays were solid, and covered easily. I guess once you get stung like the tulsa game you become a little more cautious. Perhaps before the Tulsa loss I may have played both of those as their respective lines.

    San Antonio VS Atlanta Dream
    Theres no doubt that Dream have the best record in the WNBA at the moment going 9-1 to start the season. San Antonio are a bit up and down at the moment, mostly down. They had a surprise win away in New York, however have struggled in all other away games this season. I think this game will defiantly won by Atlanta, the question is by how much. We have a strange situation where San Antonio are 1-5 ATS this season, but are 4-5 ATS when they have visited Atlanta. Atlanta have covered easily against most teams and have put together some impressive numbers at home. They are ranked second in offence and 2nd in points allowed. I think this game will be higher scoring, 6-9 of these teams matches have gone over, but the books have played the line pretty well. Look for Atlanta to get ahead in the 2nd and 3rd quarter.

    Atlanta Dream -11 @$1.91 x 1 UNIT to win .91 UNITS

    Tulsa Shock VS Washington Mystics
    Our mates the Tulsa shock visit Washington. Washington at home has had some good games lately. They were able to challenge the hot Phoenix a few days ago, and in a way should have won. Washington has a more reliable field goal %. Both teams have good pace putting up 68 field goal attempts per game. Tulsa attempt 21 3 point shots as opposed to Washington's 14. If Tulsa get hot from down town they could be a chance but Im taking Washington and the over to the bank on this one.

    OVER 158 @$1.91 X 1 UNIT to win 0.91 UNITS
    SUPER LINE AND TOTAL Washington +1 and OVER 153 @$1.95 X 2 UNITS to win 1.9 UNITS

    (super line and total not released yet)

    Seattle Storm VS Indiana Fever
    Indiana hopes are up after their victory against Tulsa recently. Seattle have struggle on their last few games and will be looking to pick up a road win here. Theres no doubt about it, this will be an ugly game to watch. Both teams shoot relatively poorly, and Indiana have a very tight defence allowing a WNBA best 73.3 PPG. Books have slammed the total on this game down to 138. The last 7 times these teams have met the total has gone under. The books seem to have adjusted accordingly. Apart from Seattle's big loss in Tulsa, they have performed well on the road. I think Seattle should be able to remain competitive in this match and even win it. Hopefully Seattle will tighten up on Tamika Catchings this time around.

    Seattle +6 @$1.91 X 1 UNIT to win 0.91 UNITS
    Super Line and Total Double. Seattle +11 & Game total UNDER 143.5 @$1.95 X 1.5 UNITS to win 0.97 UNITS




    Ive been checking out line movements on all these lineups, so far most of them are going in the right direction.




    Points Awarded:

    Bill_Hicks gave trigga50 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  30. #6470
    trigga50
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    Im also looking forward to MNF, Manly Sea Eagles are a a goer. Tailing Red Devil on this one.

  31. #6471
    JM92
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    Hey triga, just something I think I should mention: I get those doubles you post on bet365 at ridiculously better odds. for instance, 1.5 on seatlle + 11 and under 143.5 is paying me 2.04$

  32. #6472
    Grunch
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    Quote Originally Posted by JM92 View Post
    Hey triga, just something I think I should mention: I get those doubles you post on bet365 at ridiculously better odds. for instance, 1.5 on seatlle + 11 and under 143.5 is paying me 2.04$
    You mean 2.04 odds or 1.5 to win 2.04? When I select teaser on the wnba spread and total bet365 says my selections are not valid in a teaser.

  33. #6473
    swordsandtequila
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rugby21 View Post
    Hi guys, an early tip for the super league rugby for Sunday. Warrington -16 vs Bradford. Bradford are in horrendous form with one win in 9 and that was against Salford who are bottom. Warrington have hit form within the last month and are destroying bottom half teams by 40+ lately. Comfortable away win. Get on it now as the line will go off at 18-22 in my opinion. Bet365
    Done in by a last second try . Warrington was up 26-0 early then nothing. Late scores and missed conversions killed the cover.

  34. #6474
    Rugby21
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    Quote Originally Posted by swordsandtequila View Post
    Done in by a last second try . Warrington was up 26-0 early then nothing. Late scores and missed conversions killed the cover.
    Is that what happened, Jesus?! Was driving back from London and checked the score at services and saw it was 26-0, last min try killer! One of those days for me :/

  35. #6475
    JM92
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grunch View Post
    You mean 2.04 odds or 1.5 to win 2.04? When I select teaser on the wnba spread and total bet365 says my selections are not valid in a teaser.
    2.04 odds.

    Before I couldn't do it as well but since this year it has been valid for the Nba and apparently also the wnba.

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