Few thoughts on this weekends AFL
Carlton V Hawthorn
Hawks -25.5 (Centrebet) at the moment, the line will most likely move higher towards the match. Completely agree with RedDevil89 on this one, I don't see Carlton being effective enough in their forward line to make this game close. Carltons goal kicking last week vs Essendon was atrocious, this week they wont get the same amount of opportunities.
Hawks -25.5 x1.5
Richmond V Adelaide
9th vs 10th battle. My Adelaide Crows were embarrassed last week in front of their home crowd against a very inform Sydney squad. Adelaide have had a very successful record against Richmond (20-10 in the history of the two teams). Don't let that fool you here, Richmonds squad is far more superior in this matchup. I think Adelaide will be improved this week however now without another forward (Petrenko) and the rumour of moving Dangerfield to Half Back so that he doesn't get tagged, Crows will struggle to score. Richmond also have 2 young midfielders back in the side this week who have played impressive games and will add to their already strong midfield. Richmond seem to be inform after a massive road win over Westcoast in Round 10 and will be well rested after their buy in round 11.
Richmond -18.5 x3 @1.91
Richmond -40 x0.5 @3.40
Essendon V Gold Coast
I feel there was a lot to learn about Gold Coast after North Melbourne's loss last week. I think Gold Coast are more than capable of keeping this game close if the same team from last week shows up. However Essendon are very strong at home and I can see this going either way. No play for me.
GWS V Port Adelaide
I feel this game is worth a bit of a look due to the difference in form in the teams. Yes, on paper GWS don't looks so flash, however watching their game against Geelong last week I couldn't help but realise this team is the real deal and can be competitive with the best. (perhaps not for 4 quarters). Port Adelaide's season has been built on false confidence after a very easy start to the season, they are now finding it difficult to win a game loosing their last 5 in row. In round 3 this year Port beat GWS at home 134 - 78. Being this game is in Sydney, I feel GWS are definitely a chance to cover the 29.5 points.
GWS +29.5 X1 @1.91
GWS +14.5 HALFTIME x1@1.91
May be a few more plays to come for SANFL for those who are interested.