[One2envy78]

Wait so he would have to win the match as well? Or just win over the 3 games?

[thewhiteguy]

Wait so he would have to win the match as well? Or just win over the 3 games?

All he would have to do is win by 3 games. In rare cases you can actually have him win by 3 or more games but lose the match outright

6-7,6-7,6-0,6-0,6-7.

[Goat Milk]

I'm taking Monfils. +165 way too good to pass up. Simon is a choker.

[elPkay]

Taking a day or a few days off isn't a bad idea. I guess most of us would feel exhausted after working so many hours every day on all those bets, put the efford in you do and it's right, these trolls don't make it more fun, even tho we know that there are losing stretches.
Enjoy the day and come back tomorrow with a smaller NBA card (Lakers : Raptors | Mav's : Magic | Celtics : Pistons | Thunder : Nuggets) if you like. Or whenever you feel the motivation again.

Your almost 50 units in the NBA right now aren't the reason to keep going constantly, it's the reason to not bet since you are on a good
run this season and don't have the pressure to build more units quickly.
You planned on being up 100 units when the PO start and you still got almost a month to the All Star Weekend. You could even take a week off and be without pressure on reaching your goal.

I needed that too from time to time when playing Poker. A few days off and you're much more motivated again but I don't need to tell you that.

[MrXYZ]

With 50 units already in the bank you could just take it easy & pick your spots until the all star break.

[Goat Milk]

uh oh simon is holding his hamstring the past few games and called for the trainer. if monfils can find a way to win this 4th set i think we got a slight advantage in the 5th

[Goat Milk]

uh oh monfils just got a big blister on his right hand. he is only slicing the forehands back not hitting them.



only the fukkin french

[funkiiwog]

I'm from Melbourne aswell but we all know Carlton is the team to barrack for!

[horja1]

uh oh monfils just got a big blister on his right hand. he is only slicing the forehands back not hitting them.



only the fukkin french

and still he is favorite to win this set (live betting)

[Goat Milk]

and still he is favorite to win this set (live betting)

yeah he already won the set lol he was up 5-1

we just need simon to break down here in the 5th. it's pretty obvious simon is laboring right now. we're gonna be pretty lucky if we get this

[pipita17]

nishikori tonight @5...play of AO and over 3.5 sets 1.85? i really like ferrer and maybe im naive but for me this is the really close game

[Goat Milk]

unreal

[Crowing Capers]

Monfils piss weak finish. whole match dodgy as rat shit... Farkinnnn french farkers

[Bostongambler]

Good luck today.

[thewhiteguy]

Yes Sando Good Luck! I hope you don't take a break but I totally understand if you do. I will still be waiting on your plays.

[mvanja]

That's a rough loss on Dodig man. Terrible. Is anyone following Sando on Monfils? I had both these guys squaring off in our bracket with Shari and I can't remember who I picked. I really like Monfils my only concern is if it goes like 4/5 sets Simon has a lot more stamina. Simon is just gonna play defense as usual especially since it's slightly windy. If Monfils plays his aggressive game I don't see how he doesn't win but again if it goes to the 5th set we might get screwed. What does everyone else think.

What a match, played 1U Monfils + 3 and 0,5U on Monfils ml... Woke up in time to watch the 5th set and after 6 breaks in the last set Monfils won his serve for 6-5. Bet 365 gave a very generous odd on Simon +350 (4,5) and since I won already a spread bet I took it for a 1u. So I was so fkn happy with the result...

[joco]

what u got on the ufc card tonite sando? i like khabib over tavares...its -175 right now on betus...saw people on here taking tavares for +140 but i think theyre underestimating the eagle...other than that i was thinking about rothwell but didnt lock anything in.

[knowlove85]

I think after yesterday's NBA card and his mentality before those results, Sando will probably be taking a bit of a break.

[EasyPicks]

rough night yesterday.

Gl tonight

[sando]

NBA Saturday

Another rough patch. 2-0 in totals and 0-5 ATS ysterday, wtf? The pressure of not doing well in the tennis seems to be dragging down my NBA as well at the moment. Bad days happen to everyone but should never be going 0-5 on ATS picks. Might need to take a break for a while and refocus or maybe just stick with totals as my totals are hitting at nearly 60% for the season, whereas the ATS picks are down to around 55% now.

Anyway I'll post what I'm playing today if anyone wants to fade them.

Houston @ Minnesota
Rockets -4.5 (1-05, $1.95 Pinnacle) 2x
*I'm glad the Rockets lost last night, they'll be even more desperate for a win now. Young team so back 2 back shouldn't be as concerning as it would be for a Lakers/Mav's type of team. Wolves so banged up at the moment, no Love, Schved, Pekovic, Cunningham (game time decision), etc, against a Rockets squad with a healthy list an desperate for a win, hence all their hard work to force their way into playoff contention starts going to waste as they have slipped out of the top 8 and the Mav's, Lakers are starting to exert some pressure. Also the Wolves are the closest team to Houston in the battle for the 8th spot in the West, so extra motivation?

SA @ Atlanta
Spurs -4 (-107, $1.93 Pinnacle) 1.5x

MIlwaukee @ Portland
Blazers -4 (-106, $1.94 Pinnacle) 1.5x

Sacramento @ Charlotte
Bobcats m/l (+120, $2.20 Pinnacle) 0.5x
*Yes I said I wouldn't throw my money away on the Bobcats again, however I watched yesterdays gaem and was very impressed with the play of Sessions who seems to be able to get to the rim at will and the continued growth into a star of Walker and most importantly the intensity and hustle of NBA rejects like Haywood and Warrick. Definitely worth half a unit in a game where I have them as slight favorites.

NBA Totals

Sacramento @ Charlotte
Over 203 (Evens, $2.00 Pinnacle) 1.5x

Memphis @ Chicago
Under 176 (-109, $1.91 Centrebet) 1x

SA @ Atlanta
Over 194.5 (-104, $1.96 Pinnacle) 1x

[davopnz]

Pova under is a lock and Joker under should be too(night game, he gets these over and done with asap so he can go to bed)

[Catchn_Picks]

Variance reversals can come when you least expect it and can be very powerful...the only way I know to get out of a slump (assuming you can even make the case you are in one) is to keep firing. Just like Kobe and Curry when they are 2 for their last 15.

Good luck tonight!

[liteweight]

Sando don't bet on the Bobcats. they are poison...GL tonight hope they come through for you

[mvanja]

NBA Saturday

Another rough patch. 2-0 in totals and 0-5 ATS ysterday, wtf? The pressure of not doing well in the tennis seems to be dragging down my NBA as well at the moment. Bad days happen to everyone but should never be going 0-5 on ATS picks. Might need to take a break for a while and refocus or maybe just stick with totals as my totals are hitting at nearly 60% for the season, whereas the ATS picks are down to around 55% now.

Anyway I'll post what I'm playing today if anyone wants to fade them.

Houston @ Minnesota
Rockets -4.5 (1-05, $1.95 Pinnacle) 2x
*I'm glad the Rockets lost last night, they'll be even more desperate for a win now. Young team so back 2 back shouldn't be as concerning as it would be for a Lakers/Mav's type of team. Wolves so banged up at the moment, no Love, Schved, Pekovic, Cunningham (game time decision), etc, against a Rockets squad with a healthy list an desperate for a win, hence all their hard work to force their way into playoff contention starts going to waste as they have slipped out of the top 8 and the Mav's, Lakers are starting to exert some pressure. Also the Wolves are the closest team to Houston in the battle for the 8th spot in the West, so extra motivation?

SA @ Atlanta
Spurs -4 (-107, $1.93 Pinnacle) 1.5x

MIlwaukee @ Portland
Blazers -4 (-106, $1.94 Pinnacle) 1.5x

Sacramento @ Charlotte
Bobcats m/l (+120, $2.20 Pinnacle) 0.5x
*Yes I said I wouldn't throw my money away on the Bobcats again, however I watched yesterdays gaem and was very impressed with the play of Sessions who seems to be able to get to the rim at will and the continued growth into a star of Walker and most importantly the intensity and hustle of NBA rejects like Haywood and Warrick. Definitely worth half a unit in a game where I have them as slight favorites.

NBA Totals

Sacramento @ Charlotte
Over 203 (Evens, $2.00 Pinnacle) 1.5x

Memphis @ Chicago
Under 176 (-109, $1.91 Centrebet) 1x

SA @ Atlanta
Over 194.5 (-104, $1.96 Pinnacle) 1x

	Pos	Player	Injury	Status	Games		PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK
01/19	FC	Tim Duncan	rest	OUT	41		17.3	9.6	2.7	0.8	2.8
3:30pm		is OUT Saturday vs Atlanta.

[mvanja]

Sando do U still think is worth playing Spurs without the big guy

[thewhiteguy]

Variance reversals can come when you least expect it and can be very powerful...the only way I know to get out of a slump (assuming you can even make the case you are in one) is to keep firing. Just like Kobe and Curry when they are 2 for their last 15.

Good luck tonight!

Couldn't have said it better myself. DONT LEAVE SANDO

[Catchn_Picks]

Thanks for the info mvanja...knew something was funny when the line reversed to -3.5..made no sense without another one of Pop's many funny games at work. This tactic of his can be dangerous for SA bettors.

[sando]

UFC on FX 7

Have a pending bet on Belfort for 2x I posted a couple of weeks ago, thought the odds would move in on Belfort but actually ther are now a pk em and the majority of the love is for Bisping, so tread carefully with this one although I am still sticking with my Belfort pick.

Also playing (small bets)

Gonzaga v Rothwell
Rothwell (+113, $2.13 Pinnacle) 0.5x

Tavares v Nurmagomedov
Tavares (+161, $2.61 Pinnacle) 0.5x

Bisping v Belfort
Under 2.5 (+127, $2.27 Pinnacle) 0.5x

[pipita17]

any comments for tennis tonight? sando whats your opinion regarding nishikori match?

[Bostongambler]

Good luck tonight

[nicktran808]

Sando--

NBA Friday nights have been a shitshow IMO. I tend to have massive losses on NBA Fridays because all of my predictions end up being completely wrong. All current trends and modes of thinking for NBA betting go out the window on Fridays.

I'm really liking MEM/CHI UNDER though, as I'm on it myself. The numbers and reasonable thinking point to it staying under too.

Good luck tonight.

[sando]

UFC on FX 7

Have a pending bet on Belfort for 2x I posted a couple of weeks ago, thought the odds would move in on Belfort but actually ther are now a pk em and the majority of the love is for Bisping, so tread carefully with this one although I am still sticking with my Belfort pick.

Also playing (small bets)

Gonzaga v Rothwell
Rothwell (+113, $2.13 Pinnacle) 0.5x

Tavares v Nurmagomedov
Tavares (+161, $1.61 Pinnacle) 0.5x

Bisping v Belfort
Under 2.5 (+127, $2.27 Pinnacle) 0.5x

Adding...

Boxing

WBO Featherweight title (MSG)

Garcia v Salido
Salido (+221, $3.21 Pinnacle) 0.5x
Experience v youth. I'm going with experience and agression. Garcia is un-defeated but Salido is a massive test and I like the value offered on Salido who can definitely win this fight with his super aggressive style. Salido far more experience in big fights with bouts against JM Marquez and JM Lopez.

[Yinz Hooligan]

sando are the dollar amounts in your plays the amount you are wagering? example. on the sac/char over you are betting $2.00 ?

[sando]

Tennis

Just tracking my plays, which is the point of this thread. Will update my record later. Win one, lose one, the story of the AO for me so far, the problem is I have been losing too many of the bigger plays and hitting on the smaller ones.

Men

Nishikori v Ferrer
Nishikori +7 (-119, $1.84 Pinnacle) 2.5x
*Nishi undervalued. Could lose in straight sets and still cover easily (6-4 7-6 6-3) but I expect him to take a set, would have to be the first or the second as Ferrer a great front runner.

[sando]

sando are the dollar amounts in your plays the amount you are wagering? example. on the sac/char over you are betting $2.00 ?

Are you serious? Spend 3+ hours on research everyday to wager $2 on a play? If you look carefully you will see I post the odds in US and decimal, US because this is an American site and hence most posters are American and decimal because I am Australian and some of my mates follow my plays and they don't understand US odds.

*Sorry guys not going to engage much in conversation until i break out of my mini slump. The good news is this thread has been removed from players talk and is now only in the nba/tennis sub-forums. The rules are a lot stricter in the sub-forums and basically idiots like Daimo or King_Danillo can't even post in here (as their posts are all negative). If anyone trolls this thread and it bothers you simply report them (top right corner) and they will most likely be issued an infraction by a mod, couple of those and they get banned temporarily, enough of those and they get perma-banned.