1. 12-13-12 03:14 PM #1891
    ender749
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    LET'S DO THISSSSSSSSSSSSS
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  2. 12-13-12 04:01 PM #1892
    Tim Gerry Mander
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    One for the road Sando?

    Most Points - Kobe Bryant (LA) vs Carmelo Anthony (NY)


    • Carmelo Anthony (NY)
    • (+1.5) 1.77






    • Kobe Bryant (LA)
    • (-1.5) 2.00
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  3. 12-13-12 04:01 PM #1893
    No coincidences
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    Solid thread. BOL tonight.
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  4. 12-13-12 04:03 PM #1894
    h3da
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    Quote Originally Posted by Celtics08 View Post
    Knicks will win by exact 7 points tonight
    Knicks by 11+
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  5. 12-13-12 04:11 PM #1895
    Celtics08
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tim Gerry Mander View Post
    One for the road Sando?

    Most Points - Kobe Bryant (LA) vs Carmelo Anthony (NY)


    • Carmelo Anthony (NY)
    • (+1.5) 1.77



    • Kobe Bryant (LA)
    • (-1.5) 2.00

    Kobe system
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  6. 12-13-12 04:13 PM #1896
    Celtics08
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    Quote Originally Posted by h3da View Post
    Knicks by 11+
    Say exact number!! can't say X+
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  7. 12-13-12 04:29 PM #1897
    MTM
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    Kobe. Knicks have more scoring options. But don't really like that prop.

    Glad you like Knicks Sando, I was waiting for a reason to pull the trigger. I keep changing my mind with spurs blazers but leaning bobcats vs hawks...
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  8. 12-13-12 04:36 PM #1898
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Solid thread. BOL tonight.
    Thanks mate, much appreciated.


    TGM - Kobe for sure at even money. Kobe loves MSG, also he has to carry a larger % of the scoring for his team than Carmello does (Meeks is no JR Smith).
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  9. 12-13-12 04:47 PM #1899
    aussieH
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    What was the second game?
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  10. 12-13-12 04:54 PM #1900
    Raskal
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    Going with knicks as well thanks sando. Will see what your second pick is. Leaning towards spurs for now
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  11. 12-13-12 04:55 PM #1901
    kenz
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    Quote Originally Posted by ender749 View Post
    I think Aus win is still good value.
    * SL have 0% chance to win (their bowling is the worst to reach the Australian shores imo).
    * The SL batting is weak against fast bowling (they recently lost to NZ at home).
    * Their record abroad is terrible - they are especially bad starters in seaming conditions - almost always losing the first test.
    * SL have had only one three day warm up match here in Aus.
    * The weather forecast is for showers / cloudy conditions - this is a double edged sword as it will make batting difficult but we will lose time obviously.
    * Hobart pitch is extremely seam friendly - in the 3 Sheffield Shield games this season, the totals in the first innings for the team batting first have been 112, 95 and 67. It will be better than that for the test match but expect the ball to move around quite a bit. Also Hobart record in the last ten years has only produced two draws in 10 games.

    I have put down the equivalent of 3 units on a Aus win - would put more but worried about weather. There is also a small chance that Sanga or Jayawardane hit a big one but unlikely given conditions.

    PS I live in the UK but am originally from India and cricket is in my blood.
    Dont want to hijack the thread, just curious whats up with the crazy increase in Australia' rates?
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  12. 12-13-12 04:58 PM #1902
    ender749
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    weather is looking a bit better so that is why the odds are moving.
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  13. 12-13-12 05:00 PM #1903
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by aussieH View Post
    What was the second game?
    Sorry mate, I have been holding out for updated injury info on Matthews and Batum, not as a factor in whether to play the Spurs or not, but simply to judge the strength of the play, I.e the unit size. Anyway I'm happy with reports now that Matthewsis doubtful and Batum is 50/50, so even if he plays will not be at 100%

    Look for the Spurs 2nd string to do serious damage against Portland's (actually Portland barely have a 2nd string).

    My boy Patty Mills looked great against the Jazz yesterday. Look for him to get some more playing time today as the Portland starters are unlikely to log heavy minutes.

    *Pick Added.
    Last edited by sando; 12-13-12 at 05:10 PM.
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    Gusto0810 gave sando 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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  14. 12-13-12 05:09 PM #1904
    Celtics08
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    Sando, what do you think about Over 201 Portland-Spurs?
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  15. 12-13-12 05:16 PM #1905
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by Celtics08 View Post
    Sando, what do you think about Over 201 Portland-Spurs?
    I have the O/U set at 201-202. Personally I think the books absolutely nailed this line and would recommend avoid.
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  16. 12-13-12 05:19 PM #1906
    kenz
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    Quote Originally Posted by ender749 View Post
    weather is looking a bit better so that is why the odds are moving.
    So you have confidence on 3 units on Aus
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  17. 12-13-12 05:21 PM #1907
    fitguy67
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    bol sandman
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  18. 12-13-12 05:31 PM #1908
    MTM
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    Any reason the line moved to 5.5? Or just laker fans pounding it?
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  19. 12-13-12 05:32 PM #1909
    Tim Gerry Mander
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    Knicks into -5.5
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  20. 12-13-12 05:40 PM #1910
    mvanja
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    Quote Originally Posted by MTM View Post
    Any reason the line moved to 5.5? Or just laker fans pounding it?
    12:22 PM: Sharp line move detected against New York
    12:25 PM: The smart money is coming on Los Angeles Lakers
    06:10 PM: Sharp line move detected against New York
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  21. 12-13-12 05:41 PM #1911
    Byrone09
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    5D has A. Horford Points+Rebounds Over 28 -105. I'm on it!

    Damn I should have waited on the Knicks line. People still pounding the Lakers despite how awful they have been...

    Throwing a parlay on the 3 favs tonight too.
    Last edited by Byrone09; 12-13-12 at 05:46 PM.
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  22. 12-13-12 05:48 PM #1912
    sando
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    Yesterday's recap.

    Ok have to take my hat off to Mr. Seaweed . We went 1-2 against Seaweed nation yesterday, but hopefully we'll get them back next round.

    4-1 ATS
    0-3 O/U

    4-4 Today in the NBA -0.02 Units

    NBA YTD 104-73-8 (+37.7 Units) 58.8%

    (NBA ATS/ML 79-52-5 YTD) 60.3%

    (NBA totals 26-23-3 YTD) 53.1%

    Unofficial NBA prop bets YTD 2-2


    All time SBR Picks

    Tennis 31-25-4     (+17.16 Units)
    Rugby Union 7-7    (+2.97 Units)
    Rugby Sevens 28    -24-1 (+2.27 Units)
    MMA 3-0 (+20.23 Units)
    MLB 4-1 (+9.49 Units) *See spreadsheet

    **    Above record based on picks posted at SBR forum.
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  23. 12-13-12 05:55 PM #1913
    yankeefan1024
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    sando, i locked in on NYK at -5.5! SO PUMPED!
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  24. 12-13-12 06:04 PM #1914
    sando
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    From what I can gather there has been a consistent flow of money on the Lakers since the lines opened (54-60%) which would account for some of the line movement. As far as these sharp lines movements, well if the big boys are so "sharp" then why are they pounding the Lakers now at +6 when they could have gotten +7 earlier and surely would have forseen that the majority of the money flowing in on the Lakers?
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  25. 12-13-12 06:16 PM #1915
    Crowing Capers
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    BOL today Sando
    Loving both plays
    Feeling you crack 40 units profit NBA today
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  26. 12-13-12 06:24 PM #1916
    mvanja
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    Quote Originally Posted by sando View Post
    From what I can gather there has been a consistent flow of money on the Lakers since the lines opened (54-60%) which would account for some of the line movement. As far as these sharp lines movements, well if the big boys are so "sharp" then why are they pounding the Lakers now at +6 when they could have gotten +7 earlier and surely would have forseen that the majority of the money flowing in on the Lakers?
    Is it possible that they are pounding on ML?
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  27. 12-13-12 06:27 PM #1917
    MrXYZ
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    It makes sense to see the line move by 2 points when you consider it's the only game everyone bets on today & there's the idea that Kobe will carry the Lakers to a win. I tend to think it'll fizzle out early and looking at the under instead.
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  28. 12-13-12 06:44 PM #1918
    Tim Gerry Mander
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    Quote Originally Posted by MrXYZ View Post
    It makes sense to see the line move by 2 points when you consider it's the only game everyone bets on today & there's the idea that Kobe will carry the Lakers to a win. I tend to think it'll fizzle out early and looking at the under instead.
    Just like the Melbourne Cup eh?

    Only time people have a punt on the ponies!
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  29. 12-13-12 06:45 PM #1919
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by mvanja View Post
    Is it possible that they are pounding on ML?
    Not from what I can see. M/L is 27% Lakers 73% Knicks at Sportsbook Spy, which is about right although I would have expected a bit more money on the Lakers m/l as I expect them to either win outright or lose by 8+ (obviously I'm expecting the latter result). Lakers record in close games is atrocious. Games decided by 3 points or less Lakers are 0-3. Games decided by up to 10 points Lakers are 1-12. Hard to believe right?
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  30. 12-13-12 06:53 PM #1920
    ender749
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    great analysis on both picks today sando. now fingers crossed for thetoday. glgl.
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  31. 12-13-12 07:13 PM #1921
    mvanja
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    Quote Originally Posted by sando View Post
    Not from what I can see. M/L is 27% Lakers 73% Knicks at Sportsbook Spy, which is about right although I would have expected a bit more money on the Lakers m/l as I expect them to either win outright or lose by 8+ (obviously I'm expecting the latter result). Lakers record in close games is atrocious. Games decided by 3 points or less Lakers are 0-3. Games decided by up to 10 points Lakers are 1-12. Hard to believe right?
    It is... Anyway I'm hopping U're right, played Knicks-6, Spurs -7, and parlay Knicks/Spurs ml.
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  32. 12-13-12 07:22 PM #1922
    mvanja
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    Antony on fire
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  33. 12-13-12 07:36 PM #1923
    h3da
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tim Gerry Mander View Post
    Just like the Melbourne Cup eh?

    Only time people have a punt on the ponies!
    Lol I bet on the horses.. It's actually easier than you think if you do place betting only.. Maybe working for Tabcorp and another Aussie bookie helps you in those departments
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  34. 12-13-12 07:40 PM #1924
    Tim Gerry Mander
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    Quote Originally Posted by h3da View Post
    Lol I bet on the horses.. It's actually easier than you think if you do place betting only.. Maybe working for Tabcorp and another Aussie bookie helps you in those departments
    Be interesting to hear your thoughts....

    Isn't it a conflict of interest for you though?
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  35. 12-13-12 07:41 PM #1925
    Byrone09
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    Wow. They are gonna put up 40 in the 1st! Gonna be major talk about crappy defense on the LA radio shows tomorrow. Coming from a Laker homer, I'm embarrassed for the Lakers.

    Is D12 even playing? I can't even tell... geez... This system is wrong for this team...
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